Motherwell vs Falkirk Prediction

Premiership · Regular Season - 2

09 Aug 2026, 14:00

Post on X

Falkirk

Away

Fir Park, Motherwell

AI call Motherwell or draw

49%

26%

25%

Home Win · 1.87 Draw · 3.87 Away Win · 4.33

Motherwell vs Falkirk prediction: Sportiko gives Motherwell a 49% chance of winning, Falkirk 25% and the draw 26%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 08:00.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.2%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Motherwell

DWWWL

Falkirk

LWDLW

Last 3 meetings Motherwell · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premiership match, Motherwell will host Falkirk. Motherwell's recent form shows a solid home record, with a strong emphasis on defensive stability, conceding an average of only 1 goal per match this season. Falkirk, on the other hand, has struggled to find consistency, particularly in away fixtures, averaging less than a goal scored per match. The matchup could hinge on Motherwell's ability to capitalize on set pieces and break down a potentially vulnerable Falkirk defense. This clash will be crucial for both teams as they aim to secure valuable points early in the season.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

49%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

25%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Falkirk goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	6	4	2
1	8	13	7	3	1
2	8	10	6	2	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Motherwell goals · most likely 1–1 (13.2%)

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Players in form

Motherwell

I. Said 1 gls

L. Fadinger 1 gls

Dylan Williams 0 gls

Falkirk

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

26%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

26%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

64% Home (No Draw) 36% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 26% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.6%	5.6%	4.2%	1.6%	0.5%
1	8.4%	13.2%	6.8%	2.7%	0.8%
2	8.2%	9.6%	5.6%	2.2%	0.6%
3	4.5%	5.2%	3.1%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.8%	2.1%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Motherwell	Draw	Falkirk
Motherwell	29.3%	4.7%	1.9%
Draw	16.2%	16.8%	10.5%
Falkirk	2.4%	4.2%	14.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Motherwell vs Falkirk

0 Motherwell Wins

1 Draws

2 Falkirk Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Apr 2026	Motherwell	2 - 3	Falkirk
03 Dec 2025	Falkirk	0 - 0	Motherwell
18 Oct 2025	Motherwell	1 - 2	Falkirk

Motherwell — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	A HJK Helsinki	D	1 - 1
02 Aug	A Hibernian	W	1 - 2
30 Jul	A HB Torshavn	W	0 - 3
23 Jul	H HB Torshavn	W	2 - 0
05 Jul	A Aarhus	L	4 - 0

Falkirk — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H ST Mirren	L	0 - 2
25 Jul	H Stranraer	W	3 - 0
21 Jul	A Alloa Athletic	D	1 - 1
14 Jul	H Ayr Utd	L	0 - 1
07 Jul	A Airdrie United	W	1 - 2

Premiership Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	ST Mirren	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
2	ST Johnstone	1	1	0	0	4	3	+1	3
3	Motherwell	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
4	Aberdeen	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
5	Celtic	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
6	Dundee Utd	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
7	Rangers	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
8	Kilmarnock	1	0	0	1	3	4	-1	0
9	Heart Of Midlothian	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
10	Hibernian	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
11	Dundee	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
12	Falkirk	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.