Motherwell vs Aberdeen Prediction
FT
Fir Park, Motherwell
AI call
Motherwell or draw
50%
27%
23%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Motherwell vs Aberdeen prediction: Sportiko gives Motherwell a 50% chance of winning, Aberdeen 23% and the draw 27%. Last updated 15 Sep 2026, 20:36.
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Timeline
▮
12'
Lewis Mayo
Yellow Card
⚽
0–1
38'
Gavin Molloy
Tom Sparrow
Yellow Card
40'
▮
⇄
45'
Lewis Mayo
⇄ Jack Milne
HT 0–1
⚽
0–2
46'
Connor Ronan
assist: Kevin Nisbet
Emmanuel Longelo
Yellow Card
53'
▮
Tawanda Maswanhise
⇄ Sebastian Palmer-Houlden
53'
⇄
J. Kanga
⇄ Ibrahim Said
53'
⇄
▮
63'
Afeez Aremu
Yellow Card
⇄
64'
Afeez Aremu
⇄ Alexander Briedl
Regan Charles-Cook
⇄ W. Vogt
67'
⇄
Joe Hodge
⇄ Dylan Levitt
68'
⇄
⇄
72'
Findlay Marshall
⇄ Stuart Armstrong
⇄
72'
Toyosi Olusanya
⇄ Ayoub Mouloua
Alex Lowry
⇄ Eythor Bjørgolfsson
75'
⇄
▮
76'
Ayoub Mouloua
Yellow Card
⚽
0–3
76'
Ayoub Mouloua
assist: Connor Ronan
⇄
78'
Mats Knoester
⇄ Daniel Happe
⚽
0–4
87'
Kevin Nisbet
assist: Marius Müller
FT 0–4
Motherwell
Match Stats
Aberdeen
69%
Ball Possession
31%
12
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
4
5
Shots off Goal
4
2
Blocked Shots
3
5
Shots insidebox
7
7
Shots outsidebox
4
5
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
3
7
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
5
691
Total passes
308
605
Passes accurate
227
12
Free Kicks
7
Motherwell
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77 W. Vogt F | 6.8 | 23' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 47 Sebastian Palmer-Houlden F | 6.7 | 37' | – | – | 1 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 8 Lukas Fadinger M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 80 (75%) | 1 |
| 71 Joe Hodge M | 6.6 | 68' | – | – | – | 72 (65%) | 2 |
| 19 Ibrahim Said F | 6.5 | 37' | – | – | 1 | 26 (22%) | – |
| 5 Martin Moormann D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 86 (76%) | 3 |
| 17 Regan Charles-Cook F | 6.4 | 67' | – | – | – | 30 (29%) | – |
| 15 Eythor Bjørgolfsson F | 6.4 | 15' | – | – | – | 4 (1%) | – |
| 11 Alex Lowry M | 6.3 | 75' | – | – | 6 | 56 (47%) | 2 |
| 13 J. Kanga F | 6.2 | 53' | – | – | – | 23 (18%) | – |
| 7 Tom Sparrow D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 79 (73%) | 2 |
| 63 Dylan Levitt M | 6.1 | 22' | – | – | – | 32 (30%) | – |
| 3 Jake Girdwood-Reich D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 98 (84%) | – |
| 18 Tawanda Maswanhise M | 5.8 | 53' | – | – | – | 14 (12%) | – |
| 45 Emmanuel Longelo D | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 52 (39%) | – |
| 1 Alex Paulsen G | 5.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (26%) | – |
Aberdeen
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Connor Ronan M | 9.0 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 1 | 34 (26%) | 2 |
| 15 Kevin Nisbet F | 8.4 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 (12%) | 1 |
| 21 Gavin Molloy D | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 29 (24%) | 2 |
| 27 Marius Müller G | 7.8 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 38 (17%) | – |
| 5 Mats Knoester D | 7.5 | 78' | – | – | – | 33 (29%) | 3 |
| 9 Ayoub Mouloua F | 7.3 | 18' | 1 | – | 1 | 7 (2%) | 1 |
| 28 Christopher Cadden D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (21%) | – |
| 26 Daniel Happe D | 7.0 | 12' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 24 Nesta Guinness-Walker D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 19 (14%) | 3 |
| 22 Jack Milne D | 6.9 | 44' | – | – | – | 23 (18%) | – |
| 10 Alexander Briedl M | 6.9 | 26' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | 2 |
| 23 Lewis Mayo D | 6.8 | 46' | – | – | – | 14 (13%) | 1 |
| 17 Stuart Armstrong M | 6.8 | 18' | – | – | – | 1 | 1 |
| 32 Afeez Aremu M | 6.6 | 64' | – | – | 2 | 27 (22%) | 3 |
| 20 Toyosi Olusanya F | 6.5 | 72' | – | – | 2 | 9 (7%) | 1 |
| 40 Findlay Marshall M | 6.3 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 21 (14%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (50%)
At a glance
Our lean
Motherwell or draw
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Motherwell
