Fakel vs Lokomotiv Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 10

10 Oct 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Lokomotiv

Away

AI call Too close to call

26%

32%

42%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Fakel vs Lokomotiv prediction: Sportiko gives Fakel a 26% chance of winning, Lokomotiv 42% and the draw 32%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.8%

Both teams to score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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Fakel

LDLDL

Lokomotiv

DLWDL

Last 3 meetings Fakel · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Fakel will face Lokomotiv. Fakel has shown resilience this season, with a solid defensive record, conceding only 10 goals in their last 8 matches. Meanwhile, Lokomotiv has been potent in attack, averaging over 1.5 goals per game, but struggles with consistency away from home. The match could hinge on Fakel's ability to contain Lokomotiv's attacking threats while capitalizing on set pieces, as both teams seek crucial points in the league standings. Expect a competitive encounter that may be decided by tactical discipline and opportunistic finishing.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

26%

10%

Draw

32%

45%

Away

42%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lokomotiv goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13	12	9	4	1
1	9	15	8	4	1
2	5	6	4	2	1
3	2	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Fakel goals · most likely 1–1 (14.8%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Draw

32%

Home Win

26%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

33%

1.5

67%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Draw

32%

Home Win

26%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

62% Away (No Draw) 38% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Away Win by 2+ 10% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Away Scores More 32% Equal Goals 26% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

33%

1.5

67%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

21%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.6%	12.2%	8.9%	3.8%	1.2%
1	8.5%	14.8%	8.4%	3.6%	1.1%
2	4.8%	6.2%	3.9%	1.7%	0.5%
3	1.5%	1.9%	1.2%	0.5%	0.2%
4	0.4%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Fakel	Draw	Lokomotiv
Fakel	14.5%	4.1%	1.8%
Draw	10.8%	21.4%	16.4%
Lokomotiv	1.3%	4.2%	25.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Fakel vs Lokomotiv

0 Fakel Wins

0 Draws

3 Lokomotiv Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 May 2025	Fakel	0 - 1	Lokomotiv
09 Nov 2024	Lokomotiv	2 - 1	Fakel
18 May 2024	Lokomotiv	2 - 0	Fakel

See all 6 meetings — Premium

Fakel — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	A Spartak Moscow	L	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Baltika	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A FC Rostov	L	3 - 1
01 Sep	H FC Krasnodar	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Zenit	L	0 - 1

Lokomotiv — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	H Krylia Sovetov	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Zenit	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	A Baltika	W	0 - 1
01 Sep	A Akron	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	H Dynamo	L	0 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14	7	+7	21
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14	8	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15	9	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16	7	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19	9	+10	18
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12	11	+1	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15	16	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14	12	+2	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13	14	-1	11
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13	13	0	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7	10	-3	9
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10	17	-7	8
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11	18	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8	11	-3	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10	22	-12	5
16	Fakel	9	0	3	6	6	13	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.