Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk Prediction
FT
Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh
AI call
Difficult Heart Of Midlothian win or draw
51%
25%
24%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk prediction: Sportiko gives Heart Of Midlothian a 51% chance of winning, Falkirk 24% and the draw 25%. Last updated 9 Nov 2026, 21:00.
Premium picks
Premium- 1st Half Home or Draw 74%
- Away to Score 72%
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
4'
Finley Barbrook
⚽
0–2
17'
Owen Eames
assist: Brad Spencer
Cláudio Braga
Goal cancelled
20'
🖵
⚽
0–3
33'
Jacob Murrell
assist: D. Meļņiks
Laurent Mendy
⇄ Matthew Gillies
45'
⇄
Yan Dhanda
⇄ Severin Sabri Guendouz
45'
⇄
⚽
0–4
45+2'
Liam Henderson
HT 0–4
⚽
0–5
47'
Jacob Murrell
assist: Ethan Ross
Severin Sabri Guendouz
assist: Josh McPake
50'
⚽
1–5
⇄
57'
Brad Spencer
⇄ B. Krauhaus
Malachi Fagan-Walcott
60'
⇄
▮
64'
Finley Barbrook
Yellow Card
▮
65'
Owen Eames
Yellow Card
▮
68'
Jacob Murrell
Yellow Card
⇄
70'
Owen Eames
⇄ Calvin Fodrey
Cláudio Braga
Penalty
75'
⚽
2–5
▮
78'
Calvin Fodrey
Yellow Card
▮
79'
D. Meļņiks
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
79'
▮
⇄
79'
Jacob Murrell
⇄ Ben Parkinson
⇄
79'
Ethan Ross
⇄ C. McLeod
⇄
79'
Scott Tanser
⇄ Keelan Adams
Cláudio Braga
⇄ James Wilson
84'
⇄
Pierre Landry Kaboré
⇄ J. Williams
84'
⇄
▮
90+1'
Ben Parkinson
Yellow Card
FT 2–5
Heart Of Midlothian
Match Stats
Falkirk
59%
Ball Possession
41%
2.01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.61
16
Total Shots
14
6
Shots on Goal
7
3
Shots off Goal
3
7
Blocked Shots
4
13
Shots insidebox
11
3
Shots outsidebox
3
4
Corner Kicks
5
3
Offsides
2
11
Fouls
20
1
Yellow Cards
6
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
438
Total passes
303
352
Passes accurate
216
20
Free Kicks
9
Heart Of Midlothian
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Severin Sabri Guendouz F | 7.3 | 45' | 1 | – | 1 | 17 (14%) | – |
| 15 Josh McPake M | 7.3 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 30 (24%) | – |
| 20 L. Kabashi F | 6.7 | 30' | – | – | 1 | 25 (20%) | 1 |
| 11 Pierre Landry Kaboré F | 6.6 | 84' | – | – | 2 | 14 (12%) | – |
| 23 Jordi Altena D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 44 (37%) | 3 |
| 9 J. Williams F | 6.5 | 6' | – | – | 1 | 4 (3%) | – |
| 10 Cláudio Braga M | 6.3 | 84' | 1 | – | 4 | 26 (20%) | 1 |
| 21 James Wilson F | 6.3 | 6' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 17 Stuart Findlay D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (41%) | 1 |
| 31 Yan Dhanda M | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 22 (18%) | – |
| 29 Sabah Kerjota M | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 44 (34%) | – |
| 78 Laurent Mendy M | 5.8 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 19 (12%) | – |
| 5 Jamie McCart D | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (39%) | 1 |
| 1 Beau Reus G | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (20%) | – |
| 39 Matthew Gillies D | 5.6 | 45' | – | – | – | 24 (19%) | 2 |
| 64 Malachi Fagan-Walcott D | 5.5 | 60' | – | – | – | 46 (37%) | 1 |
Falkirk
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jacob Murrell F | 8.4 | 79' | 2 | – | 3 | 14 (9%) | – |
| 16 Finley Barbrook M | 7.8 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 33 (25%) | 6 |
| 5 Liam Henderson D | 7.5 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 40 (34%) | 1 |
| 42 Owen Eames M | 7.2 | 70' | 1 | – | 3 | 16 (9%) | 1 |
| 17 Scott Tanser D | 6.9 | 79' | – | – | – | 15 (9%) | 2 |
| 23 Ethan Ross M | 6.8 | 79' | – | 1 | 2 | 18 (16%) | 2 |
| 21 D. Meļņiks M | 6.8 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 28 (22%) | 2 |
| 8 Brad Spencer M | 6.7 | 57' | – | 1 | – | 34 (25%) | 3 |
| 19 Scott Bain G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (18%) | – |
| 7 Ben Parkinson F | 6.3 | 11' | – | – | 1 | 2 (1%) | – |
| 2 Keelan Adams D | 6.2 | 11' | – | – | – | 5 (1%) | 1 |
| 4 J. McMillan D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (22%) | 3 |
| 15 Lewis Neilson D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (19%) | – |
| 27 C. McLeod M | 6.0 | 11' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | 1 |
| 28 B. Krauhaus M | 5.9 | 33' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | 1 |
| 99 Calvin Fodrey M | 5.8 | 20' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (51%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Heart Of Midlothian win or draw
