Heart Of Midlothian vs Motherwell Prediction

Premiership · Regular Season - 18

12 Dec 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Motherwell

Away

Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh

AI call Heart Of Midlothian to win or draw

69%

23%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Heart Of Midlothian vs Motherwell prediction: Sportiko gives Heart Of Midlothian a 69% chance of winning, Motherwell 9% and the draw 23%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 16.1%

Both teams to score

36%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Heart Of Midlothian

DLWWW

Motherwell

LLLWD

Last 3 meetings Heart Of Midlothian · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premiership clash, Heart of Midlothian faces Motherwell. Historically, Hearts have been strong at home, but recent form suggests both teams are evenly matched. Hearts will look to capitalize on their attacking prowess, averaging 1.5 goals per game this season, while Motherwell's defensive record will be tested, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game. Key players to watch include Hearts' top scorer, who has netted 8 goals, and Motherwell's playmaker, who leads in assists. This match could hinge on set-pieces and midfield control, making for a potentially tight contest.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

69%

45%

Draw

23%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Motherwell goals →

	0	1	2
0	10	4	1
1	16	10	2
2	16	9	2
3	10	5	1
4	5	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Heart Of Midlothian goals · most likely 2–0 (16.1%)

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Players in form

Heart Of Midlothian

J. Wilson 3 gls

J. McPake 2 gls

Cláudio Braga 2 gls

Motherwell

A. Lowry 2 gls

Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise 1 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

69%

Draw

23%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

69%

Draw

23%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

89% Home (No Draw) 11% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

43% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

69% Home Scores More 23% Equal Goals 9% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

19%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.2%	3.6%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%
1	15.9%	10.2%	2.4%	0.4%	0.1%
2	16.1%	8.5%	2.3%	0.4%	0.1%
3	10.1%	5.4%	1.4%	0.3%	0.0%
4	4.8%	2.5%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

73%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Heart Of Midlothian	Draw	Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian	45.2%	2.6%	0.4%
Draw	22.9%	15.8%	3.9%
Motherwell	1.9%	2.7%	4.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

59%

31%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Heart Of Midlothian vs Motherwell

1 Heart Of Midlothian Wins

2 Draws

0 Motherwell Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Apr 2026	Heart Of Midlothian	3 - 1	Motherwell
29 Nov 2025	Motherwell	0 - 0	Heart Of Midlothian
23 Aug 2025	Heart Of Midlothian	3 - 3	Motherwell

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Heart Of Midlothian — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Kilmarnock	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	A Falkirk	L	2 - 1
11 Sep	A Stenhousemuir	W	0 - 3
06 Sep	H Dundee	W	2 - 1
03 Sep	A Hibernian	W	1 - 3

Motherwell — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Dundee	L	2 - 1
15 Sep	H Aberdeen	L	0 - 4
05 Sep	A Rangers	L	1 - 0
02 Sep	H Dundee Utd	W	3 - 0
30 Aug	A ST Mirren	D	3 - 3

Premiership Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	7	6	0	1	14	4	+10	18
2	Rangers	7	5	1	1	8	4	+4	16
3	Heart Of Midlothian	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
4	Dundee	7	3	1	3	9	7	+2	10
5	ST Mirren	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
6	ST Johnstone	7	2	2	3	9	10	-1	8
7	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
8	Dundee Utd	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
9	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
10	Hibernian	7	2	1	4	8	11	-3	7
11	Falkirk	7	1	3	3	6	9	-3	6
12	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	6	15	-9	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.