Motherwell vs Celtic Prediction

Premiership · Regular Season - 8

10 Oct 2026, 14:00

Post on X

Celtic

Away

Fir Park, Motherwell

AI call Difficult Motherwell win or draw

54%

27%

18%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Motherwell vs Celtic prediction: Sportiko gives Motherwell a 54% chance of winning, Celtic 18% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Motherwell

LLLWD

Celtic

LLLWW

Last 3 meetings Motherwell · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premiership clash, Motherwell faces Celtic, who have been historically dominant in this matchup. Celtic's attacking prowess is underscored by their impressive goal tally, averaging 2.3 goals per match this season. Motherwell will need to tighten their defense, having conceded an average of 1.5 goals per game. Additionally, Celtic's midfield control and pressing intensity could overwhelm Motherwell, especially if they exploit defensive lapses. This match promises to be a test of Motherwell's resilience against a high-flying Celtic side.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Celtic goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	5	3	1
1	12	13	5	1
2	11	10	4	1
3	6	5	2	1
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Motherwell goals · most likely 1–1 (13.0%)

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Players in form

Motherwell

A. Lowry 2 gls

Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise 1 gls

Celtic

C. Durán 3 gls

B. Nygren 3 gls

K. Høgh 3 gls

Yang Hyun-Jun 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

27%

Away Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

27%

Away Win

18%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

75% Home (No Draw) 25% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

31% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

54% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 18% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	5.4%	3.0%	0.9%	0.2%
1	11.6%	13.0%	5.1%	1.5%	0.3%
2	11.0%	9.7%	4.3%	1.3%	0.3%
3	6.2%	5.4%	2.4%	0.7%	0.2%
4	2.6%	2.3%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Motherwell	Draw	Celtic
Motherwell	34.2%	3.8%	1.1%
Draw	19.4%	17.5%	7.5%
Celtic	2.4%	4.0%	10.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

27%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Motherwell vs Celtic

1 Motherwell Wins

0 Draws

2 Celtic Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Mar 2026	Celtic	3 - 1	Motherwell
30 Dec 2025	Motherwell	2 - 0	Celtic
05 Oct 2025	Celtic	3 - 2	Motherwell

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Motherwell — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Dundee	L	2 - 1
15 Sep	H Aberdeen	L	0 - 4
05 Sep	A Rangers	L	1 - 0
02 Sep	H Dundee Utd	W	3 - 0
30 Aug	A ST Mirren	D	3 - 3

Celtic — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Rangers	L	0 - 1
17 Sep	H Ferencvarosi TC	L	1 - 3
13 Sep	A Rangers	L	3 - 0
09 Sep	A ST Johnstone	W	0 - 1
05 Sep	A ST Mirren	W	1 - 2

Premiership Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	7	6	0	1	14	4	+10	18
2	Rangers	7	5	1	1	8	4	+4	16
3	Heart Of Midlothian	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
4	Dundee	7	3	1	3	9	7	+2	10
5	ST Mirren	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
6	ST Johnstone	7	2	2	3	9	10	-1	8
7	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
8	Dundee Utd	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
9	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
10	Hibernian	7	2	1	4	8	11	-3	7
11	Falkirk	7	1	3	3	6	9	-3	6
12	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	6	15	-9	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.