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Heart Of Midlothian
LLLDW
Falkirk
WWWWW
Last 3 meetings
Heart Of Midlothian · 2W 0D 1L
Match summary
Heart of Midlothian faces Falkirk in a key Premiership clash on November 8, 2026. Heart of Midlothian has shown a strong home record, leveraging their attacking prowess, averaging 1.8 goals per game this season. Falkirk, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2.1 goals per match away from home. This match could hinge on Heart of Midlothian's ability to exploit Falkirk's defensive vulnerabilities while maintaining solid control in midfield. The outcome may significantly impact both teams' positions in the league standings.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
51%
45%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
24%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Heart Of Midlothian
Cláudio Braga
6 gls
C. Miller
5 gls
J. McPake
3 gls
J. Wilson
3 gls
L. Mendy
3 gls
Falkirk
J. Murrell
7 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk
2
Heart Of Midlothian Wins
0
Draws
1
Falkirk Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep 2026 | Falkirk | 2 - 1 | Heart Of Midlothian |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian | 1 - 0 | Falkirk |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Falkirk | 0 - 2 | Heart Of Midlothian |
Heart Of Midlothian — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | H Falkirk | L | 2 - 5 |
| 05 Nov | A FC Thun | L | 3 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | H Hibernian | L | 1 - 2 |
| 28 Oct | H Rangers | D | 2 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | A Motherwell | W | 0 - 2 |
Falkirk — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | A Heart Of Midlothian | W | 2 - 5 |
| 01 Nov | H Celtic | W | 2 - 0 |
| 28 Oct | A Aberdeen | W | 0 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | H Kilmarnock | W | 3 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | A Hibernian | W | 1 - 2 |
Premiership Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Celtic
|
13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 10 | +18 | 31 |
| 2 |
Rangers
|
12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 27 |
| 3 |
Falkirk
|
13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 21 |
| 4 |
Heart Of Midlothian
|
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 22 | +4 | 20 |
| 5 |
Dundee
|
12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 |
Dundee Utd
|
12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 |
ST Johnstone
|
13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 17 |
| 8 |
ST Mirren
|
13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 14 |
| 9 |
Motherwell
|
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 13 |
| 10 |
Hibernian
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |
Aberdeen
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 |
Kilmarnock
|
13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 9 |
Heart Of Midlothian
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: W. Vrancken
1
Reus
5
McCart
17
Findlay
64
Fagan-Walcott
23
Altena
31
Dhanda
78
Mendy
15
McPake
10
Braga
29
Kerjota
11
Kabore
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Reus | G |
| 23 | J. Altena | D |
| 64 | M. Fagan-Walcott | D |
| 17 | S. Findlay | D |
| 5 | J. McCart | D |
| 78 | L. Mendy | M |
| 31 | Y. Dhanda | M |
| 29 | S. Kerjota | M |
| 10 | Cláudio Braga | M |
| 15 | J. McPake | M |
| 11 | P. Kabore | F |
Substitutes
| 30 | R. Fulton | G |
| 27 | A. Benjaminsen | F |
| 77 | A. Ba-Sy | F |
| 39 | M. Gillies | D |
| 19 | S. Guendouz | F |
| 20 | L. Kabashi | F |
| 33 | F. Pollock | M |
| 9 | J. Williams | F |
| 21 | J. Wilson | F |
Falkirk
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: J. McGlynn
19
Bain
17
Tanser
5
Henderson
15
Neilson
4
McMillan
8
Spencer
16
Barbrook
42
Eames
23
Ross
21
Meļņiks
24
Murrell
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | S. Bain | G |
| 4 | J. McMillan | D |
| 15 | L. Neilson | D |
| 5 | L. Henderson | D |
| 17 | S. Tanser | D |
| 16 | Finley Frank Barbrook | M |
| 8 | B. Spencer | M |
| 21 | D. Meļņiks | M |
| 23 | E. Ross | M |
| 42 | Owen Eames | M |
| 24 | J. Murrell | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | N. Hogarth | G |
| 2 | K. Adams | D |
| 14 | F. Yeats | M |
| 99 | C. Fodrey | M |
| 27 | C. McLeod | M |
| 28 | B. Krauhaus | M |
| 10 | C. Sibbald | M |
| 7 | Ben Parkinson | F |
| 9 | R. MacIver | F |