Lokomotiv vs Rodina Moskva Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 26

01 May 2027, 15:00

Post on X

Rodina Moskva

Away

AI call Too close to call

39%

30%

31%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Lokomotiv vs Rodina Moskva prediction: Sportiko gives Lokomotiv a 39% chance of winning, Rodina Moskva 31% and the draw 30%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Lokomotiv

DLWDL

Rodina Moskva

DLLLL

Match summary

Lokomotiv faces Rodina Moskva in a crucial Premier League clash. Lokomotiv has shown strong form at home, boasting a solid defense with an average of only 1.2 goals conceded per match this season. Conversely, Rodina Moskva struggles on the road, averaging 1.5 goals allowed per match. Key players to watch include Lokomotiv's leading scorer, who has netted 12 goals this season, and Rodina's midfield general, who contributes significantly to their playmaking. This match could hinge on Lokomotiv's ability to convert scoring opportunities against a Rodina defense that has been inconsistent.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

39%

45%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

31%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Rodina Moskva goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	8	6	2	1
1	9	14	8	3	1
2	7	9	5	2	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Lokomotiv goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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Players in form

Lokomotiv

No scorer data.

Rodina Moskva

A. Maksimenko 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

31%

Draw

30%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

31%

Draw

30%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

55% Home (No Draw) 45% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Home Win by 2+ 14% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Home Scores More 31% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.4%	7.7%	5.6%	2.2%	0.7%
1	8.9%	14.3%	7.6%	3.0%	0.9%
2	7.2%	8.6%	5.2%	2.1%	0.6%
3	3.3%	3.9%	2.3%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.1%	1.3%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lokomotiv	Draw	Rodina Moskva
Lokomotiv	23.2%	4.5%	1.8%
Draw	14.7%	18.8%	12.2%
Rodina Moskva	2.1%	4.5%	18.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lokomotiv vs Rodina Moskva

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Lokomotiv — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	H Krylia Sovetov	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Zenit	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	A Baltika	W	0 - 1
01 Sep	A Akron	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	H Dynamo	L	0 - 1

Rodina Moskva — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	H Rubin	D	1 - 1
11 Sep	A Krylia Sovetov	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	A Dinamo Makhachkala	L	2 - 0
02 Sep	A Spartak Moscow	L	3 - 1
30 Aug	H Baltika	L	0 - 3

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14	7	+7	21
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14	8	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15	9	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16	7	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19	9	+10	18
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12	11	+1	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15	16	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14	12	+2	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13	14	-1	11
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13	13	0	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7	10	-3	9
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10	17	-7	8
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11	18	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8	11	-3	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10	22	-12	5
16	Fakel	9	0	3	6	6	13	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.