ST Johnstone vs Hibernian Prediction
FT
McDiarmid Park, Perth
AI call
Hibernian or draw
33%
29%
38%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
ST Johnstone vs Hibernian prediction: Sportiko gives ST Johnstone a 33% chance of winning, Hibernian 38% and the draw 29%. Last updated 6 Sep 2026, 15:53.
Premium picks
Premium- Away to Score 75%
- Home to Score 73%
- 1st Half Draw or Away 74%
- Under 3.5 Goals 72%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
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Timeline
Josh Fowler
17'
⚽
1–0
Jamie Gullan
⇄ Kai Fotheringham
22'
⇄
⚽
1–1
29'
Nathan Lowe
assist: Miguel Changa Chaiwa
Taylor Steven
Yellow Card
36'
▮
Josh Fowler
Penalty
41'
⚽
2–1
⇄
45'
Martin Boyle
⇄ Ante Šuto
HT 2–1
Taylor Steven
57'
⇄
⇄
61'
Jacob Devaney
⇄ Callum Wright
⇄
61'
Nathan Lowe
⇄ Thibault Klidjé
⇄
61'
Grant Hanley
⇄ Kanayochukwu Megwa
Josh Fowler
⇄ D. Schmidt
72'
⇄
Sam Stanton
⇄ Macaulay Tait
72'
⇄
Kai Fotheringham
⇄ M. Todd
72'
⇄
⇄
75'
Josh Mulligan
⇄ Nicky Cadden
FT 2–1
ST Johnstone
Match Stats
Hibernian
58%
Ball Possession
42%
9
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots off Goal
5
1
Blocked Shots
6
6
Shots insidebox
10
3
Shots outsidebox
4
2
Corner Kicks
7
1
Offsides
4
10
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
445
Total passes
499
361
Passes accurate
411
12
Free Kicks
9
ST Johnstone
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Josh Fowler F | 7.7 | 72' | 2 | – | 4 | 5 (3%) | – |
| 5 Zach Mitchell D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (25%) | 2 |
| 8 Jason Holt M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 55 (52%) | 2 |
| 7 Taylor Steven F | 6.9 | 57' | – | – | – | 30 (22%) | 2 |
| 3 Cheick Diabate D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 69 (62%) | – |
| 2 Enes Alic D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 51 (42%) | 2 |
| 22 D. Schmidt F | 6.6 | 18' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 11 Sam Stanton M | 6.5 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 22 (19%) | 2 |
| 10 Jamie Gullan F | 6.5 | 22' | – | – | – | 6 (2%) | – |
| 26 M. Todd M | 6.4 | 18' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 42 Reece McAlear M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (30%) | 2 |
| 18 Kai Fotheringham F | 6.3 | 50' | – | – | – | 31 (27%) | – |
| Seamus Maughan | 6.2 | 33' | – | – | 1 | 16 (15%) | 2 |
| 1 Toby Steward G | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (27%) | – |
| 33 Liam Smith D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 31 (22%) | 1 |
| 25 Macaulay Tait M | 6.0 | 18' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
Hibernian
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nathan Lowe F | 7.5 | 61' | 1 | – | 1 | 4 (4%) | – |
| 27 Kanayochukwu Megwa D | 6.9 | 29' | – | – | 1 | 25 (22%) | 1 |
| 14 Miguel Changa Chaiwa M | 6.8 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 45 (31%) | – |
| 3 Adam Mayor D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 55 (43%) | 2 |
| 4 Grant Hanley D | 6.6 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 62 (56%) | 1 |
| 17 Jamie McGrath M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 29 (26%) | 2 |
| 18 Thibault Klidjé F | 6.5 | 29' | – | – | 3 | 3 (2%) | – |
| 24 Jacob Devaney M | 6.4 | 61' | – | – | – | 41 (36%) | 2 |
| 6 Jason Kerr D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 84 (71%) | 2 |
| 22 Ante Šuto F | 6.3 | 44' | – | – | 2 | 7 (4%) | – |
| 8 Josh Mulligan M | 6.2 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 14 (13%) | 1 |
| 1 Raphael Sallinger G | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (36%) | – |
| 25 Felix Passlack D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 53 (41%) | 2 |
| 23 Callum Wright M | 6.1 | 29' | – | – | 1 | 11 (7%) | – |
| 10 Martin Boyle M | 6.0 | 46' | – | – | – | 11 (9%) | – |
| 19 Nicky Cadden M | 5.6 | 15' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (38%)
At a glance
Our lean
Hibernian or draw
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ST Johnstone
DLWDL
Hibernian
DLWLL
Last 3 meetings
