ST Johnstone vs Falkirk Prediction
FT
McDiarmid Park, Perth
AI call
ST Johnstone or draw
45%
29%
26%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
ST Johnstone vs Falkirk prediction: Sportiko gives ST Johnstone a 45% chance of winning, Falkirk 26% and the draw 29%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 15:55.
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Timeline
Cheick Diabate
Yellow Card
45'
▮
HT 0–0
Cheick Diabate
Red Card
53'
▮
Josh Campbell
⇄ Daniel Finlayson
55'
⇄
⚽
0–1
60'
Ethan Ross
assist: Owen Eames
Reece McAlear
⇄ Ruari Paton
65'
⇄
Jason Holt
⇄ Sam Stanton
65'
⇄
⇄
67'
Finley Barbrook
⇄ Craig Sibbald
⇄
67'
Jacob Murrell
⇄ R. MacIver
⇄
75'
Ethan Ross
⇄ Calvin Fodrey
⇄
75'
Owen Eames
⇄ A. Doherty
Zach Mitchell
⇄ D. Schmidt
77'
⇄
⇄
89'
B. Krauhaus
⇄ J. McMillan
Ruari Paton
Yellow Card
90'
▮
Enes Alic
Yellow Card
90+2'
▮
Enes Alic
90+6'
⚽
1–1
FT 1–1
ST Johnstone
Match Stats
Falkirk
44%
Ball Possession
56%
8
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Goal
4
2
Shots off Goal
2
1
Blocked Shots
6
4
Shots insidebox
9
4
Shots outsidebox
3
3
Corner Kicks
8
13
Fouls
18
2
Yellow Cards
0
1
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
371
Total passes
472
278
Passes accurate
378
18
Free Kicks
13
ST Johnstone
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Josh Fowler F | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 19 Daniel Finlayson D | 6.7 | 35' | – | – | – | 10 (7%) | – |
| 8 Jason Holt M | 6.6 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 34 (33%) | 1 |
| 33 Liam Smith D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (27%) | 2 |
| 11 Sam Stanton M | 6.5 | 25' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | – |
| 5 Zach Mitchell D | 6.4 | 77' | – | – | 1 | 42 (30%) | – |
| 99 Ruari Paton F | 6.4 | 25' | – | – | 1 | 3 (2%) | 1 |
| 30 Joel Cotterill M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (22%) | 1 |
| 32 Josh Campbell M | 6.3 | 55' | – | – | – | 10 (6%) | – |
| 1 Toby Steward G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (15%) | – |
| 22 D. Schmidt F | 6.2 | 13' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 2 Enes Alic D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 50 (32%) | 3 |
| 42 Reece McAlear M | 6.0 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 36 (30%) | 2 |
| 7 Taylor Steven M | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 28 (22%) | 1 |
| 3 Cheick Diabate D | 5.8 | 53' | – | – | – | 45 (38%) | 1 |
Falkirk
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Ethan Ross M | 8.2 | 75' | 1 | – | 2 | 17 (13%) | 1 |
| 22 Ryan Strain D | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 64 (52%) | 3 |
| 19 Scott Bain G | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (35%) | – |
| 21 D. Meļņiks D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (40%) | – |
| 42 Owen Eames M | 7.5 | 75' | – | 1 | 1 | 20 (16%) | – |
| 3 Leon McCann D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (38%) | 1 |
| 5 Liam Henderson D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 59 (49%) | – |
| 28 B. Krauhaus M | 7.2 | 89' | – | – | 3 | 37 (32%) | 1 |
| 4 J. McMillan D | 7.0 | 1' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 99 Calvin Fodrey M | 6.9 | 15' | – | – | 1 | 16 (13%) | – |
| 10 Craig Sibbald M | 6.8 | 23' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 9 R. MacIver F | 6.7 | 23' | – | – | – | 8 (4%) | 2 |
| 16 Finley Barbrook M | 6.7 | 67' | – | – | – | 36 (32%) | 1 |
| 47 A. Doherty F | 6.6 | 15' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | 1 |
| 8 Brad Spencer M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 54 (36%) | 2 |
| 24 Jacob Murrell F | 6.1 | 67' | – | – | 2 | 9 (3%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (45%)
At a glance
Our lean
ST Johnstone or draw
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ST Johnstone
WDDLD
Falkirk
WWWWL
Match summary
