Dinamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 15

21 Nov 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Spartak Moscow

Away

AI call Spartak Moscow to win or draw

23%

71%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Dinamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow prediction: Sportiko gives Dinamo Makhachkala a 6% chance of winning, Spartak Moscow 71% and the draw 23%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:1 · 19.8%

Both teams to score

27%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

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Dinamo Makhachkala

LLWLL

Spartak Moscow

WWLWD

Last 3 meetings Dinamo Makhachkala · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash between Dinamo Makhachkala and Spartak Moscow, both teams will be looking to capitalize on their recent form. Dinamo has shown resilience at home, with a solid defensive record, conceding just 1.2 goals per match over their last five games. Spartak Moscow, on the other hand, has been potent in attack, averaging 2 goals per match in the same period, with key players finding the net consistently. This matchup could hinge on whether Dinamo can contain Spartak’s offensive threats while exploiting any defensive vulnerabilities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

10%

Draw

23%

45%

Away

71%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Spartak Moscow goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	13	20	19	11	5	2
1	3	9	7	4	2	1
2	1	1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Dinamo Makhachkala goals · most likely 0–1 (19.8%)

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Players in form

Dinamo Makhachkala

G. Agalarov 5 gls

Spartak Moscow

M. Ugalde 3 gls

M. Daku 3 gls

AI match tools

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Match Result

Away Win

71%

Draw

23%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

73% BTTS No 27% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

71%

Draw

23%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

92% Away (No Draw) 8% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

44% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

71% Away Scores More 23% Equal Goals 6% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

73% BTTS No 27% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

23%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.5%	19.8%	18.7%	11.2%	5.1%
1	3.3%	8.7%	6.9%	4.2%	1.9%
2	0.8%	1.4%	1.3%	0.8%	0.4%
3	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

36%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

35%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Dinamo Makhachkala	Draw	Spartak Moscow
Dinamo Makhachkala	3.1%	2.0%	1.3%
Draw	3.1%	17.0%	24.2%
Spartak Moscow	0.3%	2.1%	47.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

69%

26%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

81%

0.5

19%

98%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Dinamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow

1 Dinamo Makhachkala Wins

1 Draws

1 Spartak Moscow Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 May 2026	Dinamo Makhachkala	0 - 0	Spartak Moscow
19 Jul 2025	Spartak Moscow	1 - 0	Dinamo Makhachkala
11 Apr 2025	Spartak Moscow	1 - 2	Dinamo Makhachkala

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Dinamo Makhachkala — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Sep	H CSKA Moscow	L	1 - 3
13 Sep	A Akhmat	L	3 - 2
06 Sep	H Rodina Moskva	W	2 - 0
02 Sep	A Zenit	L	3 - 0
30 Aug	A Rubin	L	3 - 1

Spartak Moscow — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	H Fakel	W	1 - 0
13 Sep	H FC Rostov	W	3 - 0
06 Sep	A Dynamo	L	2 - 1
02 Sep	H Rodina Moskva	W	3 - 1
30 Aug	H FC Orenburg	D	1 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14	7	+7	21
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14	8	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15	9	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16	7	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19	9	+10	18
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12	11	+1	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15	16	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14	12	+2	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13	14	-1	11
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13	13	0	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7	10	-3	9
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10	17	-7	8
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11	18	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8	11	-3	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10	22	-12	5
16	Fakel	9	0	3	6	6	13	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.