Rubin vs Fakel Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 13

31 Oct 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Fakel

Away

AI call Too close to call

49%

34%

17%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Rubin vs Fakel prediction: Sportiko gives Rubin a 49% chance of winning, Fakel 17% and the draw 34%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 18.1%

Both teams to score

34%

Over 2.5 goals

27%

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Rubin

DDDDW

Fakel

LDLDL

Last 3 meetings Rubin · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Rubin will face Fakel in this Premier League match on October 31, 2026. Rubin's recent form indicates a solid defensive record, having conceded an average of 1 goal per match over the last five fixtures. Meanwhile, Fakel has struggled offensively, averaging just 0.8 goals per match during the same period. This matchup will likely hinge on Rubin's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities while maintaining their defensive solidity against Fakel's underwhelming attack. Overall, Rubin appears to have the edge based on current performance metrics.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

49%

45%

Draw

34%

45%

Away

17%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Fakel goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	18	8	3	1
1	18	14	4	1
2	12	7	2
3	5	3	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Rubin goals · most likely 1–0 (18.1%)

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Players in form

Rubin

A. Arroyo 3 gls

J. Siwe 3 gls

Fakel

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

34%

Away Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS No 34% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

44%

1.5

56%

73%

2.5

27%

89%

3.5

11%

96%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

34%

Away Win

17%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

74% Home (No Draw) 26% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Home Scores More 34% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

44%

1.5

56%

73%

2.5

27%

89%

3.5

11%

96%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS No 34% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

26%

28%

16%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	17.8%	8.3%	3.0%	0.6%	0.1%
1	18.1%	13.5%	3.7%	0.7%	0.1%
2	11.9%	7.3%	2.2%	0.5%	0.1%
3	4.8%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
4	1.5%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

45%

34%

15%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

38%

35%

20%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Rubin	Draw	Fakel
Rubin	29.2%	3.4%	0.7%
Draw	19.7%	25.1%	8.1%
Fakel	1.4%	3.3%	9.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

54%

33%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Rubin vs Fakel

2 Rubin Wins

1 Draws

0 Fakel Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
27 Apr 2025	Rubin	2 - 1	Fakel
27 Sep 2024	Fakel	0 - 0	Rubin
26 Nov 2023	Rubin	1 - 0	Fakel

See all 4 meetings — Premium

Rubin — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	A Rodina Moskva	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A CSKA Moscow	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	H Akhmat	D	1 - 1
02 Sep	A FC Orenburg	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	H Dinamo Makhachkala	W	3 - 1

Fakel — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	A Spartak Moscow	L	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Baltika	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A FC Rostov	L	3 - 1
01 Sep	H FC Krasnodar	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Zenit	L	0 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14	7	+7	21
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14	8	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15	9	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16	7	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19	9	+10	18
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12	11	+1	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15	16	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14	12	+2	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13	14	-1	11
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13	13	0	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7	10	-3	9
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10	17	-7	8
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11	18	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8	11	-3	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10	22	-12	5
16	Fakel	9	0	3	6	6	13	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.