Zenit vs FC Orenburg Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 19

06 Mar 2027, 16:00

Post on X

FC Orenburg

Away

AI call Zenit to win

86%

12%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Zenit vs FC Orenburg prediction: Sportiko gives Zenit a 86% chance of winning, FC Orenburg 2% and the draw 12%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 19.4%

Both teams to score

25%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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Zenit

WWLWW

FC Orenburg

DLDDD

Last 3 meetings Zenit · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Zenit faces FC Orenburg in an upcoming Premier League match that could significantly impact both teams' standings. Zenit has historically performed well at home, leveraging their strong possession game and offensive efficiency, averaging over 2 goals per match this season. In contrast, FC Orenburg struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match and ranking low in expected goals against. If Zenit capitalizes on their attacking prowess, they could secure a comfortable victory. However, Orenburg must improve their defensive organization to compete effectively.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

86%

45%

Draw

12%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Orenburg goals →

	0	1	2
0	6	1
1	14	5	1
2	19	6	1
3	17	5	1
4	11	3	1
5	6	2

↑ Zenit goals · most likely 2–0 (19.4%)

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Players in form

Zenit

A. Sobolev 7 gls

M. Glushenkov 6 gls

FC Orenburg

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

86%

Draw

12%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

75% BTTS No 25% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

87%

4.5

13%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

86%

Draw

12%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

98% Home (No Draw) 2% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

65% Home Win by 2+ 0% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

86% Home Scores More 12% Equal Goals 2% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

87%

4.5

13%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

75% BTTS No 25% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

25%

24%

18%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.0%	1.1%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
1	14.0%	4.9%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
2	19.4%	5.8%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	17.2%	5.2%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
4	11.4%	3.4%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

34%

24%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

31%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Zenit	Draw	FC Orenburg
Zenit	63.2%	1.1%	0.1%
Draw	22.6%	8.3%	1.0%
FC Orenburg	1.4%	1.2%	1.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

27%

1.5

73%

53%

2.5

47%

76%

3.5

24%

Home Exact Goals

20%

26%

23%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Zenit vs FC Orenburg

2 Zenit Wins

0 Draws

1 FC Orenburg Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
02 Aug 2026	FC Orenburg	0 - 3	Zenit
08 Mar 2026	FC Orenburg	2 - 1	Zenit
27 Sep 2025	Zenit	5 - 2	FC Orenburg

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Zenit — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	A Baltika	W	2 - 3
12 Sep	H Lokomotiv	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	H CSKA Moscow	L	1 - 2
02 Sep	H Dinamo Makhachkala	W	3 - 0
29 Aug	A Fakel	W	0 - 1

FC Orenburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Sep	H FC Krasnodar	D	0 - 0
12 Sep	A Dynamo	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Akron	D	2 - 2
02 Sep	H Rubin	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Spartak Moscow	D	1 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14	7	+7	21
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14	8	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15	9	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16	7	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19	9	+10	18
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12	11	+1	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15	16	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14	12	+2	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13	14	-1	11
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13	13	0	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7	10	-3	9
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10	17	-7	8
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11	18	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8	11	-3	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10	22	-12	5
16	Fakel	9	0	3	6	6	13	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.