Hibernian vs Kilmarnock Prediction
FT
AI call
Difficult Hibernian win or draw
64%
21%
14%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Hibernian vs Kilmarnock prediction: Sportiko gives Hibernian a 64% chance of winning, Kilmarnock 14% and the draw 21%. Last updated 15 Sep 2026, 20:42.
Premium picks
Premium- Home/Draw & Over 1.5 73%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 75%
- Home 2H Over 0.5 72%
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Timeline
Kanayochukwu Megwa
⇄ Grant Hanley
8'
⇄
▮
31'
Tyreece John-Jules
Yellow Card
⚽
0–1
40'
George Stanger
HT 0–1
Thibault Klidjé
⇄ Nathan Lowe
53'
⇄
Callum Wright
⇄ Martin Boyle
53'
⇄
Ante Šuto
⇄ Owen Elding
53'
⇄
🖵
56'
Joe Hugill
Goal cancelled
Jacob Devaney
⇄ Miguel Changa Chaiwa
67'
⇄
⇄
67'
Bailey Rice
⇄ Mark O'Hara
⇄
67'
Michael John Kamara
⇄ Jamie Brandon
⇄
73'
Tyreece John-Jules
⇄ D. Daniels
▮
78'
D. Daniels
Yellow Card
⇄
90+1'
Erik Ring
⇄ Rory McKenzie
▮
90+2'
D. Daniels
Red Card
FT 0–1
Hibernian
Match Stats
Kilmarnock
60%
Ball Possession
40%
23
Total Shots
12
7
Shots on Goal
7
6
Shots off Goal
3
10
Blocked Shots
2
18
Shots insidebox
9
5
Shots outsidebox
3
15
Corner Kicks
7
5
Offsides
2
8
Fouls
10
0
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
6
Goalkeeper Saves
7
491
Total passes
329
410
Passes accurate
243
10
Free Kicks
8
Hibernian
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Raphael Sallinger G | 8.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (22%) | – |
| 4 Grant Hanley D | 7.6 | 82' | – | – | 2 | 66 (60%) | 5 |
| 6 Jason Kerr D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 62 (56%) | 2 |
| 25 Felix Passlack M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 44 (33%) | – |
| 7 Owen Elding F | 6.9 | 37' | – | – | 1 | 12 (9%) | – |
| 8 Josh Mulligan M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 40 (35%) | 3 |
| 15 Jack Iredale D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 78 (62%) | 1 |
| 10 Martin Boyle F | 6.7 | 37' | – | – | 1 | 5 (5%) | – |
| 18 Thibault Klidjé F | 6.6 | 53' | – | – | 1 | 6 (6%) | – |
| 22 Ante Šuto F | 6.5 | 53' | – | – | – | 20 (13%) | – |
| 3 Adam Mayor M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 54 (47%) | 2 |
| 27 Kanayochukwu Megwa D | 6.4 | 8' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 23 Callum Wright M | 6.4 | 53' | – | – | 1 | 18 (14%) | – |
| 14 Miguel Changa Chaiwa M | 6.3 | 23' | – | – | 1 | 16 (14%) | 1 |
| 24 Jacob Devaney M | 6.1 | 67' | – | – | 1 | 27 (21%) | 3 |
| 9 Nathan Lowe F | 6.0 | 37' | – | – | 2 | 4 (3%) | – |
Kilmarnock
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Max Stryjek G | 8.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (16%) | – |
| 14 George Stanger D | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 22 (22%) | 1 |
| 4 C. McCarthy D | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 45 (39%) | 1 |
| 18 Tom Lowery M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (39%) | – |
| 3 Michael John Kamara D | 7.1 | 67' | – | – | – | 28 (21%) | 1 |
| 2 Jamie Brandon D | 7.0 | 23' | – | – | – | 12 (9%) | 1 |
| 21 Michael Schjønning-Larsen M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (23%) | 1 |
| 11 Greg Kiltie M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 17 (13%) | – |
| 5 Mark O'Hara M | 6.8 | 23' | – | – | 1 | 10 (6%) | – |
| 49 Bailey Rice M | 6.6 | 67' | – | – | 1 | 21 (15%) | – |
| 9 Joe Hugill F | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 10 (8%) | – |
| 10 Tyreece John-Jules M | 6.5 | 73' | – | – | 2 | 15 (11%) | 1 |
| 8 Erik Ring M | 6.3 | 91' | – | – | – | 22 (14%) | 1 |
| 29 D. Daniels F | 5.8 | 19' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Medium (64%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Hibernian win or draw
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Hibernian
DLWLL
Kilmarnock
DWDDL
Last 3 meetings
Hibernian · 2W 1D 0L
Match summary
