ST Mirren vs Heart Of Midlothian Prediction

Premiership · Regular Season - 17

05 Dec 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Heart Of Midlothian

Away

The SMISA Stadium, Paisley

AI call Heart Of Midlothian or draw

22%

29%

49%

Home Win Draw Away Win

ST Mirren vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction: Sportiko gives ST Mirren a 22% chance of winning, Heart Of Midlothian 49% and the draw 29%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.9%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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ST Mirren

LLLWD

Heart Of Midlothian

DLWWW

Last 3 meetings ST Mirren · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premiership match, ST Mirren faces Heart of Midlothian. ST Mirren has shown resilience at home, currently sitting mid-table, while Hearts are vying for a European spot. Key players to watch include ST Mirren’s top scorer, who has netted 6 goals this season, and Hearts' creative midfielder, contributing significantly to their attacking play. Both teams will be looking to secure crucial points, with ST Mirren aiming to solidify their home form against a competitive Hearts side.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

22%

45%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

49%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Heart Of Midlothian goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	11	10	5	2	1
1	6	14	9	5	2	1
2	4	6	4	2	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ ST Mirren goals · most likely 1–1 (13.9%)

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Players in form

ST Mirren

K. Phillips 3 gls

Samu 1 gls

Heart Of Midlothian

J. Wilson 3 gls

J. McPake 2 gls

Cláudio Braga 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

49%

Draw

29%

Home Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

49%

Draw

29%

Home Win

22%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

69% Away (No Draw) 31% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Away Win by 2+ 8% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals 22% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.2%	11.5%	9.9%	5.0%	1.9%
1	6.5%	13.9%	9.3%	4.7%	1.8%
2	3.8%	5.8%	4.4%	2.2%	0.8%
3	1.2%	1.8%	1.4%	0.7%	0.3%
4	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	ST Mirren	Draw	Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren	12.3%	4.1%	2.2%
Draw	9.1%	18.9%	18.0%
Heart Of Midlothian	1.3%	4.1%	30.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: ST Mirren vs Heart Of Midlothian

1 ST Mirren Wins

1 Draws

1 Heart Of Midlothian Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 Feb 2026	ST Mirren	1 - 0	Heart Of Midlothian
14 Jan 2026	Heart Of Midlothian	2 - 0	ST Mirren
29 Oct 2025	ST Mirren	2 - 2	Heart Of Midlothian

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ST Mirren — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Dundee Utd	L	0 - 3
09 Sep	A Rangers	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Celtic	L	1 - 2
02 Sep	A Kilmarnock	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	H Motherwell	D	3 - 3

Heart Of Midlothian — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Kilmarnock	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	A Falkirk	L	2 - 1
11 Sep	A Stenhousemuir	W	0 - 3
06 Sep	H Dundee	W	2 - 1
03 Sep	A Hibernian	W	1 - 3

Premiership Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	7	6	0	1	14	4	+10	18
2	Rangers	7	5	1	1	8	4	+4	16
3	Heart Of Midlothian	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
4	Dundee	7	3	1	3	9	7	+2	10
5	ST Mirren	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
6	ST Johnstone	7	2	2	3	9	10	-1	8
7	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
8	Dundee Utd	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
9	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
10	Hibernian	7	2	1	4	8	11	-3	7
11	Falkirk	7	1	3	3	6	9	-3	6
12	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	6	15	-9	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.