FC Orenburg vs Spartak Moscow Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 23

10 Apr 2027, 15:00

Post on X

Spartak Moscow

Away

AI call Difficult Spartak Moscow win or draw

17%

26%

57%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Orenburg vs Spartak Moscow prediction: Sportiko gives FC Orenburg a 17% chance of winning, Spartak Moscow 57% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.5%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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FC Orenburg

DLDDD

Spartak Moscow

WWLWD

Last 3 meetings FC Orenburg · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In their upcoming Premier League match, FC Orenburg faces Spartak Moscow, a clash that promises to be pivotal for both teams. Orenburg has shown resilience with a defensive record that ranks in the mid-tier, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match this season. Conversely, Spartak Moscow boasts a potent attack, averaging 2.0 goals per game, highlighting their ability to capitalize on defensive lapses. Key players like Orenburg's goalkeeper will need to perform at peak levels to counter Spartak's offensive threats. The outcome will significantly impact both teams' standings as the season progresses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

17%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

57%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Spartak Moscow goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	11	11	7	3	1
1	5	13	10	6	3	1
2	3	5	4	3	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ FC Orenburg goals · most likely 1–1 (12.5%)

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Players in form

FC Orenburg

No scorer data.

Spartak Moscow

M. Ugalde 3 gls

M. Daku 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

57%

Draw

26%

Home Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

57%

Draw

26%

Home Win

17%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

77% Away (No Draw) 23% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

33% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

57% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 17% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.5%	11.1%	11.2%	6.6%	3.0%
1	4.8%	12.5%	9.9%	5.9%	2.6%
2	2.7%	4.9%	4.3%	2.6%	1.1%
3	0.8%	1.4%	1.3%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Orenburg	Draw	Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg	9.6%	3.9%	2.5%
Draw	7.0%	16.5%	19.6%
Spartak Moscow	1.1%	3.7%	36.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Orenburg vs Spartak Moscow

0 FC Orenburg Wins

1 Draws

2 Spartak Moscow Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Aug 2026	Spartak Moscow	1 - 1	FC Orenburg
05 Aug 2026	Spartak Moscow	5 - 1	FC Orenburg
22 Mar 2026	FC Orenburg	0 - 2	Spartak Moscow

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FC Orenburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Sep	H FC Krasnodar	D	0 - 0
12 Sep	A Dynamo	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Akron	D	2 - 2
02 Sep	H Rubin	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Spartak Moscow	D	1 - 1

Spartak Moscow — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	H Fakel	W	1 - 0
13 Sep	H FC Rostov	W	3 - 0
06 Sep	A Dynamo	L	2 - 1
02 Sep	H Rodina Moskva	W	3 - 1
30 Aug	H FC Orenburg	D	1 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14	7	+7	21
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14	8	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15	9	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16	7	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19	9	+10	18
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12	11	+1	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15	16	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14	12	+2	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13	14	-1	11
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13	13	0	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7	10	-3	9
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10	17	-7	8
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11	18	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8	11	-3	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10	22	-12	5
16	Fakel	9	0	3	6	6	13	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.