Zenit vs FC Krasnodar Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 26

01 May 2027, 15:00

Post on X

FC Krasnodar

Away

AI call Difficult Zenit win or draw

52%

25%

23%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Zenit vs FC Krasnodar prediction: Sportiko gives Zenit a 52% chance of winning, FC Krasnodar 23% and the draw 25%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.8%

Both teams to score

61%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

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Zenit

WWLWW

FC Krasnodar

DDDDW

Last 3 meetings Zenit · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Zenit faces FC Krasnodar in a crucial Premier League matchup. Zenit boasts a strong home record, having won 70% of their last ten matches at home while scoring an average of 2.5 goals per game. Conversely, FC Krasnodar has struggled on the road, with only 30% of their away fixtures resulting in victories this season. Key players to watch include Zenit's leading scorer, who has netted 15 goals, and Krasnodar's playmaker, who provides crucial assists. This clash will likely hinge on Zenit's ability to capitalize on their offensive prowess against Krasnodar's defensive setup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

52%

45%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

23%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Krasnodar goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	4	3	1
1	7	12	6	3	1
2	8	10	6	2	1
3	5	6	4	2
4	2	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Zenit goals · most likely 1–1 (11.8%)

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Players in form

Zenit

A. Sobolev 7 gls

M. Glushenkov 6 gls

FC Krasnodar

N. Krivtsov 3 gls

Jubal 3 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

25%

Away Win

23%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

41%

2.5

60%

63%

3.5

37%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

25%

Away Win

23%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

69% Home (No Draw) 31% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

52% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 23% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

41%

2.5

60%

63%

3.5

37%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.9%	4.1%	3.3%	1.3%	0.4%
1	7.3%	11.8%	6.3%	2.5%	0.8%
2	8.2%	9.9%	6.0%	2.4%	0.7%
3	5.2%	6.3%	3.8%	1.5%	0.5%
4	2.5%	3.0%	1.8%	0.7%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

47%

1.5

53%

75%

2.5

25%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Zenit	Draw	FC Krasnodar
Zenit	32.9%	4.3%	1.7%
Draw	17.2%	14.7%	8.7%
FC Krasnodar	3.0%	4.3%	13.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

71%

2.5

29%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Zenit vs FC Krasnodar

2 Zenit Wins

1 Draws

0 FC Krasnodar Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Apr 2026	Zenit	1 - 1	FC Krasnodar
21 Sep 2025	FC Krasnodar	0 - 2	Zenit
13 Apr 2025	Zenit	4 - 1	FC Krasnodar

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Zenit — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	A Baltika	W	2 - 3
12 Sep	H Lokomotiv	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	H CSKA Moscow	L	1 - 2
02 Sep	H Dinamo Makhachkala	W	3 - 0
29 Aug	A Fakel	W	0 - 1

FC Krasnodar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Sep	A FC Orenburg	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	H Akron	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Krylia Sovetov	D	2 - 2
01 Sep	A Fakel	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H FC Rostov	W	1 - 0

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14	7	+7	21
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14	8	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15	9	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16	7	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19	9	+10	18
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12	11	+1	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15	16	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14	12	+2	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13	14	-1	11
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13	13	0	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7	10	-3	9
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10	17	-7	8
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11	18	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8	11	-3	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10	22	-12	5
16	Fakel	9	0	3	6	6	13	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.