Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Prediction

Premiership Premiership · Regular Season - 6
FT
Post on X
Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh
AI call Difficult Heart Of Midlothian win or draw
62%
23%
15%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee prediction: Sportiko gives Heart Of Midlothian a 62% chance of winning, Dundee 15% and the draw 23%. Last updated 6 Sep 2026, 16:07.

Premium picks

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  • Home 2H Over 0.5 75%
  • Home/Draw & Over 1.5 71%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

10'
Joe Westley ⇄ Bobby Wales
0–1 17'
Bradley Fink assist: Imari Samuels
Josh McPake Yellow Card
35'
45'
Ryan Finnigan ⇄ J. Moorhouse
Oisin McEntee ⇄ Harry Milne
45'
45+8'
Ryan Finnigan Yellow Card
HT 0–1
Calvin Miller ⇄ Sabah Kerjota
60'
Jordi Altena ⇄ Christian Borchgrevink
60'
62'
Ethan Hamilton Yellow Card
65'
Bradley Fink ⇄ Joe Wright
65'
Alan Forrest ⇄ Joe Bevan
James Wilson ⇄ J. Williams
66'
69'
Imari Samuels Yellow Card
76'
Finlay Robertson ⇄ Žan Bešir
Christian Borchgrevink Penalty confirmed
82' 🖵
Cláudio Braga Penalty
84' 1–1
87'
Imari Samuels ⇄ Charlie Reilly
🖵 90'
Žan Bešir Card upgrade confirmed
90+1'
Žan Bešir Red Card
Sabah Kerjota assist: Josh McPake
90+6' 2–1
Sabah Kerjota Yellow Card
90+7'
FT 2–1
Heart Of Midlothian

Match Stats

Dundee
59% Ball Possession 41%
27 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Goal 1
11 Shots off Goal 3
9 Blocked Shots 0
17 Shots insidebox 2
10 Shots outsidebox 2
14 Corner Kicks 2
1 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1
0 Goalkeeper Saves 5
622 Total passes 255
526 Passes accurate 162
18 Free Kicks 11
Heart Of Midlothian
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
29 Sabah Kerjota F 8.2 30' 1 2 13 (11%) 1
15 Josh McPake M 7.4 90' 1 5 38 (33%) 1
17 Stuart Findlay D 7.3 90' 1 89 (81%) 1
6 Oisin McEntee D 7.1 46' 1 46 (42%)
18 Harry Milne D 7.0 44' 51 (43%) 1
5 Jamie McCart D 6.9 90' 79 (69%) 3
10 Cláudio Braga M 6.8 90' 1 12 30 (25%)
23 Jordi Altena D 6.7 60' 52 (44%) 1
9 J. Williams F 6.7 24' 1 4
78 Laurent Mendy M 6.6 90' 47 (42%) 2
2 Christian Borchgrevink D 6.5 30' 30 (22%) 1
7 Calvin Miller M 6.4 60' 3 25 (20%) 1
22 Tomas Magnusson M 6.3 90' 1 67 (48%) 2
21 James Wilson F 6.3 66' 1 13 (13%)
1 Beau Reus G 6.3 90' 38 (33%)
Dundee
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
21 Bradley Fink F 7.3 65' 1 2 14 (7%) 1
1 Owen Goodman G 6.9 90' 40 (15%)
4 Ryan Astley D 6.8 90' 29 (20%) 3
16 J. Moorhouse M 6.8 44' 1 6 (3%)
12 Imari Samuels D 6.7 87' 1 24 (18%) 4
5 Owen Bevan D 6.6 90' 20 (14%) 1
26 Joe Wright D 6.5 25' 4 (2%)
10 Finlay Robertson M 6.4 76' 30 (23%) 5
18 Charlie Reilly F 6.4 3' 1 (1%) 1
19 Joe Westley F 6.3 10'
7 Drey Wright D 6.2 90' 19 (12%)
48 Ethan Hamilton M 6.2 90' 1 21 (17%) 3
27 Joe Bevan M 6.1 25' 1 (1%)
8 Ryan Finnigan M 6.1 46' 9 (9%) 4
14 Alan Forrest M 6.0 65' 24 (16%) 4
9 Bobby Wales F 6.0 80' 12 (3%)
17 Žan Bešir M 5.4 15' 1 (1%)
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Confidence Medium (62%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult Heart Of Midlothian win or draw
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Heart Of Midlothian
DLWWW
Dundee
WLDLW
Last 3 meetings Heart Of Midlothian · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premiership clash, Heart of Midlothian will face Dundee. Historically, Hearts have a solid track record against Dundee, winning 60% of their last 10 encounters. Currently, Hearts are positioned higher in the league standings, showcasing a stronger form with a better goal difference. Dundee, on the other hand, struggles defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per match in their last five outings. This match presents an opportunity for Hearts to capitalize on their attacking prowess against a vulnerable Dundee defense.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
62%
45%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
15%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Heart Of Midlothian
J. Wilson 3 gls
J. McPake 2 gls
Cláudio Braga 2 gls
Dundee
J. Westley 3 gls
B. Fink 2 gls

