ST Johnstone vs ST Mirren Prediction

Premiership · Regular Season - 16

02 Dec 2026, 19:45

Post on X

ST Mirren

Away

McDiarmid Park, Perth

AI call ST Mirren or draw

33%

30%

37%

Home Win Draw Away Win

ST Johnstone vs ST Mirren prediction: Sportiko gives ST Johnstone a 33% chance of winning, ST Mirren 37% and the draw 30%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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72% 73% 73%

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.6%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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ST Johnstone

DLWDL

ST Mirren

LLLWD

Last 3 meetings ST Johnstone · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premiership clash, St Johnstone will face St Mirren. Both teams have shown fluctuating form this season, but St Johnstone has a stronger home record, averaging 1.5 goals per game at home while conceding 1.0. St Mirren, on the other hand, struggles on the road, with only 0.8 goals scored per away game and 1.4 conceded. The matchup could hinge on St Johnstone's ability to exploit defensive weaknesses, particularly in St Mirren's away performances. Overall, this match is likely to be closely contested, with St Johnstone favored to capitalize on their home ground advantage.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

ST Mirren goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	9	7	3	1
1	8	15	8	4	1
2	6	8	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ ST Johnstone goals · most likely 1–1 (14.6%)

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Players in form

ST Johnstone

J. Fowler 4 gls

ST Mirren

K. Phillips 3 gls

Samu 1 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

37%

Home Win

33%

Draw

30%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

37%

Home Win

33%

Draw

30%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

53% Away (No Draw) 47% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Away Win by 2+ 14% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Away Scores More 33% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.0%	9.1%	6.9%	3.0%	1.0%
1	8.3%	14.6%	8.3%	3.6%	1.2%
2	6.0%	7.7%	5.0%	2.1%	0.7%
3	2.4%	3.1%	2.0%	0.9%	0.3%
4	0.7%	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	ST Johnstone	Draw	ST Mirren
ST Johnstone	21.5%	5.0%	2.1%
Draw	10.9%	19.3%	13.9%
ST Mirren	1.3%	4.0%	22.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: ST Johnstone vs ST Mirren

1 ST Johnstone Wins

0 Draws

2 ST Mirren Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Aug 2026	ST Mirren	1 - 0	ST Johnstone
01 Feb 2025	ST Mirren	0 - 1	ST Johnstone
14 Dec 2024	ST Johnstone	2 - 3	ST Mirren

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ST Johnstone — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Falkirk	D	1 - 1
09 Sep	H Celtic	L	0 - 1
06 Sep	H Hibernian	W	2 - 1
02 Sep	A Dundee	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	A Heart Of Midlothian	L	2 - 1

ST Mirren — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Dundee Utd	L	0 - 3
09 Sep	A Rangers	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Celtic	L	1 - 2
02 Sep	A Kilmarnock	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	H Motherwell	D	3 - 3

Premiership Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	7	6	0	1	14	4	+10	18
2	Rangers	7	5	1	1	8	4	+4	16
3	Heart Of Midlothian	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
4	Dundee	7	3	1	3	9	7	+2	10
5	ST Mirren	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
6	ST Johnstone	7	2	2	3	9	10	-1	8
7	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
8	Dundee Utd	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
9	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
10	Hibernian	7	2	1	4	8	11	-3	7
11	Falkirk	7	1	3	3	6	9	-3	6
12	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	6	15	-9	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.