Aberdeen vs ST Mirren Prediction

Premiership · Regular Season - 9

17 Oct 2026, 14:00

Post on X

ST Mirren

Away

Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen

AI call Difficult ST Mirren win or draw

21%

26%

53%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Aberdeen vs ST Mirren prediction: Sportiko gives Aberdeen a 21% chance of winning, ST Mirren 53% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.6%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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Aberdeen

DWDDL

ST Mirren

LLLWD

Last 3 meetings Aberdeen · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Aberdeen faces St Mirren in a crucial Premiership clash. Historically, Aberdeen has demonstrated a strong home record, capitalizing on their attacking prowess, averaging over 1.5 goals per game this season. St Mirren, however, has been resilient defensively, boasting a solid away record with several key clean sheets. The match could hinge on Aberdeen's ability to break down St Mirren's defense, while St Mirren will likely aim to exploit any defensive lapses from the hosts. This tactical battle will be pivotal in determining the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

ST Mirren goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	9	9	6	3	1
1	5	13	10	6	3	1
2	3	6	5	3	1
3	1	2	2	1
4		1
5

↑ Aberdeen goals · most likely 1–1 (12.5%)

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Players in form

Aberdeen

K. Nisbet 3 gls

ST Mirren

K. Phillips 3 gls

Samu 1 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

53%

Draw

26%

Home Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

47%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

53%

Draw

26%

Home Win

21%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

72% Away (No Draw) 28% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Away Win by 2+ 8% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

53% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 21% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

47%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	9.1%	9.5%	5.7%	2.5%
1	4.8%	12.6%	9.9%	5.9%	2.7%
2	3.3%	5.8%	5.2%	3.1%	1.4%
3	1.1%	2.0%	1.8%	1.1%	0.5%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Aberdeen	Draw	ST Mirren
Aberdeen	11.8%	4.2%	2.7%
Draw	8.3%	16.0%	18.2%
ST Mirren	1.4%	4.1%	33.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Aberdeen vs ST Mirren

1 Aberdeen Wins

1 Draws

1 ST Mirren Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Apr 2026	ST Mirren	2 - 0	Aberdeen
03 Dec 2025	Aberdeen	3 - 3	ST Mirren
18 Oct 2025	ST Mirren	0 - 1	Aberdeen

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Aberdeen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Hibernian	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	A Motherwell	W	0 - 4
12 Sep	A Kilmarnock	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Kilmarnock	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	A Celtic	L	3 - 0

ST Mirren — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Dundee Utd	L	0 - 3
09 Sep	A Rangers	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Celtic	L	1 - 2
02 Sep	A Kilmarnock	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	H Motherwell	D	3 - 3

Premiership Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	7	6	0	1	14	4	+10	18
2	Rangers	7	5	1	1	8	4	+4	16
3	Heart Of Midlothian	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
4	Dundee	7	3	1	3	9	7	+2	10
5	ST Mirren	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
6	ST Johnstone	7	2	2	3	9	10	-1	8
7	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
8	Dundee Utd	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
9	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
10	Hibernian	7	2	1	4	8	11	-3	7
11	Falkirk	7	1	3	3	6	9	-3	6
12	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	6	15	-9	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.