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Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian Prediction

Premiership Premiership · Regular Season - 7
FT
Post on X
Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

Home
1 : 1
HT 1 - 0
Heart Of Midlothian

Heart Of Midlothian

Away
The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park, Kilmarnock
AI call Difficult Heart Of Midlothian win or draw
21%
25%
54%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction: Sportiko gives Kilmarnock a 21% chance of winning, Heart Of Midlothian 54% and the draw 25%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 18:38.

Timeline

C. McCarthy Yellow Card
10' ▮
🖵 13'
Laurent Mendy Goal cancelled
Jamie McCart Own Goal
16' ⚽ 1–0
⇄ 32'
Stuart Findlay ⇄ Harry Milne
HT 1–0
⇄ 59'
Cláudio Braga ⇄ J. Williams
⇄ 59'
Tomas Magnusson ⇄ Ageu
⇄ 59'
Josh McPake ⇄ Severin Sabri Guendouz
▮ 63'
Stephen Kingsley Yellow Card
Bailey Rice ⇄ Aaron Tshibola
67' ⇄
⇄ 69'
Calvin Miller ⇄ Sabah Kerjota
Tyreece John-Jules ⇄ Mark O'Hara
76' ⇄
Tom Lowery ⇄ Rory McKenzie
82' ⇄
Michael Schjønning-Larsen Yellow Card
83' ▮
⚽ 1–1 86'
Stephen Kingsley
▮ 90'
Christian Borchgrevink Yellow Card
FT 1–1
Kilmarnock

Match Stats

Heart Of Midlothian
33% Ball Possession 67%
4 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Goal 3
1 Shots off Goal 8
3 Blocked Shots 6
4 Shots insidebox 11
0 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Corner Kicks 6
13 Fouls 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 0
271 Total passes 535
179 Passes accurate 450
16 Free Kicks 13
Kilmarnock
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
14 George Stanger D 6.9 90' – – – 24 (17%) 2
11 Greg Kiltie M 6.8 90' – – 1 22 (19%) 1
2 Jamie Brandon D 6.7 90' – – – 18 (12%) 1
7 Rory McKenzie M 6.6 8' – – – 2 (2%) –
36 Aaron Tshibola M 6.5 23' – – – 6 (5%) –
5 Mark O'Hara M 6.5 14' – – – 2 (1%) –
10 Tyreece John-Jules F 6.4 76' – – 2 24 (14%) 3
18 Tom Lowery M 6.3 82' – – – 32 (27%) 2
8 Erik Ring M 6.2 90' – – 1 17 (7%) 1
49 Bailey Rice M 6.2 67' – – – 20 (16%) 2
21 Michael Schjønning-Larsen D 6.1 90' – – – 30 (22%) 1
9 Joe Hugill F 6.1 90' – – – 13 (10%) 1
4 C. McCarthy D 5.8 90' – – – 24 (17%) 2
12 Calum Ferrie G 5.7 90' – – – 36 (10%) –
Heart Of Midlothian
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
3 Stephen Kingsley D 7.7 90' 1 – 1 71 (63%) 1
10 Cláudio Braga F 7.2 59' – – 4 18 (12%) 3
29 Sabah Kerjota F 6.9 21' – – – 21 (18%) 1
19 Severin Sabri Guendouz F 6.8 31' – – 4 12 (11%) 1
8 Ageu M 6.8 31' – – – 23 (23%) –
78 Laurent Mendy M 6.7 90' – – – 35 (30%) 3
2 Christian Borchgrevink D 6.6 90' – – – 71 (54%) 6
17 Stuart Findlay D 6.6 32' – – – 22 (18%) –
1 Beau Reus G 6.5 90' – – – 23 (22%) –
18 Harry Milne D 6.4 58' – – 1 28 (23%) 3
21 James Wilson F 6.4 90' – – 1 16 (14%) 2
7 Calvin Miller M 6.3 69' – – 3 30 (22%) 1
9 J. Williams F 6.3 31' – – 1 3 (3%) 1
15 Josh McPake M 6.1 59' – – 1 26 (16%) 2
5 Jamie McCart D 6.0 90' – – – 102 (94%) 1
22 Tomas Magnusson M 6.0 59' – – – 24 (17%) 1
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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult Heart Of Midlothian win or draw
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Kilmarnock
DWDDL
Heart Of Midlothian
DLWWW
Last 3 meetings Kilmarnock · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Kilmarnock will face Heart of Midlothian in a Premiership clash, with both teams aiming for crucial points as the season progresses. Kilmarnock's recent form shows a tendency to struggle defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. In contrast, Hearts have demonstrated a more robust attack, averaging 1.8 goals per game. Key players to watch include Kilmarnock's leading scorer, who will need to provide offensive support, while Hearts will rely on their midfield dominance to control the game. This matchup could hinge on Kilmarnock's ability to contain Hearts' attacking threats.

