Spartak Moscow vs Rubin Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 11

17 Oct 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Rubin

Away

AI call Difficult Spartak Moscow win or draw

62%

27%

11%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Spartak Moscow vs Rubin prediction: Sportiko gives Spartak Moscow a 62% chance of winning, Rubin 11% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 16.9%

Both teams to score

36%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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Spartak Moscow

WWLWD

Rubin

DDDDW

Last 3 meetings Spartak Moscow · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Spartak Moscow faces Rubin in an intriguing Premier League clash. Spartak has shown strong home form, typically averaging 1.8 goals per match this season, with a solid defense allowing only 1 goal per game. Rubin, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, conceding an average of 1.5 goals while scoring just 0.8. The match could hinge on Spartak's attacking prowess against Rubin's defensive resilience. Key players to watch include Spartak's top scorer and Rubin's goalkeeper, who will be crucial in determining the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Rubin goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	5	2
1	17	12	3	1
2	15	8	2
3	8	5	1
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Spartak Moscow goals · most likely 1–0 (16.9%)

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Players in form

Spartak Moscow

M. Ugalde 3 gls

M. Daku 3 gls

Rubin

A. Arroyo 3 gls

J. Siwe 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

62%

Draw

27%

Away Win

11%

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

62%

Draw

27%

Away Win

11%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

85% Home (No Draw) 15% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

36% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

62% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 11% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

22%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.4%	4.9%	1.7%	0.3%	0.1%
1	16.9%	11.5%	2.9%	0.5%	0.1%
2	15.0%	8.4%	2.4%	0.4%	0.1%
3	8.3%	4.6%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%
4	3.4%	1.9%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Spartak Moscow	Draw	Rubin
Spartak Moscow	39.8%	2.9%	0.5%
Draw	22.3%	18.8%	5.2%
Rubin	1.8%	2.9%	5.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

57%

32%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

78%

0.5

22%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Spartak Moscow vs Rubin

1 Spartak Moscow Wins

2 Draws

0 Rubin Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Aug 2026	Rubin	1 - 1	Spartak Moscow
08 Jul 2026	Spartak Moscow	0 - 0	Rubin
11 May 2026	Spartak Moscow	2 - 1	Rubin

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Spartak Moscow — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	H Fakel	W	1 - 0
13 Sep	H FC Rostov	W	3 - 0
06 Sep	A Dynamo	L	2 - 1
02 Sep	H Rodina Moskva	W	3 - 1
30 Aug	H FC Orenburg	D	1 - 1

Rubin — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	A Rodina Moskva	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A CSKA Moscow	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	H Akhmat	D	1 - 1
02 Sep	A FC Orenburg	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	H Dinamo Makhachkala	W	3 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14	7	+7	21
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14	8	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15	9	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16	7	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19	9	+10	18
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12	11	+1	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15	16	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14	12	+2	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13	14	-1	11
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13	13	0	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7	10	-3	9
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10	17	-7	8
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11	18	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8	11	-3	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10	22	-12	5
16	Fakel	9	0	3	6	6	13	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.