Spartak Moscow vs Baltika Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 26

01 May 2027, 15:00

Post on X

Baltika

Away

AI call Difficult Spartak Moscow win or draw

60%

27%

13%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Spartak Moscow vs Baltika prediction: Sportiko gives Spartak Moscow a 60% chance of winning, Baltika 13% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 15.3%

Both teams to score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

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Spartak Moscow

WWLWD

Baltika

LDLDW

Last 3 meetings Spartak Moscow · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League match on May 1, 2027, Spartak Moscow will face Baltika. Spartak Moscow has shown a strong form at home, boasting a solid offensive record with an average of 2.1 goals per match this season. Conversely, Baltika has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game. If Spartak can capitalize on their attacking prowess, they are likely to secure a victory. However, Baltika's recent improvements in midfield could pose a challenge, making this an intriguing matchup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

60%

45%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

13%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Baltika goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	5	2
1	15	12	4	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	8	5	2
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Spartak Moscow goals · most likely 1–0 (15.3%)

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Players in form

Spartak Moscow

M. Ugalde 3 gls

M. Daku 3 gls

Baltika

B. Gil 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

27%

Away Win

13%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

89%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

27%

Away Win

13%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

82% Home (No Draw) 18% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

60% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 13% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

89%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.5%	5.2%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%
1	15.3%	12.2%	3.5%	0.8%	0.1%
2	13.7%	8.9%	2.9%	0.6%	0.1%
3	7.6%	4.9%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
4	3.1%	2.0%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Spartak Moscow	Draw	Baltika
Spartak Moscow	38.0%	3.2%	0.7%
Draw	21.3%	18.5%	5.9%
Baltika	2.0%	3.2%	7.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

52%

34%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Spartak Moscow vs Baltika

1 Spartak Moscow Wins

0 Draws

2 Baltika Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
16 Aug 2026	Baltika	1 - 2	Spartak Moscow
29 Nov 2025	Baltika	1 - 0	Spartak Moscow
26 Jul 2025	Spartak Moscow	0 - 3	Baltika

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Spartak Moscow — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	H Fakel	W	1 - 0
13 Sep	H FC Rostov	W	3 - 0
06 Sep	A Dynamo	L	2 - 1
02 Sep	H Rodina Moskva	W	3 - 1
30 Aug	H FC Orenburg	D	1 - 1

Baltika — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	H Zenit	L	2 - 3
12 Sep	A Fakel	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	H Lokomotiv	L	0 - 1
02 Sep	H Krylia Sovetov	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	A Rodina Moskva	W	0 - 3

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14	7	+7	21
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14	8	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15	9	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16	7	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19	9	+10	18
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12	11	+1	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15	16	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14	12	+2	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13	14	-1	11
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13	13	0	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7	10	-3	9
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10	17	-7	8
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11	18	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8	11	-3	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10	22	-12	5
16	Fakel	9	0	3	6	6	13	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.