Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian Prediction
FT
AI call
Difficult Heart Of Midlothian win or draw
23%
27%
51%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction: Sportiko gives Falkirk a 23% chance of winning, Heart Of Midlothian 51% and the draw 27%. Last updated 15 Sep 2026, 20:36.
Timeline
Finley Barbrook
Yellow Card
3'
▮
B. Krauhaus
assist: Ryan Strain
8'
⚽
1–0
⚽
1–1
22'
James Wilson
assist: Josh McPake
▮
28'
Cláudio Braga
Yellow Card
▮
35'
Yan Dhanda
Yellow Card
⇄
45'
James Wilson
⇄ J. Williams
HT 1–1
Ryan Strain
Yellow Card
55'
▮
B. Krauhaus
⇄ Calvin Fodrey
57'
⇄
Owen Eames
Yellow Card
67'
▮
Owen Eames
68'
⚽
2–1
⇄
73'
Josh McPake
⇄ Rogers Mato
⇄
73'
Calvin Miller
⇄ Sabah Kerjota
⇄
73'
Harry Milne
⇄ Stephen Kingsley
Calvin Fodrey
Yellow Card
75'
▮
▮
77'
Jamie McCart
Yellow Card
Jacob Murrell
⇄ R. MacIver
78'
⇄
Finley Barbrook
⇄ Craig Sibbald
79'
⇄
⇄
80'
Stuart Findlay
⇄ Christian Borchgrevink
Owen Eames
⇄ D. Meļņiks
86'
⇄
FT 2–1
Falkirk
Match Stats
Heart Of Midlothian
42%
Ball Possession
58%
13
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Goal
4
6
Shots off Goal
2
3
Blocked Shots
3
10
Shots insidebox
6
3
Shots outsidebox
3
3
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
3
15
Fouls
13
4
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
344
Total passes
485
264
Passes accurate
389
13
Free Kicks
15
Falkirk
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 B. Krauhaus M | 7.6 | 57' | 1 | – | 2 | 13 (9%) | 3 |
| 5 Liam Henderson D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 43 (38%) | 3 |
| 42 Owen Eames M | 7.5 | 86' | 1 | – | 2 | 18 (14%) | 3 |
| 8 Brad Spencer M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (42%) | – |
| 15 Lewis Neilson D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 37 (30%) | 1 |
| 21 D. Meļņiks M | 6.6 | 4' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 19 Scott Bain G | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (28%) | – |
| 9 R. MacIver F | 6.4 | 12' | – | – | – | 8 (5%) | – |
| 24 Jacob Murrell F | 6.3 | 78' | – | – | 4 | 14 (9%) | 1 |
| 23 Ethan Ross M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 13 (10%) | 2 |
| 99 Calvin Fodrey M | 6.2 | 33' | – | – | 1 | 10 (7%) | 1 |
| 16 Finley Barbrook M | 6.2 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 35 (29%) | – |
| 3 Leon McCann D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (16%) | 1 |
| 22 Ryan Strain D | 6.1 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 32 (20%) | 6 |
| 10 Craig Sibbald M | 6.0 | 11' | – | – | – | 5 (2%) | – |
Heart Of Midlothian
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 James Wilson F | 7.6 | 46' | 1 | – | 2 | 9 (8%) | – |
| 15 Josh McPake M | 6.7 | 73' | – | 1 | 2 | 15 (10%) | 2 |
| 7 Calvin Miller M | 6.6 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 15 (15%) | – |
| 31 Yan Dhanda M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 36 (27%) | 1 |
| 74 Rogers Mato F | 6.3 | 17' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | 1 |
| 9 J. Williams F | 6.3 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 3 Stephen Kingsley D | 6.2 | 17' | – | – | – | 15 (13%) | – |
| 5 Jamie McCart D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 84 (75%) | – |
| 23 Jordi Altena D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 52 (43%) | 3 |
| 2 Christian Borchgrevink D | 6.0 | 10' | – | – | – | 11 (8%) | – |
| 17 Stuart Findlay D | 6.0 | 80' | – | – | – | 65 (55%) | – |
| 29 Sabah Kerjota F | 5.9 | 17' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 1 Beau Reus G | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (34%) | – |
| 18 Harry Milne D | 5.7 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 44 (30%) | 2 |
| 78 Laurent Mendy M | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (30%) | 3 |
| 10 Cláudio Braga M | 5.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (20%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (51%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Heart Of Midlothian win or draw
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Falkirk
DWDLL
Heart Of Midlothian
DLWWW
Last 3 meetings
Falkirk · 0W 0D 3L
Match summary
Falkirk will face Heart of Midlothian in an upcoming Premiership clash. Falkirk has demonstrated solid form, ranking in the top half of the league with a strong home record, averaging 1.8 goals per match. Heart of Midlothian, however, is known for their robust defensive setup, conceding only 0.9 goals per match this season. The match could hinge on Falkirk’s ability to break down a disciplined defense, while Hearts will look to capitalize on counter-attacks. Expect a tactical battle that could showcase contrasting styles of play.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
23%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
51%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Falkirk
No scorer data.
