Dundee vs Falkirk Prediction

Premiership · Regular Season - 17

05 Dec 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Falkirk

Away

AI call Difficult Falkirk win or draw

15%

23%

61%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Dundee vs Falkirk prediction: Sportiko gives Dundee a 15% chance of winning, Falkirk 61% and the draw 23%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 11%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

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Dundee

WLDLW

Falkirk

DWDLL

Last 3 meetings Dundee · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Dundee will face Falkirk in a crucial Premiership matchup on December 5, 2026. Dundee has shown a strong home record, averaging 1.8 goals per game at home this season, while their defense has conceded an average of 1.2 goals. Falkirk, on the other hand, struggles on the road, having lost 60% of their away matches this season. Both teams will need to capitalize on set pieces, as Dundee has been particularly effective in this area, scoring 25% of their goals from corners and free kicks. This match could be pivotal for both teams as they battle for league positioning.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

15%

45%

Draw

23%

45%

Away

61%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Falkirk goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6	9	11	7	4	2
1	3	11	10	7	4	2
2	2	5	5	3	2	1
3	1	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Dundee goals · most likely 1–1 (11.0%)

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Players in form

Dundee

J. Westley 3 gls

B. Fink 2 gls

Falkirk

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

61%

Draw

23%

Home Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

58%

65%

3.5

35%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

61%

Draw

23%

Home Win

15%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

80% Away (No Draw) 20% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

38% Away Win by 2+ 5% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

61% Away Scores More 23% Equal Goals 15% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

58%

65%

3.5

35%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

12%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.2%	9.0%	10.7%	7.4%	3.9%
1	3.4%	11.0%	10.1%	7.0%	3.7%
2	2.2%	4.6%	4.8%	3.3%	1.7%
3	0.7%	1.5%	1.5%	1.1%	0.6%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

49%

1.5

51%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

29%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Dundee	Draw	Falkirk
Dundee	8.5%	3.7%	2.9%
Draw	6.1%	13.8%	19.8%
Falkirk	1.1%	3.6%	40.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

39%

1.5

61%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

Away Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Dundee vs Falkirk

1 Dundee Wins

0 Draws

2 Falkirk Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Feb 2026	Falkirk	1 - 0	Dundee
27 Dec 2025	Dundee	1 - 0	Falkirk
25 Oct 2025	Falkirk	2 - 1	Dundee

Dundee — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Motherwell	W	2 - 1
06 Sep	A Heart Of Midlothian	L	2 - 1
02 Sep	H ST Johnstone	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	H Hibernian	L	1 - 2
22 Aug	A Dundee Utd	W	0 - 2

Falkirk — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A ST Johnstone	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Heart Of Midlothian	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Dundee Utd	D	1 - 1
02 Sep	H Rangers	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	A Celtic	L	2 - 1

Premiership Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	7	6	0	1	14	4	+10	18
2	Rangers	7	5	1	1	8	4	+4	16
3	Heart Of Midlothian	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
4	Dundee	7	3	1	3	9	7	+2	10
5	ST Mirren	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
6	ST Johnstone	7	2	2	3	9	10	-1	8
7	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
8	Dundee Utd	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
9	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
10	Hibernian	7	2	1	4	8	11	-3	7
11	Falkirk	7	1	3	3	6	9	-3	6
12	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	6	15	-9	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.