CSKA Moscow vs Spartak Moscow Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 12

24 Oct 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Spartak Moscow

Away

AI call Spartak Moscow or draw

30%

31%

39%

Home Win Draw Away Win

CSKA Moscow vs Spartak Moscow prediction: Sportiko gives CSKA Moscow a 30% chance of winning, Spartak Moscow 39% and the draw 31%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.9%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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CSKA Moscow

WDWLD

Spartak Moscow

WWLWD

Last 3 meetings CSKA Moscow · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

CSKA Moscow faces Spartak Moscow in a pivotal Premier League clash. CSKA has shown a strong defensive record this season, conceding only 10 goals in their first 10 matches, while Spartak has struggled defensively, allowing 15 goals. Offensively, CSKA's attacking duo has been clinical, contributing to 60% of the team's goals. Spartak will need to improve their away form to challenge CSKA effectively, having won only 1 of their last 5 away matches. This match promises to be a tightly contested encounter, with both teams vying for crucial points in the league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

30%

10%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

39%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Spartak Moscow goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	11	8	3	1
1	9	15	8	3	1
2	6	7	4	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ CSKA Moscow goals · most likely 1–1 (14.9%)

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Players in form

CSKA Moscow

I. Oblyakov 4 gls

I. Oleynikov 3 gls

L. Gondou 3 gls

Spartak Moscow

M. Ugalde 3 gls

M. Daku 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Draw

31%

Home Win

30%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Draw

31%

Home Win

30%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

57% Away (No Draw) 43% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Away Win by 2+ 12% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals 30% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.5%	10.6%	7.7%	3.3%	1.0%
1	8.7%	14.9%	8.3%	3.5%	1.1%
2	5.6%	7.0%	4.4%	1.9%	0.6%
3	2.0%	2.5%	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.5%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	CSKA Moscow	Draw	Spartak Moscow
CSKA Moscow	17.1%	4.3%	1.8%
Draw	12.1%	20.7%	15.0%
Spartak Moscow	1.5%	4.4%	23.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: CSKA Moscow vs Spartak Moscow

2 CSKA Moscow Wins

0 Draws

1 Spartak Moscow Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Nov 2025	Spartak Moscow	1 - 0	CSKA Moscow
05 Oct 2025	CSKA Moscow	3 - 2	Spartak Moscow
26 Apr 2025	Spartak Moscow	1 - 2	CSKA Moscow

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CSKA Moscow — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Sep	A Dinamo Makhachkala	W	1 - 3
12 Sep	H Rubin	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Zenit	W	1 - 2
01 Sep	A FC Rostov	L	2 - 0
28 Aug	A Akron	D	2 - 2

Spartak Moscow — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	H Fakel	W	1 - 0
13 Sep	H FC Rostov	W	3 - 0
06 Sep	A Dynamo	L	2 - 1
02 Sep	H Rodina Moskva	W	3 - 1
30 Aug	H FC Orenburg	D	1 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14	7	+7	21
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14	8	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15	9	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16	7	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19	9	+10	18
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12	11	+1	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15	16	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14	12	+2	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13	14	-1	11
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13	13	0	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7	10	-3	9
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10	17	-7	8
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11	18	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8	11	-3	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10	22	-12	5
16	Fakel	9	0	3	6	6	13	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.