Heart Of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock Prediction

Premiership · Regular Season - 22

02 Jan 2027, 15:00

Post on X

Kilmarnock

Away

Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh

AI call Difficult Heart Of Midlothian win or draw

54%

28%

18%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Heart Of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock prediction: Sportiko gives Heart Of Midlothian a 54% chance of winning, Kilmarnock 18% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.2%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Heart Of Midlothian

DLWWW

Kilmarnock

DWDDL

Last 3 meetings Heart Of Midlothian · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

Heart of Midlothian faces Kilmarnock in a crucial Premiership clash. Historically, Hearts have had a strong home record, winning 60% of their home matches this season, while Kilmarnock has struggled on the road with only 25% of their away fixtures yielding points. Key players to watch include Hearts' top scorer, who has been involved in 45% of their goals, and Kilmarnock's goalkeeper, who boasts a save percentage of 75%. This match could pivot on set-pieces, an area where Hearts have shown proficiency, converting 30% of their opportunities. Overall, Hearts will look to leverage their attacking prowess against Kilmarnock's defense, which has conceded an average of 2 goals per away match.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Kilmarnock goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	6	3	1
1	12	13	5	1
2	11	10	4	1
3	6	5	2	1
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Heart Of Midlothian goals · most likely 1–1 (13.2%)

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Players in form

Heart Of Midlothian

J. Wilson 3 gls

J. McPake 2 gls

Cláudio Braga 2 gls

Kilmarnock

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

28%

Away Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

28%

Away Win

18%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

75% Home (No Draw) 25% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

54% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 18% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.0%	5.6%	3.0%	0.8%	0.2%
1	12.4%	13.2%	4.9%	1.4%	0.3%
2	11.3%	9.5%	4.0%	1.1%	0.2%
3	6.2%	5.2%	2.2%	0.6%	0.1%
4	2.5%	2.1%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Heart Of Midlothian	Draw	Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian	34.0%	3.8%	1.0%
Draw	19.5%	18.2%	7.5%
Kilmarnock	2.3%	3.9%	10.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

43%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Heart Of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock

0 Heart Of Midlothian Wins

2 Draws

1 Kilmarnock Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Sep 2026	Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Heart Of Midlothian
14 Mar 2026	Kilmarnock	1 - 0	Heart Of Midlothian
03 Dec 2025	Heart Of Midlothian	1 - 1	Kilmarnock

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Heart Of Midlothian — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Kilmarnock	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	A Falkirk	L	2 - 1
11 Sep	A Stenhousemuir	W	0 - 3
06 Sep	H Dundee	W	2 - 1
03 Sep	A Hibernian	W	1 - 3

Kilmarnock — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Heart Of Midlothian	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	A Hibernian	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Aberdeen	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Aberdeen	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	H ST Mirren	L	0 - 1

Premiership Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	7	6	0	1	14	4	+10	18
2	Rangers	7	5	1	1	8	4	+4	16
3	Heart Of Midlothian	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
4	Dundee	7	3	1	3	9	7	+2	10
5	ST Mirren	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
6	ST Johnstone	7	2	2	3	9	10	-1	8
7	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
8	Dundee Utd	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
9	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
10	Hibernian	7	2	1	4	8	11	-3	7
11	Falkirk	7	1	3	3	6	9	-3	6
12	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	6	15	-9	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.