Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen Prediction

Premiership · Regular Season - 14

21 Nov 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Aberdeen

Away

AI call Kilmarnock to win or draw

69%

21%

10%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen prediction: Sportiko gives Kilmarnock a 69% chance of winning, Aberdeen 10% and the draw 21%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 13.4%

Both teams to score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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Kilmarnock

DWDDL

Aberdeen

DWDDL

Last 3 meetings Kilmarnock · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Kilmarnock faces Aberdeen in a crucial Premiership clash, both teams vying for valuable points as the season progresses. Kilmarnock has displayed a solid defensive structure, averaging 1.2 goals conceded per game, while Aberdeen has been inconsistent, struggling to convert chances, with a goal conversion rate of just 9%. Both teams will need to capitalize on set-pieces, as Kilmarnock has been particularly effective in this area, scoring 30% of their goals from dead-ball situations. The outcome may hinge on Kilmarnock's ability to maintain their defensive resilience against Aberdeen's attacking threats.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

69%

10%

Draw

21%

45%

Away

10%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Aberdeen goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	7	3	1
1	11	10	3	1
2	13	10	3	1
3	10	7	3	1
4	5	4	1
5	2	2	1

↑ Kilmarnock goals · most likely 2–0 (13.4%)

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Players in form

Kilmarnock

No scorer data.

Aberdeen

K. Nisbet 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

69%

Draw

21%

Away Win

10%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

69%

Draw

21%

Away Win

10%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

87% Home (No Draw) 13% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

45% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

69% Home Scores More 21% Equal Goals 10% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.9%	2.9%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
1	11.2%	10.1%	3.2%	0.8%	0.1%
2	13.4%	9.7%	3.5%	0.8%	0.2%
3	9.7%	7.0%	2.5%	0.6%	0.1%
4	5.3%	3.8%	1.4%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

30%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Kilmarnock	Draw	Aberdeen
Kilmarnock	46.6%	2.9%	0.7%
Draw	21.4%	13.1%	4.2%
Aberdeen	2.5%	3.0%	5.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

37%

1.5

63%

65%

2.5

35%

85%

3.5

15%

Home Exact Goals

12%

25%

28%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

49%

35%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen

1 Kilmarnock Wins

2 Draws

0 Aberdeen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Sep 2026	Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Aberdeen
05 Sep 2026	Aberdeen	0 - 0	Kilmarnock
31 Jan 2026	Kilmarnock	3 - 0	Aberdeen

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Kilmarnock — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Heart Of Midlothian	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	A Hibernian	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Aberdeen	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Aberdeen	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	H ST Mirren	L	0 - 1

Aberdeen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Hibernian	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	A Motherwell	W	0 - 4
12 Sep	A Kilmarnock	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Kilmarnock	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	A Celtic	L	3 - 0

Premiership Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	7	6	0	1	14	4	+10	18
2	Rangers	7	5	1	1	8	4	+4	16
3	Heart Of Midlothian	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
4	Dundee	7	3	1	3	9	7	+2	10
5	ST Mirren	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
6	ST Johnstone	7	2	2	3	9	10	-1	8
7	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
8	Dundee Utd	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
9	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
10	Hibernian	7	2	1	4	8	11	-3	7
11	Falkirk	7	1	3	3	6	9	-3	6
12	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	6	15	-9	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.