ST Johnstone · 0W 1D 2L
Match summary
In the upcoming Premiership clash, St Johnstone will face Hibernian. St Johnstone's recent form has been inconsistent, with their last five matches yielding only two wins. Conversely, Hibernian has shown resilience, securing key points in their last encounters. Both teams will look to capitalize on defensive weaknesses, as St Johnstone has conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match this season, while Hibernian has struggled to keep clean sheets. This match could be pivotal for both squads as they aim to improve their standings in the league.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
33%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
38%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
ST Johnstone
J. Fowler
4 gls
Hibernian
M. Boyle
3 gls
C. Wright
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: ST Johnstone vs Hibernian
0
ST Johnstone Wins
1
Draws
2
Hibernian Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar 2025 | Hibernian | 3 - 0 | ST Johnstone |
| 02 Jan 2025 | ST Johnstone | 1 - 1 | Hibernian |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Hibernian | 2 - 0 | ST Johnstone |
ST Johnstone — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Falkirk | D | 1 - 1 |
| 09 Sep | H Celtic | L | 0 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | H Hibernian | W | 2 - 1 |
| 02 Sep | A Dundee | D | 1 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | A Heart Of Midlothian | L | 2 - 1 |
Hibernian — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Aberdeen | D | 1 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | H Kilmarnock | L | 0 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Ross County | W | 0 - 3 |
| 06 Sep | A ST Johnstone | L | 2 - 1 |
| 03 Sep | H Heart Of Midlothian | L | 1 - 3 |
Premiership Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Celtic
|
7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | +10 | 18 |
| 2 |
Rangers
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 3 |
Heart Of Midlothian
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 13 |
| 4 |
Dundee
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 |
ST Mirren
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |
ST Johnstone
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 |
Aberdeen
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 |
Dundee Utd
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 |
Motherwell
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |
Hibernian
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 |
Falkirk
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 |
Kilmarnock
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 |
Hibernian
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Craig Bellamy
1
Sallinger
3
Mayor
4
Hanley
6
Kerr
25
Passlack
24
Devaney
17
McGrath
14
Chaiwa
8
Mulligan
10
Boyle
9
Lowe
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Sallinger | G |
| 25 | F. Passlack | D |
| 6 | J. Kerr | D |
| 4 | G. Hanley | D |
| 3 | A. Mayor | D |
| 24 | J. Devaney | M |
| 10 | M. Boyle | M |
| 8 | J. Mulligan | M |
| 14 | M. Chaiwa | M |
| 17 | J. McGrath | M |
| 9 | N. Lowe | F |
Substitutes
| 11 | J. Newell | M |
| 13 | J. Smith | G |
| 22 | A. Šuto | F |
| 12 | Alex Williams | D |
| 23 | C. Wright | M |
| 27 | K. Megwa | D |
| 18 | T. Klidje | F |
| 19 | N. Cadden | M |
| 49 | A. Abdulai | M |
ST Johnstone
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: S. Valakari
1
Steward
2
Alıç
3
Diabate
5
Mitchell
33
Smith
8
Holt
42
McAlear
11
Stanton
10
Gullan
9
Fowler
7
Steven
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Steward | G |
| 33 | L. Smith | D |
| 5 | Z. Mitchell | D |
| 3 | C. Diabate | D |
| 2 | E. Alıç | D |
| 11 | S. Stanton | M |
| 42 | R. McAlear | M |
| 8 | J. Holt | M |
| 7 | T. Steven | F |
| 9 | J. Fowler | F |
| 10 | J. Gullan | F |
Substitutes
| 4 | M. Boyes | D |
| 30 | Joel Cotterill | M |
| 18 | K. Fotheringham | F |
| 14 | M. Foulds | D |
| 99 | R. Paton | F |
| 22 | D. Schmidt | F |
| 20 | R. Sinclair | G |
| 25 | M. Tait | M |
| 26 | M. Todd | M |