Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian Prediction
FT
The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park, Kilmarnock
AI call
Difficult Heart Of Midlothian win or draw
21%
25%
54%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction: Sportiko gives Kilmarnock a 21% chance of winning, Heart Of Midlothian 54% and the draw 25%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 18:38.
Timeline
C. McCarthy
Yellow Card
10'
▮
🖵
13'
Laurent Mendy
Goal cancelled
Jamie McCart
Own Goal
16'
⚽
1–0
⇄
32'
Stuart Findlay
⇄ Harry Milne
HT 1–0
⇄
59'
Cláudio Braga
⇄ J. Williams
⇄
59'
Tomas Magnusson
⇄ Ageu
⇄
59'
Josh McPake
⇄ Severin Sabri Guendouz
▮
63'
Stephen Kingsley
Yellow Card
Bailey Rice
⇄ Aaron Tshibola
67'
⇄
⇄
69'
Calvin Miller
⇄ Sabah Kerjota
Tyreece John-Jules
⇄ Mark O'Hara
76'
⇄
Tom Lowery
⇄ Rory McKenzie
82'
⇄
Michael Schjønning-Larsen
Yellow Card
83'
▮
⚽
1–1
86'
Stephen Kingsley
▮
90'
Christian Borchgrevink
Yellow Card
FT 1–1
Kilmarnock
Match Stats
Heart Of Midlothian
33%
Ball Possession
67%
4
Total Shots
17
0
Shots on Goal
3
1
Shots off Goal
8
3
Blocked Shots
6
4
Shots insidebox
11
0
Shots outsidebox
6
2
Corner Kicks
6
13
Fouls
17
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
0
271
Total passes
535
179
Passes accurate
450
16
Free Kicks
13
Kilmarnock
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 George Stanger D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (17%) | 2 |
| 11 Greg Kiltie M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 22 (19%) | 1 |
| 2 Jamie Brandon D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 18 (12%) | 1 |
| 7 Rory McKenzie M | 6.6 | 8' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 36 Aaron Tshibola M | 6.5 | 23' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 5 Mark O'Hara M | 6.5 | 14' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 10 Tyreece John-Jules F | 6.4 | 76' | – | – | 2 | 24 (14%) | 3 |
| 18 Tom Lowery M | 6.3 | 82' | – | – | – | 32 (27%) | 2 |
| 8 Erik Ring M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 17 (7%) | 1 |
| 49 Bailey Rice M | 6.2 | 67' | – | – | – | 20 (16%) | 2 |
| 21 Michael Schjønning-Larsen D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (22%) | 1 |
| 9 Joe Hugill F | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 13 (10%) | 1 |
| 4 C. McCarthy D | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (17%) | 2 |
| 12 Calum Ferrie G | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (10%) | – |
Heart Of Midlothian
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Stephen Kingsley D | 7.7 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 71 (63%) | 1 |
| 10 Cláudio Braga F | 7.2 | 59' | – | – | 4 | 18 (12%) | 3 |
| 29 Sabah Kerjota F | 6.9 | 21' | – | – | – | 21 (18%) | 1 |
| 19 Severin Sabri Guendouz F | 6.8 | 31' | – | – | 4 | 12 (11%) | 1 |
| 8 Ageu M | 6.8 | 31' | – | – | – | 23 (23%) | – |
| 78 Laurent Mendy M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (30%) | 3 |
| 2 Christian Borchgrevink D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 71 (54%) | 6 |
| 17 Stuart Findlay D | 6.6 | 32' | – | – | – | 22 (18%) | – |
| 1 Beau Reus G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (22%) | – |
| 18 Harry Milne D | 6.4 | 58' | – | – | 1 | 28 (23%) | 3 |
| 21 James Wilson F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 16 (14%) | 2 |
| 7 Calvin Miller M | 6.3 | 69' | – | – | 3 | 30 (22%) | 1 |
| 9 J. Williams F | 6.3 | 31' | – | – | 1 | 3 (3%) | 1 |
| 15 Josh McPake M | 6.1 | 59' | – | – | 1 | 26 (16%) | 2 |
| 5 Jamie McCart D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 102 (94%) | 1 |
| 22 Tomas Magnusson M | 6.0 | 59' | – | – | – | 24 (17%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Medium (54%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Heart Of Midlothian win or draw
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Kilmarnock
DLLWL
Heart Of Midlothian
LLDWL
Last 3 meetings
Kilmarnock · 1W 1D 1L
Match summary
