Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren Prediction

Premiership · Regular Season - 8

10 Oct 2026, 14:00

Post on X

ST Mirren

Away

Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh

AI call Heart Of Midlothian to win or draw

65%

24%

11%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren prediction: Sportiko gives Heart Of Midlothian a 65% chance of winning, ST Mirren 11% and the draw 24%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 14.1%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Heart Of Midlothian

DLWWW

ST Mirren

LLLWD

Last 3 meetings Heart Of Midlothian · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Heart of Midlothian faces St. Mirren in a crucial Premiership clash. Historically, Hearts have shown a stronger performance at home, with a higher win percentage against St. Mirren in recent encounters. The home team is looking to capitalize on their attacking prowess, averaging 1.8 goals per match this season. St. Mirren, however, has demonstrated resilience, managing to secure points in challenging fixtures. This match could hinge on Hearts' ability to convert chances against a St. Mirren defense that has exhibited vulnerabilities, particularly against high-pressing teams.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

ST Mirren goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	4	2
1	14	11	3	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	9	6	2
4	4	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Heart Of Midlothian goals · most likely 2–0 (14.1%)

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Players in form

Heart Of Midlothian

J. Wilson 3 gls

J. McPake 2 gls

Cláudio Braga 2 gls

ST Mirren

K. Phillips 3 gls

Samu 1 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

65%

Draw

24%

Away Win

11%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

65%

Draw

24%

Away Win

11%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

85% Home (No Draw) 15% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

40% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

65% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 11% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.2%	3.9%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
1	13.7%	11.2%	3.3%	0.7%	0.1%
2	14.1%	9.3%	3.1%	0.7%	0.1%
3	8.9%	5.9%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%
4	4.2%	2.8%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Heart Of Midlothian	Draw	ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian	42.6%	3.0%	0.6%
Draw	21.7%	15.8%	4.9%
ST Mirren	2.2%	3.1%	6.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

52%

34%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren

1 Heart Of Midlothian Wins

1 Draws

1 ST Mirren Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 Feb 2026	ST Mirren	1 - 0	Heart Of Midlothian
14 Jan 2026	Heart Of Midlothian	2 - 0	ST Mirren
29 Oct 2025	ST Mirren	2 - 2	Heart Of Midlothian

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Heart Of Midlothian — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Kilmarnock	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	A Falkirk	L	2 - 1
11 Sep	A Stenhousemuir	W	0 - 3
06 Sep	H Dundee	W	2 - 1
03 Sep	A Hibernian	W	1 - 3

ST Mirren — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Dundee Utd	L	0 - 3
09 Sep	A Rangers	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Celtic	L	1 - 2
02 Sep	A Kilmarnock	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	H Motherwell	D	3 - 3

Premiership Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	7	6	0	1	14	4	+10	18
2	Rangers	7	5	1	1	8	4	+4	16
3	Heart Of Midlothian	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
4	Dundee	7	3	1	3	9	7	+2	10
5	ST Mirren	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
6	ST Johnstone	7	2	2	3	9	10	-1	8
7	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
8	Dundee Utd	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
9	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
10	Hibernian	7	2	1	4	8	11	-3	7
11	Falkirk	7	1	3	3	6	9	-3	6
12	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	6	15	-9	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.