Falkirk vs Kilmarnock Prediction

Premiership · Regular Season - 10

24 Oct 2026, 14:00

Post on X

Kilmarnock

Away

AI call Falkirk to win or draw

72%

20%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Falkirk vs Kilmarnock prediction: Sportiko gives Falkirk a 72% chance of winning, Kilmarnock 8% and the draw 20%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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76% 71%

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 15.6%

Both teams to score

39%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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Falkirk

DWDLL

Kilmarnock

DWDDL

Last 3 meetings Falkirk · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

Falkirk will face Kilmarnock in a crucial Premiership match on October 24, 2026. Falkirk has shown a solid attacking form, averaging 1.8 goals per game this season, while Kilmarnock's defense has been susceptible, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. Both teams have struggled with consistency, making this a potentially tight contest. Key player performances, particularly in midfield, will likely influence the outcome. Expect both teams to push for a win to bolster their league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

72%

45%

Draw

20%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Kilmarnock goals →

	0	1	2
0	8	3	1
1	13	9	2
2	16	9	3
3	11	6	2
4	6	3	1
5	3	1

↑ Falkirk goals · most likely 2–0 (15.6%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

72%

Draw

20%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

72%

Draw

20%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

90% Home (No Draw) 10% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

48% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

72% Home Scores More 20% Equal Goals 8% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

26%

23%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.9%	2.8%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
1	13.5%	9.4%	2.4%	0.5%	0.1%
2	15.6%	8.9%	2.5%	0.5%	0.1%
3	11.1%	6.3%	1.8%	0.3%	0.1%
4	6.0%	3.4%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

70%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Falkirk	Draw	Kilmarnock
Falkirk	48.9%	2.5%	0.4%
Draw	22.6%	13.3%	3.4%
Kilmarnock	2.2%	2.6%	4.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

38%

1.5

62%

65%

2.5

35%

85%

3.5

15%

Home Exact Goals

12%

26%

28%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

57%

32%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

77%

0.5

23%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Falkirk vs Kilmarnock

3 Falkirk Wins

0 Draws

0 Kilmarnock Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
28 Feb 2026	Falkirk	5 - 1	Kilmarnock
20 Dec 2025	Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Falkirk
01 Nov 2025	Falkirk	3 - 1	Kilmarnock

Falkirk — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A ST Johnstone	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Heart Of Midlothian	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Dundee Utd	D	1 - 1
02 Sep	H Rangers	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	A Celtic	L	2 - 1

Kilmarnock — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Heart Of Midlothian	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	A Hibernian	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Aberdeen	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Aberdeen	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	H ST Mirren	L	0 - 1

Premiership Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	7	6	0	1	14	4	+10	18
2	Rangers	7	5	1	1	8	4	+4	16
3	Heart Of Midlothian	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
4	Dundee	7	3	1	3	9	7	+2	10
5	ST Mirren	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
6	ST Johnstone	7	2	2	3	9	10	-1	8
7	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
8	Dundee Utd	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
9	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
10	Hibernian	7	2	1	4	8	11	-3	7
11	Falkirk	7	1	3	3	6	9	-3	6
12	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	6	15	-9	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.