ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone Prediction

Premiership · Regular Season - 2

08 Aug 2026, 14:00

Post on X

ST Johnstone

Away

The SMISA Stadium, Paisley

AI call ST Mirren or draw

41%

28%

30%

Home Win · 2.40 Draw · 3.48 Away Win · 3.10

ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone prediction: Sportiko gives ST Mirren a 41% chance of winning, ST Johnstone 30% and the draw 28%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 08:00.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.7%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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ST Mirren

WLWWL

ST Johnstone

WDLWW

Last 3 meetings ST Mirren · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

ST Mirren will host ST Johnstone in their Premiership clash on August 8, 2026. Both teams have shown varying form this season, with ST Mirren currently sitting mid-table and ST Johnstone struggling near the relegation zone. Statistical trends indicate that ST Mirren has a stronger home record, averaging 1.6 goals per game at home compared to ST Johnstone's 0.8 away goals. Defensive metrics suggest that ST Johnstone may struggle to contain Mirren’s attacking threats, particularly in set-piece situations where they have conceded a significant portion of their goals. This match could be pivotal for both teams, with ST Mirren aiming to solidify their mid-table position while ST Johnstone fights for survival.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

41%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

30%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

ST Johnstone goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	6	5	2	1
1	8	14	7	3	1
2	8	9	6	2	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	1	2	1
5		1

↑ ST Mirren goals · most likely 1–1 (13.7%)

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Players in form

ST Mirren

K. Phillips 2 gls

R. Idowu 0 gls

ST Johnstone

J. Fowler 1 gls

K. Fotheringham 1 gls

C. Diabate 1 gls

J. Gullan 0 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

30%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

30%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

59% Home (No Draw) 41% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Home Scores More 29% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.2%	6.5%	4.9%	2.0%	0.6%
1	8.4%	13.7%	7.3%	3.0%	0.9%
2	7.6%	9.1%	5.5%	2.2%	0.7%
3	3.8%	4.6%	2.8%	1.1%	0.3%
4	1.4%	1.7%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	ST Mirren	Draw	ST Johnstone
ST Mirren	22.8%	3.5%	1.3%
Draw	17.6%	17.5%	9.8%
ST Johnstone	3.2%	5.6%	18.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

34%

25%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone

2 ST Mirren Wins

0 Draws

1 ST Johnstone Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
01 Feb 2025	ST Mirren	0 - 1	ST Johnstone
14 Dec 2024	ST Johnstone	2 - 3	ST Mirren
30 Oct 2024	ST Mirren	3 - 1	ST Johnstone

See all 10 meetings — Premium

ST Mirren — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	A Falkirk	W	0 - 2
26 Jul	H Dunfermline	L	0 - 1
21 Jul	H East Kilbride	W	4 - 3
18 Jul	A Cove Rangers	W	0 - 4
11 Apr	A Celtic	L	1 - 0

ST Johnstone — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	H Kilmarnock	W	4 - 3
25 Jul	H East Fife	D	1 - 1
21 Jul	A Inverness CT	L	1 - 0
18 Jul	H Morton	W	3 - 0
14 Jul	A Linlithgow Rose	W	0 - 2

Premiership Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	ST Mirren	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
2	ST Johnstone	1	1	0	0	4	3	+1	3
3	Motherwell	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
4	Aberdeen	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
5	Celtic	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
6	Dundee Utd	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
7	Rangers	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
8	Kilmarnock	1	0	0	1	3	4	-1	0
9	Heart Of Midlothian	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
10	Hibernian	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
11	Dundee	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
12	Falkirk	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.