Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 11

17 Oct 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Fakel

Away

AI call Too close to call

52%

30%

18%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel prediction: Sportiko gives Krylia Sovetov a 52% chance of winning, Fakel 18% and the draw 30%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 14.8%

Both teams to score

41%

Over 2.5 goals

37%

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Krylia Sovetov

DWDDD

Fakel

LDLDL

Last 3 meetings Krylia Sovetov · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Krylia Sovetov will face Fakel in this Premier League clash on October 17, 2026. Krylia has been solid at home, showcasing a strong defensive record, conceding an average of 1 goal per match in their last five outings. Conversely, Fakel has struggled on the road, with a record of only one win in their last five away matches, often failing to convert possession into goals. The match will be crucial for both teams as they seek to improve their standings, with Krylia likely to capitalize on their defensive solidity and home form against Fakel’s inconsistent away performances. Expect a tactical battle, with Krylia aiming to secure all three points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

52%

45%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

18%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Fakel goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	13	7	3	1
1	15	14	4	1
2	12	9	3	1
3	6	4	2
4	2	2	1
5	1

↑ Krylia Sovetov goals · most likely 1–0 (14.8%)

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Players in form

Krylia Sovetov

A. Rahmanović 3 gls

Fakel

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

30%

Away Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

30%

Away Win

18%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

75% Home (No Draw) 25% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

27% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

52% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 18% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

22%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.9%	6.8%	3.1%	0.8%	0.1%
1	14.8%	13.7%	4.5%	1.1%	0.2%
2	11.8%	8.7%	3.2%	0.8%	0.2%
3	5.7%	4.2%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
4	2.0%	1.5%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Krylia Sovetov	Draw	Fakel
Krylia Sovetov	32.2%	3.7%	0.9%
Draw	19.4%	20.8%	7.9%
Fakel	1.8%	3.6%	9.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

48%

35%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel

2 Krylia Sovetov Wins

1 Draws

0 Fakel Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
24 May 2025	Fakel	1 - 1	Krylia Sovetov
11 Aug 2024	Krylia Sovetov	2 - 0	Fakel
25 Apr 2024	Fakel	0 - 1	Krylia Sovetov

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Krylia Sovetov — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	A Lokomotiv	D	1 - 1
11 Sep	H Rodina Moskva	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	H FC Krasnodar	D	2 - 2
02 Sep	A Baltika	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	A Akhmat	D	3 - 3

Fakel — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	A Spartak Moscow	L	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Baltika	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A FC Rostov	L	3 - 1
01 Sep	H FC Krasnodar	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Zenit	L	0 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14	7	+7	21
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14	8	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15	9	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16	7	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19	9	+10	18
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12	11	+1	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15	16	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14	12	+2	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13	14	-1	11
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13	13	0	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7	10	-3	9
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10	17	-7	8
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11	18	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8	11	-3	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10	22	-12	5
16	Fakel	9	0	3	6	6	13	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.