LLLWD
Aberdeen
DWDDL
Last 3 meetings
Motherwell · 2W 1D 0L
Match summary
In the upcoming Premiership clash, Motherwell will face Aberdeen at home. Motherwell has shown a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match this season. Conversely, Aberdeen has struggled offensively, averaging just 1 goal per game, which could hinder their ability to secure points. Both teams' midfield battles will be crucial, as possession and control in that area could dictate the match's flow. Expect a tightly contested encounter with potential for low scoring given both teams' recent form.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
50%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
23%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Motherwell
A. Lowry
2 gls
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
1 gls
Aberdeen
K. Nisbet
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Motherwell vs Aberdeen
2
Motherwell Wins
1
Draws
0
Aberdeen Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2026 | Motherwell | 2 - 0 | Aberdeen |
| 09 Nov 2025 | Aberdeen | 1 - 1 | Motherwell |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Motherwell | 2 - 0 | Aberdeen |
Motherwell — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Dundee | L | 2 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | H Aberdeen | L | 0 - 4 |
| 05 Sep | A Rangers | L | 1 - 0 |
| 02 Sep | H Dundee Utd | W | 3 - 0 |
| 30 Aug | A ST Mirren | D | 3 - 3 |
Aberdeen — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Hibernian | D | 1 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | A Motherwell | W | 0 - 4 |
| 12 Sep | A Kilmarnock | D | 1 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Kilmarnock | D | 0 - 0 |
| 02 Sep | A Celtic | L | 3 - 0 |
Premiership Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Celtic
|
7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | +10 | 18 |
| 2 |
Rangers
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 3 |
Heart Of Midlothian
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 13 |
| 4 |
Dundee
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 |
ST Mirren
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |
ST Johnstone
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 |
Aberdeen
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 |
Dundee Utd
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 |
Motherwell
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |
Hibernian
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 |
Falkirk
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 |
Kilmarnock
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 |
Aberdeen
Formation: 5-3-2
Coach: S. Robinson
27
Müller
24
Guinness-Walker
21
Molloy
5
Knoester
23
Mayo
28
Cadden
40
Marshall
32
Aremu
25
Ronan
15
Nisbet
20
Olusanya
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | M. Müller | G |
| 28 | C. Cadden | D |
| 23 | L. Mayo | D |
| 5 | M. Knoester | D |
| 21 | G. Molloy | D |
| 24 | N. Guinness-Walker | D |
| 25 | C. Ronan | M |
| 32 | A. Aremu | M |
| 40 | F. Marshall | M |
| 20 | T. Olusanya | F |
| 15 | K. Nisbet | F |
Substitutes
| 10 | A. Briedl | M |
| 26 | D. Happe | D |
| 30 | D. Klein | G |
| 22 | J. Milne | D |
| 9 | A. Mouloua | F |
| 31 | M. Ntelo | F |
| 11 | Lewis Smith | F |
| 17 | S. Armstrong | M |
| 7 | Tony Yogane | F |
Motherwell
Formation: 4-2-2-2
Coach: David Pagou
1
Paulsen
45
Emmanuel
5
Moormann
3
Girdwood-Reich
7
Sparrow
71
Hodge
8
Fadinger
11
Lowry
18
Maswanhise
17
Charles-Cook
13
Kanga
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Paulsen | G |
| 7 | T. Sparrow | D |
| 3 | J. Girdwood-Reich | D |
| 5 | M. Moormann | D |
| 45 | M. Emmanuel | D |
| 8 | L. Fadinger | M |
| 71 | J. Hodge | M |
| 18 | Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise | M |
| 11 | A. Lowry | M |
| 13 | J. Kanga | F |
| 17 | R. Charles-Cook | F |
Substitutes
| 21 | M. Connelly | G |
| 63 | D. Levitt | M |
| 2 | S. O'Donnell | D |
| 47 | S. Palmer-Houlden | F |
| 19 | I. Said | F |
| 15 | E. Björgólfsson | F |
| 77 | W. Vogt | F |
| 20 | Dylan Williams | D |
| 4 | Jamie Knight-Lebel | D |