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Head to Head: Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee

3 Heart Of Midlothian Wins
0 Draws
0 Dundee Wins
Date Home Score Away
21 Mar 2026 Heart Of Midlothian 1 - 0 Dundee
11 Jan 2026 Dundee 0 - 1 Heart Of Midlothian
01 Nov 2025 Heart Of Midlothian 4 - 0 Dundee
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Heart Of Midlothian — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Kilmarnock D 1 - 1
15 Sep A Falkirk L 2 - 1
11 Sep A Stenhousemuir W 0 - 3
06 Sep H Dundee W 2 - 1
03 Sep A Hibernian W 1 - 3

Dundee — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Motherwell W 2 - 1
06 Sep A Heart Of Midlothian L 2 - 1
02 Sep H ST Johnstone D 1 - 1
30 Aug H Hibernian L 1 - 2
22 Aug A Dundee Utd W 0 - 2

Premiership Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Celtic
7 6 0 1 +10 18
2
Rangers
7 5 1 1 +4 16
3
Heart Of Midlothian
7 4 1 2 +6 13
4
Dundee
7 3 1 3 +2 10
5
ST Mirren
7 3 1 3 -1 10
6
ST Johnstone
7 2 2 3 -1 8
7
Aberdeen
7 2 2 3 -1 8
8
Dundee Utd
7 2 2 3 -2 8
9
Motherwell
7 2 2 3 -2 8
10
Hibernian
7 2 1 4 -3 7
11
Falkirk
7 1 3 3 -3 6
12
Kilmarnock
7 1 2 4 -9 5

Dundee

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: S. Pressley
1 Goodman
12 Samuels
5 Bevan
4 Astley
7 Wright
14 Forrest
48 Hamilton
8 Finnigan
10 Robertson
19 Westley
21 Fink

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 O. Goodman G
7 D. Wright D
4 R. Astley D
5 O. Bevan D
12 I. Samuels D
10 F. Robertson M
8 R. Finnigan M
48 E. Hamilton M
14 A. Forrest M
21 B. Fink F
19 J. Westley F

Substitutes

2 B. Halliday D
13 K. O'Hara G
3 I. Odutayo D
18 C. Reilly F
9 B. Wales F
26 J. Wright D
27 J. Bevan M
17 Ž. Bešir M
16 J. Moorhouse M

Heart Of Midlothian

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: W. Vrancken
1 Reus
5 McCart
17 Findlay
6 McEntee
23 Altena
78 Mendy
22 Magnússon
15 McPake
10 Braga
7 Miller
21 Wilson

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 B. Reus G
23 J. Altena D
6 O. McEntee D
17 S. Findlay D
5 J. McCart D
22 T. Magnússon M
78 L. Mendy M
7 C. Miller M
10 Cláudio Braga M
15 J. McPake M
21 J. Wilson F

Substitutes

2 C. Borchgrevink D
30 R. Fulton G
19 S. Guendouz F
11 P. Kabore F
29 S. Kerjota F
74 R. Mato F
18 H. Milne D
9 J. Williams F
77 A. Ba-Sy F

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