ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock Prediction

Premiership · Regular Season - 15

28 Nov 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Kilmarnock

Away

The SMISA Stadium, Paisley

AI call Kilmarnock or draw

25%

31%

44%

Home Win Draw Away Win

ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock prediction: Sportiko gives ST Mirren a 25% chance of winning, Kilmarnock 44% and the draw 31%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.5%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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ST Mirren

LLLWD

Kilmarnock

DWDDL

Last 3 meetings ST Mirren · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premiership clash, St Mirren will host Kilmarnock on November 28, 2026. St Mirren has shown a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game this season, while Kilmarnock has struggled to score, averaging only 0.9 goals per match. The matchup will likely hinge on St Mirren's ability to capitalize on Kilmarnock's defensive vulnerabilities, as the visitors have allowed 1.5 goals per match. Both teams will aim for crucial points as they navigate the league standings, making this encounter vital for their respective campaigns.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Kilmarnock goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	11	9	4	1
1	8	14	9	4	1
2	5	6	4	2	1
3	2	2	1	1
4		1
5

↑ ST Mirren goals · most likely 1–1 (14.5%)

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Players in form

ST Mirren

K. Phillips 3 gls

Samu 1 gls

Kilmarnock

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Draw

31%

Home Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Draw

31%

Home Win

25%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

63% Away (No Draw) 37% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Away Win by 2+ 10% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals 25% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.1%	11.3%	8.9%	4.1%	1.4%
1	7.6%	14.5%	8.8%	4.1%	1.4%
2	4.6%	6.3%	4.4%	2.0%	0.7%
3	1.5%	2.1%	1.4%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.4%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	ST Mirren	Draw	Kilmarnock
ST Mirren	14.6%	4.3%	2.0%
Draw	10.3%	20.0%	16.7%
Kilmarnock	1.3%	4.2%	26.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

37%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock

1 ST Mirren Wins

1 Draws

1 Kilmarnock Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
02 Sep 2026	Kilmarnock	0 - 1	ST Mirren
11 Feb 2026	Kilmarnock	4 - 3	ST Mirren
27 Dec 2025	ST Mirren	0 - 0	Kilmarnock

See all 10 meetings — Premium

ST Mirren — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Dundee Utd	L	0 - 3
09 Sep	A Rangers	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Celtic	L	1 - 2
02 Sep	A Kilmarnock	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	H Motherwell	D	3 - 3

Kilmarnock — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Heart Of Midlothian	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	A Hibernian	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Aberdeen	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Aberdeen	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	H ST Mirren	L	0 - 1

Premiership Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	7	6	0	1	14	4	+10	18
2	Rangers	7	5	1	1	8	4	+4	16
3	Heart Of Midlothian	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
4	Dundee	7	3	1	3	9	7	+2	10
5	ST Mirren	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
6	ST Johnstone	7	2	2	3	9	10	-1	8
7	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
8	Dundee Utd	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
9	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
10	Hibernian	7	2	1	4	8	11	-3	7
11	Falkirk	7	1	3	3	6	9	-3	6
12	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	6	15	-9	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.