Baltika vs Fakel Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 27

08 May 2027, 15:00

Post on X

Fakel

Away

Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad

AI call Too close to call

40%

34%

26%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Baltika vs Fakel prediction: Sportiko gives Baltika a 40% chance of winning, Fakel 26% and the draw 34%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:0 · 15.3%

Both teams to score

41%

Over 2.5 goals

32%

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Baltika

LDLDW

Fakel

LDLDL

Last 3 meetings Baltika · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League match, Baltika faces Fakel. Baltika has shown a solid home record this season, with a win rate of approximately 60% at their ground, while Fakel struggles on the road, having secured only 25% of their away matches. Key players to watch include Baltika’s top scorer, who has netted 12 goals this season, and Fakel's goalkeeper, who has recorded several crucial saves, keeping the team competitive. The outcome may hinge on Baltika's ability to capitalize on their offensive play against Fakel's defense, which has been inconsistent. Overall, this match could be pivotal for both teams as they aim to improve their standings in the league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

40%

45%

Draw

34%

45%

Away

26%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Fakel goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	15	10	5	1
1	14	15	6	2
2	9	8	3	1
3	3	3	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Baltika goals · most likely 0–0 (15.3%)

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Players in form

Baltika

B. Gil 4 gls

Fakel

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Draw

34%

Away Win

26%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

39%

1.5

61%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Draw

34%

Away Win

26%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

61% Home (No Draw) 39% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Home Scores More 34% Equal Goals 26% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

39%

1.5

61%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

24%

29%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	15.3%	9.9%	5.0%	1.4%	0.3%
1	13.7%	15.0%	5.7%	1.6%	0.4%
2	8.8%	7.6%	3.3%	0.9%	0.2%
3	3.4%	2.9%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.0%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

76%

1.5

24%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

42%

34%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Baltika	Draw	Fakel
Baltika	23.6%	3.9%	1.1%
Draw	16.4%	23.8%	11.1%
Fakel	1.5%	4.0%	14.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

32%

37%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

42%

36%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Baltika vs Fakel

1 Baltika Wins

2 Draws

0 Fakel Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Sep 2026	Fakel	2 - 2	Baltika
02 Dec 2023	Fakel	0 - 0	Baltika
06 Aug 2023	Baltika	2 - 1	Fakel

Baltika — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	H Zenit	L	2 - 3
12 Sep	A Fakel	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	H Lokomotiv	L	0 - 1
02 Sep	H Krylia Sovetov	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	A Rodina Moskva	W	0 - 3

Fakel — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	A Spartak Moscow	L	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Baltika	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A FC Rostov	L	3 - 1
01 Sep	H FC Krasnodar	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Zenit	L	0 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14	7	+7	21
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14	8	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15	9	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16	7	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19	9	+10	18
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12	11	+1	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15	16	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14	12	+2	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13	14	-1	11
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13	13	0	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7	10	-3	9
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10	17	-7	8
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11	18	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8	11	-3	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10	22	-12	5
16	Fakel	9	0	3	6	6	13	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.