Dundee Utd vs ST Mirren Prediction

Premiership · Regular Season - 18

12 Dec 2026, 15:00

Post on X

ST Mirren

Away

Tannadice Park, Dundee

AI call Dundee Utd to win

78%

17%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Dundee Utd vs ST Mirren prediction: Sportiko gives Dundee Utd a 78% chance of winning, ST Mirren 5% and the draw 17%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 17.6%

Both teams to score

33%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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Dundee Utd

WDLWL

ST Mirren

LLLWD

Last 3 meetings Dundee Utd · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Dundee Utd will face St Mirren in a crucial Premiership clash. Dundee Utd has shown solid form at home, while St Mirren has struggled for consistency on the road. Key players to watch include Dundee Utd's attacking threat, which has been bolstered by recent performances, and St Mirren's defense, which will need to tighten to contain the home side's offensive capabilities. With both teams vying for points to improve their league standings, this match promises to be competitive.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

78%

45%

Draw

17%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

ST Mirren goals →

	0	1	2
0	7	2	1
1	14	8	1
2	18	8	2
3	14	6	1
4	8	3	1
5	4	2

↑ Dundee Utd goals · most likely 2–0 (17.6%)

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Players in form

Dundee Utd

J. Randall 2 gls

ST Mirren

K. Phillips 3 gls

Samu 1 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

78%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS No 33% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

78%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

94% Home (No Draw) 6% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

55% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

78% Home Scores More 17% Equal Goals 5% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS No 33% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

26%

23%

16%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.5%	2.0%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
1	14.4%	7.6%	1.5%	0.2%	0.0%
2	17.6%	7.7%	1.7%	0.3%	0.0%
3	13.6%	6.0%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%
4	7.8%	3.4%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

32%

26%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Dundee Utd	Draw	ST Mirren
Dundee Utd	54.7%	1.8%	0.3%
Draw	23.2%	11.5%	2.2%
ST Mirren	1.8%	1.9%	2.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

34%

1.5

66%

61%

2.5

39%

82%

3.5

18%

Home Exact Goals

10%

24%

27%

21%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

64%

28%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

82%

0.5

18%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Dundee Utd vs ST Mirren

2 Dundee Utd Wins

0 Draws

1 ST Mirren Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Sep 2026	ST Mirren	0 - 3	Dundee Utd
03 Mar 2026	Dundee Utd	2 - 1	ST Mirren
06 Dec 2025	ST Mirren	2 - 0	Dundee Utd

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Dundee Utd — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A ST Mirren	W	0 - 3
05 Sep	H Falkirk	D	1 - 1
02 Sep	A Motherwell	L	3 - 0
29 Aug	A Kilmarnock	W	0 - 4
22 Aug	H Dundee	L	0 - 2

ST Mirren — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Dundee Utd	L	0 - 3
09 Sep	A Rangers	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Celtic	L	1 - 2
02 Sep	A Kilmarnock	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	H Motherwell	D	3 - 3

Premiership Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	7	6	0	1	14	4	+10	18
2	Rangers	7	5	1	1	8	4	+4	16
3	Heart Of Midlothian	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
4	Dundee	7	3	1	3	9	7	+2	10
5	ST Mirren	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
6	ST Johnstone	7	2	2	3	9	10	-1	8
7	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
8	Dundee Utd	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
9	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
10	Hibernian	7	2	1	4	8	11	-3	7
11	Falkirk	7	1	3	3	6	9	-3	6
12	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	6	15	-9	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.