Kilmarnock vs Falkirk Prediction

Premiership · Regular Season - 21

30 Dec 2026, 19:45

Post on X

Falkirk

Away

AI call Difficult Falkirk win or draw

17%

25%

58%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Kilmarnock vs Falkirk prediction: Sportiko gives Kilmarnock a 17% chance of winning, Falkirk 58% and the draw 25%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.9%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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Kilmarnock

DWDDL

Falkirk

DWDLL

Last 3 meetings Kilmarnock · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premiership clash, Kilmarnock will face Falkirk. Kilmarnock has shown a solid home record, with their attacking output averaging 1.5 goals per match this season, while their defense has conceded approximately 1.2 goals. Falkirk, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, averaging 1 goal scored and 1.8 conceded in away fixtures. This matchup could hinge on Kilmarnock's ability to exploit Falkirk's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly in transition. Expect a competitive encounter as both teams vie for crucial points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Falkirk goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	10	11	7	3	1
1	4	12	10	6	3	1
2	3	5	5	3	1	1
3	1	2	2	1
4
5

↑ Kilmarnock goals · most likely 1–1 (11.9%)

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Match Result

Away Win

58%

Draw

25%

Home Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

58%

Draw

25%

Home Win

17%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

77% Away (No Draw) 23% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

35% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

58% Away Scores More 25% Equal Goals 17% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.1%	9.7%	10.6%	6.8%	3.3%
1	4.1%	11.9%	10.1%	6.5%	3.1%
2	2.6%	5.0%	4.8%	3.1%	1.5%
3	0.8%	1.6%	1.5%	1.0%	0.5%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

30%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Kilmarnock	Draw	Falkirk
Kilmarnock	9.5%	3.9%	2.8%
Draw	6.8%	15.1%	19.4%
Falkirk	1.2%	3.8%	37.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

43%

1.5

57%

71%

2.5

29%

88%

3.5

12%

Away Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Kilmarnock vs Falkirk

0 Kilmarnock Wins

0 Draws

3 Falkirk Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
28 Feb 2026	Falkirk	5 - 1	Kilmarnock
20 Dec 2025	Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Falkirk
01 Nov 2025	Falkirk	3 - 1	Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Heart Of Midlothian	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	A Hibernian	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Aberdeen	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Aberdeen	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	H ST Mirren	L	0 - 1

Falkirk — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A ST Johnstone	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Heart Of Midlothian	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Dundee Utd	D	1 - 1
02 Sep	H Rangers	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	A Celtic	L	2 - 1

Premiership Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	7	6	0	1	14	4	+10	18
2	Rangers	7	5	1	1	8	4	+4	16
3	Heart Of Midlothian	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
4	Dundee	7	3	1	3	9	7	+2	10
5	ST Mirren	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
6	ST Johnstone	7	2	2	3	9	10	-1	8
7	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
8	Dundee Utd	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
9	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
10	Hibernian	7	2	1	4	8	11	-3	7
11	Falkirk	7	1	3	3	6	9	-3	6
12	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	6	15	-9	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.