Kilmarnock will face Heart of Midlothian in a Premiership clash, with both teams aiming for crucial points as the season progresses. Kilmarnock's recent form shows a tendency to struggle defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. In contrast, Hearts have demonstrated a more robust attack, averaging 1.8 goals per game. Key players to watch include Kilmarnock's leading scorer, who will need to provide offensive support, while Hearts will rely on their midfield dominance to control the game. This matchup could hinge on Kilmarnock's ability to contain Hearts' attacking threats.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Kilmarnock
G. Kiltie
3 gls
Heart Of Midlothian
Cláudio Braga
5 gls
C. Miller
5 gls
J. McPake
3 gls
J. Wilson
3 gls
L. Mendy
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian
1
Kilmarnock Wins
1
Draws
1
Heart Of Midlothian Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | Kilmarnock | 1 - 0 | Heart Of Midlothian |
| 03 Dec 2025 | Heart Of Midlothian | 1 - 1 | Kilmarnock |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Kilmarnock | 0 - 3 | Heart Of Midlothian |
Kilmarnock — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | H ST Johnstone | D | 2 - 2 |
| 28 Oct | A Dundee | L | 3 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | A Falkirk | L | 3 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | H Motherwell | W | 3 - 2 |
| 10 Oct | A Rangers | L | 3 - 1 |
Heart Of Midlothian — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | A FC Thun | L | 3 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | H Hibernian | L | 1 - 2 |
| 28 Oct | H Rangers | D | 2 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | A Motherwell | W | 0 - 2 |
| 22 Oct | A Trabzonspor | L | 2 - 0 |
Premiership Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Celtic
|
12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 10 | +17 | 28 |
| 2 |
Rangers
|
12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 27 |
| 3 |
Heart Of Midlothian
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 17 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |
Falkirk
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 18 |
| 5 |
Dundee
|
12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 |
Dundee Utd
|
12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 |
ST Johnstone
|
13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 17 |
| 8 |
ST Mirren
|
13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 14 |
| 9 |
Motherwell
|
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 13 |
| 10 |
Hibernian
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |
Aberdeen
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 |
Kilmarnock
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 9 |
Kilmarnock
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: N. McCann
12
Ferrie
21
Schjønning-Larsen
14
Stanger
4
McCarthy
2
Brandon
11
Kiltie
49
Rice
18
Lowery
8
Ring
9
Hugill
10
John-Jules
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | C. Ferrie | G |
| 2 | J. Brandon | D |
| 4 | C. McCarthy | D |
| 14 | G. Stanger | D |
| 21 | M. Schjønning-Larsen | D |
| 8 | E. Ring | M |
| 18 | T. Lowery | M |
| 49 | B. Rice | M |
| 11 | G. Kiltie | M |
| 10 | T. John-Jules | F |
| 9 | J. Hugill | F |
Substitutes
| 39 | E. Bowie | D |
| 37 | C. Burke | F |
| 20 | N. Cleșcenco | F |
| 7 | R. McKenzie | M |
| 19 | J. Meier | D |
| 5 | M. O'Hara | M |
| 27 | I. Owen | F |
| 40 | C. Armour | G |
| 36 | A. Tshibola | M |
Heart Of Midlothian
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: W. Vrancken
1
Reus
3
Kingsley
17
Findlay
5
McCart
2
Borchgrevink
15
McPake
22
Magnússon
78
Mendy
7
Miller
10
Braga
21
Wilson
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Reus | G |
| 2 | C. Borchgrevink | D |
| 5 | J. McCart | D |
| 17 | S. Findlay | D |
| 3 | S. Kingsley | D |
| 7 | C. Miller | M |
| 78 | L. Mendy | M |
| 22 | T. Magnússon | M |
| 15 | J. McPake | M |
| 21 | J. Wilson | F |
| 10 | Cláudio Braga | F |
Substitutes
| 30 | R. Fulton | G |
| 31 | Y. Dhanda | F |
| 29 | S. Kerjota | F |
| 74 | R. Mato | F |
| 18 | H. Milne | D |
| 9 | J. Williams | F |
| 23 | J. Altena | D |
| 8 | Ageu | M |
| 19 | S. Guendouz | F |