FC Rostov vs FC Orenburg Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 26

01 May 2027, 15:00

Post on X

FC Orenburg

Away

AI call FC Orenburg or draw

33%

34%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Rostov vs FC Orenburg prediction: Sportiko gives FC Rostov a 33% chance of winning, FC Orenburg 34% and the draw 33%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.2%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

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FC Rostov

LLWWL

FC Orenburg

DLDDD

Last 3 meetings FC Rostov · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, FC Rostov will face FC Orenburg, both teams looking to secure crucial points as the season reaches its climax. FC Rostov has demonstrated a solid home record, boasting a higher win percentage in their last five home matches compared to Orenburg's away form. Orenburg will need to leverage their counter-attacking capabilities, as they have shown effectiveness in exploiting defensive lapses. The match is likely to be closely contested, with Rostov's midfield control being a key factor in dictating the tempo. Overall, it will be vital for both teams to capitalize on their chances to emerge victorious.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

33%

10%

Draw

33%

45%

Away

34%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Orenburg goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13	11	7	2	1
1	11	15	7	3	1
2	7	7	4	1
3	2	3	1	1
4	1	1
5

↑ FC Rostov goals · most likely 1–1 (15.2%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

34%

Home Win

33%

Draw

33%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

34%

Home Win

33%

Draw

33%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

50% Away (No Draw) 50% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

14% Away Win by 2+ 14% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

34% Away Scores More 33% Home Scores More 33% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.4%	10.9%	6.8%	2.5%	0.7%
1	10.7%	15.2%	7.3%	2.6%	0.7%
2	6.7%	7.2%	3.9%	1.4%	0.4%
3	2.4%	2.6%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%
4	0.6%	0.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

34%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Rostov	Draw	FC Orenburg
FC Rostov	19.2%	4.2%	1.5%
Draw	13.6%	22.4%	13.6%
FC Orenburg	1.5%	4.3%	19.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Rostov vs FC Orenburg

1 FC Rostov Wins

0 Draws

2 FC Orenburg Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
26 Jul 2026	FC Orenburg	2 - 1	FC Rostov
25 Apr 2026	FC Rostov	0 - 1	FC Orenburg
05 Oct 2025	FC Orenburg	0 - 1	FC Rostov

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FC Rostov — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Sep	H Dynamo	L	0 - 3
13 Sep	A Spartak Moscow	L	3 - 0
05 Sep	H Fakel	W	3 - 1
01 Sep	H CSKA Moscow	W	2 - 0
29 Aug	A FC Krasnodar	L	1 - 0

FC Orenburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Sep	H FC Krasnodar	D	0 - 0
12 Sep	A Dynamo	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Akron	D	2 - 2
02 Sep	H Rubin	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Spartak Moscow	D	1 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14	7	+7	21
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14	8	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15	9	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16	7	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19	9	+10	18
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12	11	+1	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15	16	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14	12	+2	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13	14	-1	11
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13	13	0	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7	10	-3	9
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10	17	-7	8
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11	18	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8	11	-3	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10	22	-12	5
16	Fakel	9	0	3	6	6	13	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.