In the upcoming Premiership clash, Hibernian faces Kilmarnock, both teams looking to capitalize on their respective strengths. Hibernian has shown a solid home record, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per match this season, while Kilmarnock has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per game. Kilmarnock will need to tighten their defense to avoid being overwhelmed, especially when countering Hibernian's attacking play. The match could hinge on Hibernian's ability to exploit Kilmarnock's defensive vulnerabilities and maintain possession to control the tempo.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
64%
45%
Draw
21%
45%
Away
14%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Hibernian
M. Boyle
3 gls
C. Wright
2 gls
Kilmarnock
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Hibernian vs Kilmarnock
2
Hibernian Wins
1
Draws
0
Kilmarnock Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr 2026 | Hibernian | 3 - 0 | Kilmarnock |
| 03 Jan 2026 | Kilmarnock | 1 - 3 | Hibernian |
| 10 Aug 2025 | Hibernian | 2 - 2 | Kilmarnock |
Hibernian — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Aberdeen | D | 1 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | H Kilmarnock | L | 0 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Ross County | W | 0 - 3 |
| 06 Sep | A ST Johnstone | L | 2 - 1 |
| 03 Sep | H Heart Of Midlothian | L | 1 - 3 |
Kilmarnock — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Heart Of Midlothian | D | 1 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | A Hibernian | W | 0 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H Aberdeen | D | 1 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Aberdeen | D | 0 - 0 |
| 02 Sep | H ST Mirren | L | 0 - 1 |
Premiership Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Celtic
|
7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | +10 | 18 |
| 2 |
Rangers
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 3 |
Heart Of Midlothian
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 13 |
| 4 |
Dundee
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 |
ST Mirren
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |
ST Johnstone
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 |
Aberdeen
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 |
Dundee Utd
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 |
Motherwell
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |
Hibernian
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 |
Falkirk
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 |
Kilmarnock
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 |
Hibernian
Formation: 3-1-4-2
Coach: David Pagou
1
Sallinger
27
Megwa
15
Iredale
6
Kerr
24
Devaney
3
Mayor
23
Wright
8
Mulligan
25
Passlack
18
Klidje
22
Šuto
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Sallinger | G |
| 6 | J. Kerr | D |
| 15 | J. Iredale | D |
| 27 | K. Megwa | D |
| 24 | J. Devaney | M |
| 25 | F. Passlack | M |
| 8 | J. Mulligan | M |
| 23 | C. Wright | M |
| 3 | A. Mayor | M |
| 22 | A. Šuto | F |
| 18 | T. Klidje | F |
Substitutes
| 11 | J. Newell | M |
| 9 | N. Lowe | F |
| 4 | G. Hanley | D |
| 7 | O. Elding | F |
| 14 | M. Chaiwa | M |
| 19 | N. Cadden | M |
| 10 | M. Boyle | F |
| 47 | A. Abdulai | M |
| 35 | F. Owens | G |
Kilmarnock
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: N. McCann
1
Stryjek
14
Stanger
4
McCarthy
3
Kamson-Kamara
21
Schjønning-Larsen
49
Rice
18
Lowery
8
Ring
11
Kiltie
10
John-Jules
9
Hugill
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Stryjek | G |
| 3 | Michael-John Kamson-Kamara | D |
| 4 | C. McCarthy | D |
| 14 | G. Stanger | D |
| 8 | E. Ring | M |
| 18 | T. Lowery | M |
| 49 | B. Rice | M |
| 21 | M. Schjønning-Larsen | M |
| 10 | T. John-Jules | M |
| 11 | G. Kiltie | M |
| 9 | J. Hugill | F |
Substitutes
| 5 | M. O'Hara | M |
| 19 | J. Meier | D |
| 7 | R. McKenzie | M |
| 20 | N. Cleșcenco | F |
| 37 | C. Burke | F |
| 2 | J. Brandon | D |
| 27 | I. Owen | F |
| 12 | C. Ferrie | G |
| 29 | D. Daniels | F |