CSKA Moscow vs Spartak Moscow Prediction

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 12
FT
Post on X
AI call Spartak Moscow or draw
33%
27%
40%
Home Win Draw Away Win

CSKA Moscow vs Spartak Moscow prediction: Sportiko gives CSKA Moscow a 33% chance of winning, Spartak Moscow 40% and the draw 27%. Last updated 25 Oct 2026, 15:14.

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
  • 1st Half Over 0.5 75%
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Timeline

Kirill Glebov
1' ⚽ 1–0
Kirill Glebov Yellow Card
18' ▮
Tamerlan Musaev assist: Danil Krugovoy
24' ⚽ 2–0
Matvey Lukin Yellow Card
36' ▮
▮ 37'
Pablo Solari Yellow Card
HT 2–0
João Victor Yellow Card
62' ▮
⇄ 64'
Srđan Babić ⇄ Igor Dmitriev
⇄ 64'
Victor Parada ⇄ Gedson Fernandes
Tamerlan Musaev ⇄ Matheus Reis
75' ⇄
Kirill Glebov ⇄ Matija Popovic
75' ⇄
⇄ 75'
Marquinhos ⇄ Daniil Denisov
⇄ 75'
Roman Zobnin ⇄ Mirlind Daku
Matija Popovic Yellow Card
79' ▮
Ivan Oblyakov Yellow Card
85' ▮
FT 2–0
CSKA Moscow

Match Stats

Spartak Moscow
31% Ball Possession 69%
1.67 Expected Goals (xG) 0.96
19 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Goal 9
9 Shots off Goal 4
4 Blocked Shots 5
14 Shots insidebox 8
5 Shots outsidebox 10
5 Corner Kicks 5
0 Offsides 5
14 Fouls 5
5 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
10 Goalkeeper Saves 4
282 Total passes 637
190 Passes accurate 545
5 Free Kicks 14
CSKA Moscow
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
39 Maksim Borisko G 9.0 90' – – – 35 (18%) –
11 Tamerlan Musaev F 8.2 75' 1 – 4 20 (15%) 2
17 Kirill Glebov F 7.7 75' 1 – 3 14 (7%) 2
21 Mohamed Azzi D 7.4 90' – – 1 21 (15%) 5
31 Matvey Kislyak M 7.2 90' – – 3 37 (31%) 2
20 Matija Popovic M 7.1 15' – – 1 1 –
2 Matheus Reis D 7.0 15' – – – 4 –
3 Danil Krugovoy D 6.9 90' – 1 2 22 (14%) 1
10 Ivan Oblyakov M 6.9 90' – – 1 25 (19%) 1
4 João Victor D 6.7 90' – – 1 29 (23%) 2
79 Kirill Danilov D 6.7 90' – – 1 25 (17%) –
90 Matvey Lukin D 6.6 90' – – 1 21 (14%) 2
19 Ivan Oleynikov M 6.3 90' – – 1 28 (17%) 1
Spartak Moscow
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
83 Gedson Fernandes M 7.0 26' – – 2 25 (25%) 1
5 Esequiel Barco M 6.9 90' – – 2 88 (73%) 2
98 Aleksandr Maksimenko G 6.8 90' – – – 23 (20%) –
6 Srđan Babić D 6.7 64' – – – 69 (64%) 3
68 Ruslan Litvinov D 6.6 90' – – – 87 (80%) 1
9 Manfred Ugalde F 6.6 90' – – 5 31 (23%) 3
19 Mirlind Daku F 6.5 15' – – 1 4 (4%) –
25 Danil Prutsev M 6.4 90' – – 1 57 (51%) –
33 Victor Parada D 6.4 64' – – – 38 (33%) 1
18 Nail Umyarov M 6.3 90' – – 2 67 (57%) 1
47 Roman Zobnin D 6.2 75' – – 1 46 (38%) –
10 Marquinhos M 6.2 75' – – – 44 (39%) –
97 Daniil Denisov D 6.1 15' – – – 13 (6%) –
7 Pablo Solari M 6.1 90' – – 3 26 (20%) 3
27 Igor Dmitriev M 5.8 26' – – 1 18 (11%) 1
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Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

Our lean
Spartak Moscow or draw
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CSKA Moscow
LDWWL
Spartak Moscow
WWLWW
Last 3 meetings CSKA Moscow · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

