Fakel vs Krylia Sovetov Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 28

15 May 2027, 15:00

Post on X

Krylia Sovetov

Away

AI call Too close to call

29%

34%

37%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Fakel vs Krylia Sovetov prediction: Sportiko gives Fakel a 29% chance of winning, Krylia Sovetov 37% and the draw 34%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.2%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

34%

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Fakel

LDLDL

Krylia Sovetov

DWDDD

Last 3 meetings Fakel · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Fakel faces Krylia Sovetov in a crucial Premier League matchup. Both teams have shown fluctuating form this season; Fakel has managed to secure points primarily through a solid defensive setup, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match. In contrast, Krylia Sovetov has been more aggressive in attack, averaging 1.5 goals per game, but they struggle defensively, allowing 1.4 goals per match. The key battle will be Fakel's defense against Krylia's offense, as both teams aim for vital points to improve their league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

29%

10%

Draw

34%

45%

Away

37%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Krylia Sovetov goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	15	12	8	3	1
1	10	15	7	3	1
2	6	6	4	1
3	2	2	1
4
5

↑ Fakel goals · most likely 1–1 (15.2%)

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Players in form

Fakel

No scorer data.

Krylia Sovetov

A. Rahmanović 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

37%

Draw

34%

Home Win

29%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

38%

1.5

62%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

37%

Draw

34%

Home Win

29%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

56% Away (No Draw) 44% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

16% Away Win by 2+ 11% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Away Scores More 34% Equal Goals 29% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

38%

1.5

62%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

23%

29%

19%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.6%	12.4%	7.8%	2.9%	0.8%
1	10.5%	15.2%	7.4%	2.7%	0.8%
2	5.8%	6.4%	3.5%	1.3%	0.4%
3	1.8%	2.0%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.4%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

34%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Fakel	Draw	Krylia Sovetov
Fakel	16.8%	4.2%	1.5%
Draw	12.2%	23.4%	15.2%
Krylia Sovetov	1.2%	4.0%	21.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Fakel vs Krylia Sovetov

0 Fakel Wins

1 Draws

2 Krylia Sovetov Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
24 May 2025	Fakel	1 - 1	Krylia Sovetov
11 Aug 2024	Krylia Sovetov	2 - 0	Fakel
25 Apr 2024	Fakel	0 - 1	Krylia Sovetov

See all 6 meetings — Premium

Fakel — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	A Spartak Moscow	L	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Baltika	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A FC Rostov	L	3 - 1
01 Sep	H FC Krasnodar	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Zenit	L	0 - 1

Krylia Sovetov — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	A Lokomotiv	D	1 - 1
11 Sep	H Rodina Moskva	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	H FC Krasnodar	D	2 - 2
02 Sep	A Baltika	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	A Akhmat	D	3 - 3

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14	7	+7	21
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14	8	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15	9	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16	7	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19	9	+10	18
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12	11	+1	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15	16	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14	12	+2	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13	14	-1	11
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13	13	0	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7	10	-3	9
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10	17	-7	8
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11	18	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8	11	-3	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10	22	-12	5
16	Fakel	9	0	3	6	6	13	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.