Rodina Moskva vs Lokomotiv Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 15

21 Nov 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Lokomotiv

Away

AI call Too close to call

41%

29%

30%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Rodina Moskva vs Lokomotiv prediction: Sportiko gives Rodina Moskva a 41% chance of winning, Lokomotiv 30% and the draw 29%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.1%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Rodina Moskva

DLLLL

Lokomotiv

DLWDL

Match summary

Rodina Moskva faces Lokomotiv in an intriguing Premier League matchup. Rodina has demonstrated solid defensive capabilities, allowing an average of 1.2 goals per match this season, while Lokomotiv boasts a potent attack, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game. Both teams have shown inconsistency, with Lokomotiv's away form being a concern, having secured only 1 win in their last 5 away matches. This clash may hinge on Rodina's ability to contain Lokomotiv's offensive threats while capitalizing on set-pieces, where they have found success. Expect a tightly contested match with the potential for either side to seize the initiative.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

41%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

30%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lokomotiv goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	7	5	2	1
1	9	14	7	3	1
2	8	9	5	2	1
3	4	4	3	1
4	1	2	1
5

↑ Rodina Moskva goals · most likely 1–1 (14.1%)

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Players in form

Rodina Moskva

A. Maksimenko 3 gls

Lokomotiv

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

30%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

30%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

58% Home (No Draw) 42% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Home Scores More 30% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.0%	7.1%	5.1%	2.0%	0.6%
1	9.0%	14.1%	7.4%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.6%	8.9%	5.3%	2.1%	0.6%
3	3.6%	4.3%	2.5%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.3%	1.5%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Rodina Moskva	Draw	Lokomotiv
Rodina Moskva	24.7%	4.4%	1.7%
Draw	15.3%	18.4%	11.5%
Lokomotiv	2.2%	4.5%	17.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Rodina Moskva vs Lokomotiv

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Rodina Moskva — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	H Rubin	D	1 - 1
11 Sep	A Krylia Sovetov	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	A Dinamo Makhachkala	L	2 - 0
02 Sep	A Spartak Moscow	L	3 - 1
30 Aug	H Baltika	L	0 - 3

Lokomotiv — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	H Krylia Sovetov	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Zenit	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	A Baltika	W	0 - 1
01 Sep	A Akron	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	H Dynamo	L	0 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14	7	+7	21
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14	8	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15	9	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16	7	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19	9	+10	18
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12	11	+1	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15	16	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14	12	+2	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13	14	-1	11
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13	13	0	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7	10	-3	9
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10	17	-7	8
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11	18	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8	11	-3	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10	22	-12	5
16	Fakel	9	0	3	6	6	13	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.