Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian Prediction

Premiership · Regular Season - 10

24 Oct 2026, 14:00

Post on X

Heart Of Midlothian

Away

Fir Park, Motherwell

AI call Heart Of Midlothian or draw

21%

29%

50%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction: Sportiko gives Motherwell a 21% chance of winning, Heart Of Midlothian 50% and the draw 29%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.7%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Motherwell

LLLWD

Heart Of Midlothian

DLWWW

Last 3 meetings Motherwell · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premiership clash, Motherwell faces Heart of Midlothian. Motherwell has shown resilience at home, but their recent form has been inconsistent, with a mix of wins and losses in their last five matches. Heart of Midlothian, on the other hand, has been stronger on the road, with a solid record against lower-ranked teams. Key players to watch include Motherwell's top scorer, who can exploit defensive frailties, and Heart's midfield orchestrator, who can control the tempo. This matchup could hinge on which team can capitalize on transitional plays and maintain defensive discipline.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Heart Of Midlothian goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	11	10	5	2	1
1	6	14	9	5	2	1
2	4	6	4	2	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Motherwell goals · most likely 1–1 (13.7%)

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Players in form

Motherwell

A. Lowry 2 gls

Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise 1 gls

Heart Of Midlothian

J. Wilson 3 gls

J. McPake 2 gls

Cláudio Braga 2 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

50%

Draw

29%

Home Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

50%

Draw

29%

Home Win

21%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

70% Away (No Draw) 30% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Away Win by 2+ 8% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

50% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals 21% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

18%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.9%	11.3%	10.0%	5.2%	2.0%
1	6.3%	13.7%	9.4%	4.9%	1.9%
2	3.7%	5.7%	4.4%	2.3%	0.9%
3	1.2%	1.8%	1.4%	0.7%	0.3%
4	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Motherwell	Draw	Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell	12.0%	4.0%	2.2%
Draw	8.9%	18.6%	18.0%
Heart Of Midlothian	1.3%	4.1%	31.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian

0 Motherwell Wins

2 Draws

1 Heart Of Midlothian Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Apr 2026	Heart Of Midlothian	3 - 1	Motherwell
29 Nov 2025	Motherwell	0 - 0	Heart Of Midlothian
23 Aug 2025	Heart Of Midlothian	3 - 3	Motherwell

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Motherwell — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Dundee	L	2 - 1
15 Sep	H Aberdeen	L	0 - 4
05 Sep	A Rangers	L	1 - 0
02 Sep	H Dundee Utd	W	3 - 0
30 Aug	A ST Mirren	D	3 - 3

Heart Of Midlothian — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Kilmarnock	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	A Falkirk	L	2 - 1
11 Sep	A Stenhousemuir	W	0 - 3
06 Sep	H Dundee	W	2 - 1
03 Sep	A Hibernian	W	1 - 3

Premiership Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	7	6	0	1	14	4	+10	18
2	Rangers	7	5	1	1	8	4	+4	16
3	Heart Of Midlothian	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
4	Dundee	7	3	1	3	9	7	+2	10
5	ST Mirren	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
6	ST Johnstone	7	2	2	3	9	10	-1	8
7	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
8	Dundee Utd	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
9	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
10	Hibernian	7	2	1	4	8	11	-3	7
11	Falkirk	7	1	3	3	6	9	-3	6
12	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	6	15	-9	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.