Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 11

17 Oct 2026, 15:00

Post on X

FC Krasnodar

Away

AI call Difficult FC Krasnodar win or draw

21%

28%

51%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar prediction: Sportiko gives Lokomotiv a 21% chance of winning, FC Krasnodar 51% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.3%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Lokomotiv

DLWDL

FC Krasnodar

DDDDW

Last 3 meetings Lokomotiv · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League match, Lokomotiv will face FC Krasnodar. Both teams have shown varying forms, with Lokomotiv currently averaging 1.5 goals per match while Krasnodar is slightly lower at 1.2. Defensively, Lokomotiv has conceded an average of 1.3 goals per game, compared to Krasnodar's 1.1. The match could hinge on Lokomotiv's ability to exploit Krasnodar's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly in set-piece situations. Overall, this matchup promises to be competitive as both teams seek crucial points in the league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

21%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

51%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Krasnodar goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	10	10	5	2	1
1	6	13	10	5	2	1
2	4	6	5	3	1
3	1	2	2	1
4
5

↑ Lokomotiv goals · most likely 1–1 (13.3%)

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Players in form

Lokomotiv

No scorer data.

FC Krasnodar

N. Krivtsov 3 gls

Jubal 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

51%

Draw

28%

Home Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

51%

Draw

28%

Home Win

21%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

71% Away (No Draw) 29% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Away Win by 2+ 8% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

51% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 21% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.9%	10.5%	9.9%	5.4%	2.2%
1	5.7%	13.3%	9.7%	5.3%	2.2%
2	3.5%	5.8%	4.7%	2.6%	1.1%
3	1.2%	1.9%	1.6%	0.9%	0.4%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lokomotiv	Draw	FC Krasnodar
Lokomotiv	11.9%	4.1%	2.4%
Draw	8.6%	17.5%	18.0%
FC Krasnodar	1.3%	4.1%	32.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar

1 Lokomotiv Wins

2 Draws

0 FC Krasnodar Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 Nov 2025	Lokomotiv	1 - 1	FC Krasnodar
26 Jul 2025	FC Krasnodar	1 - 2	Lokomotiv
08 Dec 2024	FC Krasnodar	0 - 0	Lokomotiv

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Lokomotiv — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	H Krylia Sovetov	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Zenit	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	A Baltika	W	0 - 1
01 Sep	A Akron	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	H Dynamo	L	0 - 1

FC Krasnodar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Sep	A FC Orenburg	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	H Akron	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Krylia Sovetov	D	2 - 2
01 Sep	A Fakel	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H FC Rostov	W	1 - 0

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14	7	+7	21
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14	8	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15	9	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16	7	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19	9	+10	18
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12	11	+1	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15	16	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14	12	+2	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13	14	-1	11
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13	13	0	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7	10	-3	9
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10	17	-7	8
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11	18	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8	11	-3	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10	22	-12	5
16	Fakel	9	0	3	6	6	13	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.