Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 24

17 Apr 2027, 15:00

Post on X

CSKA Moscow

Away

AI call Difficult Spartak Moscow win or draw

54%

29%

17%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow prediction: Sportiko gives Spartak Moscow a 54% chance of winning, CSKA Moscow 17% and the draw 29%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 14%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

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Spartak Moscow

WWLWD

CSKA Moscow

WDWLD

Last 3 meetings Spartak Moscow · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League match, Spartak Moscow will face off against CSKA Moscow in a highly anticipated Moscow derby. Both teams have shown competitive form in the league, with Spartak averaging 1.8 goals per game this season, while CSKA has maintained a solid defensive record, conceding just 0.9 goals per game. Key players to watch include Spartak's leading scorer, who has netted 12 goals this season, and CSKA's resilient goalkeeper, boasting a save percentage of 78%. The match is expected to be closely contested, with both teams vying for crucial points in the league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

54%

45%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

17%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

CSKA Moscow goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	6	3	1
1	14	13	4	1
2	12	9	3	1
3	6	5	2
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Spartak Moscow goals · most likely 1–0 (14.0%)

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Players in form

Spartak Moscow

M. Ugalde 3 gls

M. Daku 3 gls

CSKA Moscow

I. Oblyakov 4 gls

I. Oleynikov 3 gls

L. Gondou 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

29%

Away Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

29%

Away Win

17%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

76% Home (No Draw) 24% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

29% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

54% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.6%	6.1%	2.9%	0.7%	0.1%
1	14.0%	13.3%	4.5%	1.1%	0.2%
2	12.0%	9.1%	3.5%	0.9%	0.2%
3	6.1%	4.7%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%
4	2.4%	1.8%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Spartak Moscow	Draw	CSKA Moscow
Spartak Moscow	33.7%	3.6%	0.9%
Draw	19.8%	19.5%	7.5%
CSKA Moscow	2.0%	3.7%	9.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

26%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

47%

36%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow

1 Spartak Moscow Wins

0 Draws

2 CSKA Moscow Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Nov 2025	Spartak Moscow	1 - 0	CSKA Moscow
05 Oct 2025	CSKA Moscow	3 - 2	Spartak Moscow
26 Apr 2025	Spartak Moscow	1 - 2	CSKA Moscow

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Spartak Moscow — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	H Fakel	W	1 - 0
13 Sep	H FC Rostov	W	3 - 0
06 Sep	A Dynamo	L	2 - 1
02 Sep	H Rodina Moskva	W	3 - 1
30 Aug	H FC Orenburg	D	1 - 1

CSKA Moscow — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Sep	A Dinamo Makhachkala	W	1 - 3
12 Sep	H Rubin	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Zenit	W	1 - 2
01 Sep	A FC Rostov	L	2 - 0
28 Aug	A Akron	D	2 - 2

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14	7	+7	21
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14	8	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15	9	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16	7	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19	9	+10	18
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12	11	+1	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15	16	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14	12	+2	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13	14	-1	11
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13	13	0	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7	10	-3	9
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10	17	-7	8
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11	18	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8	11	-3	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10	22	-12	5
16	Fakel	9	0	3	6	6	13	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.