ST Johnstone vs Falkirk Prediction

Premiership Premiership · Regular Season - 7
FT
Post on X
McDiarmid Park, Perth
AI call ST Johnstone or draw
45%
29%
26%
Home Win Draw Away Win

ST Johnstone vs Falkirk prediction: Sportiko gives ST Johnstone a 45% chance of winning, Falkirk 26% and the draw 29%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 15:55.

Premium picks

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  • Over 1.5 Goals 76%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

Cheick Diabate Yellow Card
45'
HT 0–0
Cheick Diabate Red Card
53'
Josh Campbell ⇄ Daniel Finlayson
55'
0–1 60'
Ethan Ross assist: Owen Eames
Reece McAlear ⇄ Ruari Paton
65'
Jason Holt ⇄ Sam Stanton
65'
67'
Finley Barbrook ⇄ Craig Sibbald
67'
Jacob Murrell ⇄ R. MacIver
75'
Ethan Ross ⇄ Calvin Fodrey
75'
Owen Eames ⇄ A. Doherty
Zach Mitchell ⇄ D. Schmidt
77'
89'
B. Krauhaus ⇄ J. McMillan
Ruari Paton Yellow Card
90'
Enes Alic  Yellow Card
90+2'
Enes Alic 
90+6' 1–1
FT 1–1
ST Johnstone

Match Stats

Falkirk
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 4
2 Shots off Goal 2
1 Blocked Shots 6
4 Shots insidebox 9
4 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Corner Kicks 8
13 Fouls 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
1 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
371 Total passes 472
278 Passes accurate 378
18 Free Kicks 13
ST Johnstone
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Josh Fowler F 6.8 90' 10 (9%)
19 Daniel Finlayson D 6.7 35' 10 (7%)
8 Jason Holt M 6.6 65' 1 34 (33%) 1
33 Liam Smith D 6.5 90' 38 (27%) 2
11 Sam Stanton M 6.5 25' 6 (4%)
5 Zach Mitchell D 6.4 77' 1 42 (30%)
99 Ruari Paton F 6.4 25' 1 3 (2%) 1
30 Joel Cotterill M 6.3 90' 26 (22%) 1
32 Josh Campbell M 6.3 55' 10 (6%)
1 Toby Steward G 6.2 90' 32 (15%)
22 D. Schmidt F 6.2 13' 1 (1%)
2 Enes Alic  D 6.1 90' 1 50 (32%) 3
42 Reece McAlear M 6.0 65' 1 36 (30%) 2
7 Taylor Steven M 5.9 90' 2 28 (22%) 1
3 Cheick Diabate D 5.8 53' 45 (38%) 1
Falkirk
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
23 Ethan Ross M 8.2 75' 1 2 17 (13%) 1
22 Ryan Strain D 7.9 90' 64 (52%) 3
19 Scott Bain G 7.6 90' 44 (35%)
21 D. Meļņiks D 7.6 90' 46 (40%)
42 Owen Eames M 7.5 75' 1 1 20 (16%)
3 Leon McCann D 7.4 90' 42 (38%) 1
5 Liam Henderson D 7.3 90' 1 59 (49%)
28 B. Krauhaus M 7.2 89' 3 37 (32%) 1
4 J. McMillan D 7.0 1' 3 (2%)
99 Calvin Fodrey M 6.9 15' 1 16 (13%)
10 Craig Sibbald M 6.8 23' 7 (5%)
9 R. MacIver F 6.7 23' 8 (4%) 2
16 Finley Barbrook M 6.7 67' 36 (32%) 1
47 A. Doherty F 6.6 15' 9 (7%) 1
8 Brad Spencer M 6.4 90' 2 54 (36%) 2
24 Jacob Murrell F 6.1 67' 2 9 (3%)
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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Our lean
ST Johnstone or draw
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ST Johnstone
DLWDL
Falkirk
DWDLL

Match summary

In the upcoming Premiership match, St. Johnstone will face Falkirk. St. Johnstone has shown resilience at home, with a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.1 goals per game this season. Conversely, Falkirk has struggled on the road, managing only 1 win in their last 5 away fixtures, indicating potential vulnerabilities in their defensive setup. Both teams will be eager to secure points, but St. Johnstone's home form suggests they may have the upper hand in this encounter.

Live insights

90' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 90.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Falkirk leads 0-1. Win probability: 86.3%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 13.7%.

60' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Falkirk win: 77.4%. BTTS: 32%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 72.1%. Over 1.5 remaining: 39.8%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
45%
45%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
26%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

ST Johnstone
J. Fowler 4 gls
Falkirk

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: ST Johnstone vs Falkirk

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

ST Johnstone — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Falkirk D 1 - 1
09 Sep H Celtic L 0 - 1
06 Sep H Hibernian W 2 - 1
02 Sep A Dundee D 1 - 1
29 Aug A Heart Of Midlothian L 2 - 1

Falkirk — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A ST Johnstone D 1 - 1
15 Sep H Heart Of Midlothian W 2 - 1
05 Sep A Dundee Utd D 1 - 1
02 Sep H Rangers L 1 - 2
29 Aug A Celtic L 2 - 1

Premiership Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Celtic
7 6 0 1 +10 18
2
Rangers
7 5 1 1 +4 16
3
Heart Of Midlothian
7 4 1 2 +6 13
4
Dundee
7 3 1 3 +2 10
5
ST Mirren
7 3 1 3 -1 10
6
ST Johnstone
7 2 2 3 -1 8
7
Aberdeen
7 2 2 3 -1 8
8
Dundee Utd
7 2 2 3 -2 8
9
Motherwell
7 2 2 3 -2 8
10
Hibernian
7 2 1 4 -3 7
11
Falkirk
7 1 3 3 -3 6
12
Kilmarnock
7 1 2 4 -9 5

Falkirk

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: J. McGlynn
19 Bain
3 McCann
5 Henderson
21 Meļņiks
22 Strain
8 Spencer
16 Barbrook
42 Eames
28 Krauhaus
23 Ross
24 Murrell

Starting XI

# Player Pos
19 S. Bain G
22 R. Strain D
21 D. Meļņiks D
5 L. Henderson D
3 L. McCann D
16 Finley Frank Barbrook M
8 B. Spencer M
23 E. Ross M
28 B. Krauhaus M
42 Owen Eames M
24 J. Murrell F

Substitutes

99 C. Fodrey M
1 N. Hogarth G
9 R. MacIver F
4 J. McMillan D
15 L. Neilson D
7 Ben Parkinson F
10 C. Sibbald M
17 S. Tanser D
47 A. Doherty F

ST Johnstone

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: S. Valakari
1 Steward
2 Alıç
3 Diabate
5 Mitchell
33 Smith
8 Holt
42 McAlear
7 Steven
30 Cotterill
32 Campbell
9 Fowler

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 T. Steward G
33 L. Smith D
5 Z. Mitchell D
3 C. Diabate D
2 E. Alıç D
42 R. McAlear M
8 J. Holt M
32 J. Campbell M
30 J. Cotterill M
7 T. Steven M
9 J. Fowler F

Substitutes

19 D. Finlayson D
18 K. Fotheringham F
14 M. Foulds D
99 R. Paton F
22 D. Schmidt F
20 R. Sinclair G
11 S. Stanton M
25 M. Tait M
26 M. Todd M

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