Akhmat vs FC Orenburg Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 12

24 Oct 2026, 15:00

Post on X

FC Orenburg

Away

AI call Akhmat or draw

48%

29%

23%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Akhmat vs FC Orenburg prediction: Sportiko gives Akhmat a 48% chance of winning, FC Orenburg 23% and the draw 29%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.9%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Akhmat

LWDLD

FC Orenburg

DLDDD

Last 3 meetings Akhmat · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League match, Akhmat will face FC Orenburg. Akhmat has shown a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.1 goals per match this season, while Orenburg has struggled offensively, averaging just 0.9 goals per game. Both teams will be looking for crucial points to improve their standings, but Akhmat's stronger home form, with a higher win percentage at home, could play a significant role. Orenburg will need to address their goal-scoring issues to compete effectively.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

48%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

23%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Orenburg goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	6	4	1
1	11	14	6	2
2	10	9	5	1
3	5	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Akhmat goals · most likely 1–1 (13.9%)

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Players in form

Akhmat

G. Melkadze 3 gls

Egas Cacintura 3 gls

L. Sadulaev 2 gls

FC Orenburg

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

29%

Away Win

23%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

29%

Away Win

23%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

68% Home (No Draw) 32% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

48% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 23% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

18%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.9%	6.5%	3.9%	1.3%	0.3%
1	11.1%	13.9%	6.0%	1.9%	0.5%
2	9.6%	9.3%	4.5%	1.5%	0.4%
3	4.9%	4.7%	2.3%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.9%	1.8%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Akhmat	Draw	FC Orenburg
Akhmat	29.9%	4.1%	1.3%
Draw	17.5%	18.7%	9.2%
FC Orenburg	2.2%	4.2%	12.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Akhmat vs FC Orenburg

2 Akhmat Wins

1 Draws

0 FC Orenburg Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Dec 2025	Akhmat	1 - 0	FC Orenburg
22 Aug 2025	FC Orenburg	2 - 2	Akhmat
08 Dec 2024	Akhmat	1 - 0	FC Orenburg

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Akhmat — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Sep	A Akron	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Dinamo Makhachkala	W	3 - 2
07 Sep	A Rubin	D	1 - 1
03 Sep	A Dynamo	L	3 - 0
29 Aug	H Krylia Sovetov	D	3 - 3

FC Orenburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Sep	H FC Krasnodar	D	0 - 0
12 Sep	A Dynamo	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Akron	D	2 - 2
02 Sep	H Rubin	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Spartak Moscow	D	1 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14	7	+7	21
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14	8	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15	9	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16	7	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19	9	+10	18
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12	11	+1	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15	16	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14	12	+2	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13	14	-1	11
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13	13	0	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7	10	-3	9
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10	17	-7	8
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11	18	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8	11	-3	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10	22	-12	5
16	Fakel	9	0	3	6	6	13	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.