Live insights

88' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 90.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Kilmarnock leads 1-0. Win probability: 78%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 22%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Kilmarnock leads. Win probability: 57.4%. Over 0.5 more goals: 77.1%.

18' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Kilmarnock win: 49.3%. BTTS: 78.9%.

13' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Heart Of Midlothian win: 79.4%. BTTS: 62.3%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Kilmarnock

No scorer data.

Heart Of Midlothian
J. Wilson 3 gls
J. McPake 2 gls
Cláudio Braga 2 gls

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Head to Head: Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian

1 Kilmarnock Wins
1 Draws
1 Heart Of Midlothian Wins
Date Home Score Away
14 Mar 2026 Kilmarnock 1 - 0 Heart Of Midlothian
03 Dec 2025 Heart Of Midlothian 1 - 1 Kilmarnock
18 Oct 2025 Kilmarnock 0 - 3 Heart Of Midlothian
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Kilmarnock — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Heart Of Midlothian D 1 - 1
15 Sep A Hibernian W 0 - 1
12 Sep H Aberdeen D 1 - 1
05 Sep A Aberdeen D 0 - 0
02 Sep H ST Mirren L 0 - 1

Heart Of Midlothian — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Kilmarnock D 1 - 1
15 Sep A Falkirk L 2 - 1
11 Sep A Stenhousemuir W 0 - 3
06 Sep H Dundee W 2 - 1
03 Sep A Hibernian W 1 - 3

Premiership Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Celtic
7 6 0 1 +10 18
2
Rangers
7 5 1 1 +4 16
3
Heart Of Midlothian
7 4 1 2 +6 13
4
Dundee
7 3 1 3 +2 10
5
ST Mirren
7 3 1 3 -1 10
6
ST Johnstone
7 2 2 3 -1 8
7
Aberdeen
7 2 2 3 -1 8
8
Dundee Utd
7 2 2 3 -2 8
9
Motherwell
7 2 2 3 -2 8
10
Hibernian
7 2 1 4 -3 7
11
Falkirk
7 1 3 3 -3 6
12
Kilmarnock
7 1 2 4 -9 5

Kilmarnock

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: N. McCann
12 Ferrie
21 Schjønning-Larsen
14 Stanger
4 McCarthy
2 Brandon
11 Kiltie
49 Rice
18 Lowery
8 Ring
9 Hugill
10 John-Jules

Starting XI

# Player Pos
12 C. Ferrie G
2 J. Brandon D
4 C. McCarthy D
14 G. Stanger D
21 M. Schjønning-Larsen D
8 E. Ring M
18 T. Lowery M
49 B. Rice M
11 G. Kiltie M
10 T. John-Jules F
9 J. Hugill F

Substitutes

39 E. Bowie D
37 C. Burke F
20 N. Cleșcenco F
7 R. McKenzie M
19 J. Meier D
5 M. O'Hara M
27 I. Owen F
40 C. Armour G
36 A. Tshibola M

Heart Of Midlothian

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: W. Vrancken
1 Reus
3 Kingsley
17 Findlay
5 McCart
2 Borchgrevink
15 McPake
22 Magnússon
78 Mendy
7 Miller
10 Braga
21 Wilson

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 B. Reus G
2 C. Borchgrevink D
5 J. McCart D
17 S. Findlay D
3 S. Kingsley D
7 C. Miller M
78 L. Mendy M
22 T. Magnússon M
15 J. McPake M
21 J. Wilson F
10 Cláudio Braga F

Substitutes

30 R. Fulton G
31 Y. Dhanda F
29 S. Kerjota F
74 R. Mato F
18 H. Milne D
9 J. Williams F
23 J. Altena D
8 Ageu M
19 S. Guendouz F

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