CSKA Moscow faces Spartak Moscow in a pivotal Premier League clash. CSKA has shown a strong defensive record this season, conceding only 10 goals in their first 10 matches, while Spartak has struggled defensively, allowing 15 goals. Offensively, CSKA's attacking duo has been clinical, contributing to 60% of the team's goals. Spartak will need to improve their away form to challenge CSKA effectively, having won only 1 of their last 5 away matches. This match promises to be a tightly contested encounter, with both teams vying for crucial points in the league standings.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
33%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
40%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

CSKA Moscow
I. Oblyakov 7 gls
I. Oleynikov 3 gls
Spartak Moscow
M. Ugalde 6 gls
M. Daku 5 gls

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Head to Head: CSKA Moscow vs Spartak Moscow

2 CSKA Moscow Wins
0 Draws
1 Spartak Moscow Wins
Date Home Score Away
22 Nov 2025 Spartak Moscow 1 - 0 CSKA Moscow
05 Oct 2025 CSKA Moscow 3 - 2 Spartak Moscow
26 Apr 2025 Spartak Moscow 1 - 2 CSKA Moscow
See all 10 meetings — Premium

CSKA Moscow — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A FC Krasnodar L 4 - 2
01 Nov A FC Orenburg D 0 - 0
29 Oct H Lokomotiv W 3 - 1
25 Oct H Spartak Moscow W 2 - 0
18 Oct A Dynamo L 3 - 1

Spartak Moscow — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
01 Nov A Lokomotiv W 0 - 4
28 Oct H Rubin W 1 - 0
25 Oct A CSKA Moscow L 2 - 0
18 Oct H Rubin W 4 - 0
15 Oct A Rodina Moskva W 2 - 4

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Dynamo
14 10 1 3 +10 31
2
Zenit
13 10 0 3 +17 30
3
FC Krasnodar
14 7 5 2 +7 26
4
CSKA Moscow
14 7 5 2 +7 26
5
Spartak Moscow
13 8 2 3 +15 26
6
FC Rostov
13 5 3 5 -1 18
7
Rubin
14 4 6 4 -4 18
8
Baltika
13 4 5 4 +3 17
9
FC Orenburg
13 3 8 2 +2 17
10
Krylia Sovetov
13 3 6 4 -3 15
11
Akhmat
14 3 5 6 -3 14
12
Dinamo Makhachkala
13 4 1 8 -10 13
13
Rodina Moskva
14 3 3 8 -14 12
14
Akron
13 2 6 5 -7 12
15
Lokomotiv
14 2 5 7 -5 11
16
Fakel
14 1 3 10 -14 6

CSKA Moscow

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
39 Borisko
3 Krugovoy
90 Lukin
79 Zea
4 Victor
21 Azzi
19 Oleynikov
31 Kislyak
10 Oblyakov
11 Musaev
17 Glebov

Starting XI

# Player Pos
39 M. Borisko G
21 M. Azzi D
4 João Victor D
79 M. Zea D
90 M. Lukin D
3 D. Krugovoy D
10 I. Oblyakov M
31 M. Kislyak M
19 I. Oleynikov M
17 K. Glebov F
11 T. Musaev F

Substitutes

52 A. Bandikyan M
23 Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov D
7 Matheus Alves M
85 Egor Besaev G
37 Henrique M
62 I. Firov F
18 D. Kozlov M
2 Matheus Reis D
49 V. Torop G
84 A. Vakulich M
97 Maksim Voronov F
20 Matija Popovic M

Spartak Moscow

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Carcedo
98 Maksimenko
33 Parada
6 Babić
68 Litvinov
47 Zobnin
18 Umyarov
10 Marquinhos
5 Barco
25 Prutsev
7 Solari
9 Ugalde

Starting XI

# Player Pos
98 A. Maksimenko G
47 R. Zobnin D
68 R. Litvinov D
6 S. Babić D
33 Víctor Parada D
18 N. Umyarov M
7 P. Solari M
25 D. Prutsev M
5 E. Barco M
10 Marquinhos M
9 M. Ugalde F

Substitutes

83 Gedson Fernandes M
19 M. Daku F
97 D. Denisov D
4 A. Djiku D
27 I. Dmitriev M
56 A. Dovbnya G
24 Nikita Massalyga M
62 P. Polekh F
1 I. Pomazun G
17 V. Saus M
40 I. Sorokin M
3 C. Wooh D

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