In the upcoming Premiership match, St. Johnstone will face Falkirk. St. Johnstone has shown resilience at home, with a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.1 goals per game this season. Conversely, Falkirk has struggled on the road, managing only 1 win in their last 5 away fixtures, indicating potential vulnerabilities in their defensive setup. Both teams will be eager to secure points, but St. Johnstone's home form suggests they may have the upper hand in this encounter.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
45%
45%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
26%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
ST Johnstone
J. Fowler
6 gls
Falkirk
J. Murrell
5 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: ST Johnstone vs Falkirk
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
ST Johnstone — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Dundee | W | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A Kilmarnock | D | 2 - 2 |
| 28 Oct | H Motherwell | D | 2 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | A Rangers | L | 4 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | H Dundee Utd | D | 1 - 1 |
Falkirk — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | H Celtic | W | 2 - 0 |
| 28 Oct | A Aberdeen | W | 0 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | H Kilmarnock | W | 3 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | A Hibernian | W | 1 - 2 |
| 10 Oct | H Dundee | L | 1 - 2 |
Premiership Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Celtic
|
12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 10 | +17 | 28 |
| 2 |
Rangers
|
12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 27 |
| 3 |
Heart Of Midlothian
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 17 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |
Falkirk
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 18 |
| 5 |
Dundee
|
12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 |
Dundee Utd
|
12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 |
ST Johnstone
|
13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 17 |
| 8 |
ST Mirren
|
13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 14 |
| 9 |
Motherwell
|
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 13 |
| 10 |
Hibernian
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |
Aberdeen
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 |
Kilmarnock
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 9 |
Falkirk
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: J. McGlynn
19
Bain
3
McCann
5
Henderson
21
Meļņiks
22
Strain
8
Spencer
16
Barbrook
42
Eames
28
Krauhaus
23
Ross
24
Murrell
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | S. Bain | G |
| 22 | R. Strain | D |
| 21 | D. Meļņiks | D |
| 5 | L. Henderson | D |
| 3 | L. McCann | D |
| 16 | Finley Frank Barbrook | M |
| 8 | B. Spencer | M |
| 23 | E. Ross | M |
| 28 | B. Krauhaus | M |
| 42 | Owen Eames | M |
| 24 | J. Murrell | F |
Substitutes
| 99 | C. Fodrey | M |
| 1 | N. Hogarth | G |
| 9 | R. MacIver | F |
| 4 | J. McMillan | D |
| 15 | L. Neilson | D |
| 7 | Ben Parkinson | F |
| 10 | C. Sibbald | M |
| 17 | S. Tanser | D |
| 47 | A. Doherty | F |
ST Johnstone
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: S. Valakari
1
Steward
2
Alıç
3
Diabate
5
Mitchell
33
Smith
8
Holt
42
McAlear
7
Steven
30
Cotterill
32
Campbell
9
Fowler
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Steward | G |
| 33 | L. Smith | D |
| 5 | Z. Mitchell | D |
| 3 | C. Diabate | D |
| 2 | E. Alıç | D |
| 42 | R. McAlear | M |
| 8 | J. Holt | M |
| 32 | J. Campbell | M |
| 30 | J. Cotterill | M |
| 7 | T. Steven | M |
| 9 | J. Fowler | F |
Substitutes
| 19 | D. Finlayson | D |
| 18 | K. Fotheringham | F |
| 14 | M. Foulds | D |
| 99 | R. Paton | F |
| 22 | D. Schmidt | F |
| 20 | R. Sinclair | G |
| 11 | S. Stanton | M |
| 25 | M. Tait | M |
| 26 | M. Todd | M |