Motherwell vs Dundee Utd Prediction

Premiership Premiership · Regular Season - 5
FT
Post on X
Fir Park, Motherwell
AI call Motherwell or draw
49%
26%
25%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Motherwell vs Dundee Utd prediction: Sportiko gives Motherwell a 49% chance of winning, Dundee Utd 25% and the draw 26%. Last updated 2 Sep 2026, 20:35.

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  • Home or Draw 75%
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Timeline

14'
Emmanuel Agyei Red Card
Sebastian Palmer-Houlden assist: Tom Sparrow
19' 1–0
20'
Abdoulaye Yoro ⇄ Dylan Tait
Sebastian Palmer-Houlden Yellow Card
35'
45'
Mehdi Merghem ⇄ Jesse Randall
Jamie Knight-Lebel ⇄ Jake Girdwood-Reich
45'
HT 1–0
57'
Daniel Bennie ⇄ Neil Farrugia
58'
Zachary Sapsford ⇄ Lachlan Rose
Sebastian Palmer-Houlden ⇄ Eythor Bjørgolfsson
59'
Lukas Fadinger ⇄ Dylan Levitt
59'
64'
Will Ferry ⇄ Kevin Ciubotaru
Alex Lowry assist: Tawanda Maswanhise
65' 2–0
Dylan Levitt assist: Tawanda Maswanhise
67' 3–0
Tom Sparrow ⇄ Stephen O'Donnell
68'
Alex Lowry ⇄ W. Vogt
68'
FT 3–0
Motherwell

Match Stats

Dundee Utd
62% Ball Possession 38%
25 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Goal 1
8 Shots off Goal 2
9 Blocked Shots 2
16 Shots insidebox 2
9 Shots outsidebox 3
9 Corner Kicks 3
1 Offsides 1
8 Fouls 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
732 Total passes 292
681 Passes accurate 234
6 Free Kicks 8
Motherwell
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
63 Dylan Levitt M 8.4 31' 1 2 44 (43%)
11 Alex Lowry M 8.2 68' 1 5 45 (40%) 2
47 Sebastian Palmer-Houlden M 8.2 59' 1 4 8 (8%) 1
18 Tawanda Maswanhise F 8.1 90' 2 4 19 (15%) 3
45 Emmanuel Longelo D 7.9 90' 4 51 (45%) 1
7 Tom Sparrow D 7.8 68' 1 55 (51%) 2
4 Jamie Knight-Lebel D 7.6 46' 42 (38%)
3 Jake Girdwood-Reich D 7.5 44' 67 (65%) 1
5 Martin Moormann D 7.4 90' 86 (82%)
8 Lukas Fadinger M 7.2 59' 2 79 (76%) 2
71 Joe Hodge M 7.2 90' 1 124 (117%) 2
1 Alex Paulsen G 7.1 90' 29 (28%)
2 Stephen O'Donnell D 7.0 22' 22 (21%) 1
77 W. Vogt F 6.6 22' 2 11 (8%) 1
15 Eythor Bjørgolfsson F 6.5 31' 4 (2%)
13 J. Kanga M 6.4 90' 1 46 (42%) 1
Dundee Utd
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Mehdi Merghem F 6.6 46' 8 (8%)
20 Neil Farrugia F 6.5 33' 9 (6%)
1 Jack James Walton G 6.5 90' 20 (11%)
15 Lachlan Rose F 6.4 32' 1 3 (2%)
8 Panutche Camará M 6.3 90' 1 37 (34%) 3
77 Daniel Bennie F 6.3 57' 13 (9%) 2
3 Bert Esselink D 6.2 90' 44 (40%) 1
18 Michael Forbes D 6.2 90' 46 (41%)
9 Zachary Sapsford F 6.1 58' 5 (2%) 1
11 Will Ferry D 6.0 64' 18 (12%) 3
19 Kevin Ciubotaru D 6.0 26' 13 (10%) 3
21 Jesse Randall F 5.9 44' 1 9 (9%)
26 Abdoulaye Yoro M 5.8 20' 3 (2%)
10 Dylan Tait M 5.6 70' 2 30 (26%)
23 Joshua Rawlins D 5.4 90' 28 (18%) 3
12 Emmanuel Agyei M 5.1 14' 6 (4%) 2
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Confidence Low (49%)