Heart Of Midlothian
J. Wilson
3 gls
J. McPake
2 gls
Cláudio Braga
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian
0
Falkirk Wins
0
Draws
3
Heart Of Midlothian Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian | 1 - 0 | Falkirk |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Falkirk | 0 - 2 | Heart Of Midlothian |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Heart Of Midlothian | 3 - 0 | Falkirk |
Falkirk — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A ST Johnstone | D | 1 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | H Heart Of Midlothian | W | 2 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Dundee Utd | D | 1 - 1 |
| 02 Sep | H Rangers | L | 1 - 2 |
| 29 Aug | A Celtic | L | 2 - 1 |
Heart Of Midlothian — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Kilmarnock | D | 1 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | A Falkirk | L | 2 - 1 |
| 11 Sep | A Stenhousemuir | W | 0 - 3 |
| 06 Sep | H Dundee | W | 2 - 1 |
| 03 Sep | A Hibernian | W | 1 - 3 |
Premiership Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Celtic
|
7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | +10 | 18 |
| 2 |
Rangers
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 3 |
Heart Of Midlothian
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 13 |
| 4 |
Dundee
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 |
ST Mirren
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |
ST Johnstone
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 |
Aberdeen
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 |
Dundee Utd
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 |
Motherwell
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |
Hibernian
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 |
Falkirk
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 |
Kilmarnock
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 |
Heart Of Midlothian
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: W. Vrancken
1
Reus
18
Milne
17
Findlay
5
McCart
23
Altena
78
Mendy
31
Dhanda
15
McPake
10
Braga
7
Miller
21
Wilson
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Reus | G |
| 23 | J. Altena | D |
| 5 | J. McCart | D |
| 17 | S. Findlay | D |
| 18 | H. Milne | D |
| 31 | Y. Dhanda | M |
| 78 | L. Mendy | M |
| 7 | C. Miller | M |
| 10 | Cláudio Braga | M |
| 15 | J. McPake | M |
| 21 | J. Wilson | F |
Substitutes
| 19 | S. Guendouz | F |
| 30 | R. Fulton | G |
| 74 | R. Mato | F |
| 3 | S. Kingsley | D |
| 29 | S. Kerjota | F |
| 11 | P. Kabore | F |
| 2 | C. Borchgrevink | D |
| 77 | A. Ba-Sy | F |
| 9 | J. Williams | F |
Falkirk
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: J. McGlynn
19
Bain
3
McCann
5
Henderson
15
Neilson
22
Strain
8
Spencer
16
Barbrook
42
Eames
28
Krauhaus
23
Ross
24
Murrell
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | S. Bain | G |
| 22 | R. Strain | D |
| 15 | L. Neilson | D |
| 5 | L. Henderson | D |
| 3 | L. McCann | D |
| 16 | Finley Frank Barbrook | M |
| 8 | B. Spencer | M |
| 23 | E. Ross | M |
| 28 | B. Krauhaus | M |
| 42 | Owen Eames | M |
| 24 | J. Murrell | F |
Substitutes
| 17 | S. Tanser | D |
| 47 | A. Doherty | F |
| 99 | C. Fodrey | M |
| 1 | N. Hogarth | G |
| 9 | R. MacIver | F |
| 4 | J. McMillan | D |
| 21 | D. Meļņiks | M |
| 7 | Ben Parkinson | F |
| 10 | C. Sibbald | M |