At a glance

Our lean
Motherwell or draw
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Motherwell
LLLWD
Dundee Utd
WDLWL
Last 3 meetings Motherwell · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premiership clash, Motherwell will face Dundee Utd. Both teams have shown inconsistent form this season, with Motherwell currently sitting mid-table and Dundee Utd struggling near the bottom. Key players to watch include Motherwell's attacking midfielder, who has contributed significantly to their goal tally, and Dundee Utd's defense, which has been leaky, conceding the second-most goals in the league. This match could be pivotal for both sides as they aim to secure valuable points to boost their standings. Expect a tactical battle, with Motherwell likely looking to exploit any defensive frailties from Dundee Utd.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
49%
45%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
25%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Motherwell
A. Lowry 2 gls
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise 1 gls
Dundee Utd
J. Randall 2 gls

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Head to Head: Motherwell vs Dundee Utd

2 Motherwell Wins
1 Draws
0 Dundee Utd Wins
Date Home Score Away
28 Feb 2026 Motherwell 2 - 0 Dundee Utd
13 Dec 2025 Dundee Utd 0 - 0 Motherwell
29 Oct 2025 Motherwell 2 - 0 Dundee Utd
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Motherwell — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Dundee L 2 - 1
15 Sep H Aberdeen L 0 - 4
05 Sep A Rangers L 1 - 0
02 Sep H Dundee Utd W 3 - 0
30 Aug A ST Mirren D 3 - 3

Dundee Utd — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A ST Mirren W 0 - 3
05 Sep H Falkirk D 1 - 1
02 Sep A Motherwell L 3 - 0
29 Aug A Kilmarnock W 0 - 4
22 Aug H Dundee L 0 - 2

Premiership Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Celtic
7 6 0 1 +10 18
2
Rangers
7 5 1 1 +4 16
3
Heart Of Midlothian
7 4 1 2 +6 13
4
Dundee
7 3 1 3 +2 10
5
ST Mirren
7 3 1 3 -1 10
6
ST Johnstone
7 2 2 3 -1 8
7
Aberdeen
7 2 2 3 -1 8
8
Dundee Utd
7 2 2 3 -2 8
9
Motherwell
7 2 2 3 -2 8
10
Hibernian
7 2 1 4 -3 7
11
Falkirk
7 1 3 3 -3 6
12
Kilmarnock
7 1 2 4 -9 5

Motherwell

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Horacio Melgarejo
1 Paulsen
45 Emmanuel
5 Moormann
4 Knight-Lebel
7 Sparrow
8 Fadinger
71 Hodge
47 Palmer-Houlden
11 Lowry
13 Kanga
18 Maswanhise

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 A. Paulsen G
7 T. Sparrow D
4 Jamie Knight-Lebel D
5 M. Moormann D
45 M. Emmanuel D
71 J. Hodge M
8 L. Fadinger M
13 J. Kanga M
11 A. Lowry M
47 S. Palmer-Houlden M
18 Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise F

Substitutes

15 E. Björgólfs­son F
17 R. Charles-Cook F
3 J. Girdwood-Reich D
63 D. Levitt M
21 M. Connelly G
2 S. O'Donnell D
19 I. Said F
77 W. Vogt F
20 Dylan Williams D

Dundee Utd

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: J. Goodwin
1 Walton
11 Ferry
18 Forbes
3 Esselink
23 Rawlins
26 Yoro
12 Agyei
8 Camará
77 Bennie
9 Sapsford
7 Merghem

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 J. Walton G
23 J. Rawlins D
3 B. Esselink D
18 M. Forbes D
11 W. Ferry D
8 Panutche Camará M
12 E. Agyei M
26 Abdoulaye Yoro M
7 M. Merghem F
9 Z. Sapsford F
77 D. Bennie F

Substitutes

20 N. Farrugia F
4 I. Iovu D
22 D. Naamo D
21 J. Randall F
15 L. Rose F
10 D. Tait M
16 L. Cameron M
19 K. Ciubotaru D
30 J. Amissah G

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