FC Orenburg vs Dinamo Makhachkala Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 10

10 Oct 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Dinamo Makhachkala

Away

AI call Difficult FC Orenburg win or draw

51%

29%

20%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Orenburg vs Dinamo Makhachkala prediction: Sportiko gives FC Orenburg a 51% chance of winning, Dinamo Makhachkala 20% and the draw 29%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.7%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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FC Orenburg

DLDDD

Dinamo Makhachkala

LLWLL

Last 3 meetings FC Orenburg · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

FC Orenburg faces Dinamo Makhachkala in a crucial Premier League clash. Orenburg has shown a solid home record, while Makhachkala tends to struggle on the road, which could play a key role in this match. Both teams have experienced fluctuations in form, but Orenburg's attack has been more prolific, averaging 1.5 goals per game compared to Makhachkala's 1.1. The outcome may hinge on Orenburg's ability to exploit Makhachkala's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly in set-piece situations. Overall, this match presents an opportunity for Orenburg to strengthen their league position against a struggling opponent.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

51%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

20%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Dinamo Makhachkala goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	11	6	3	1
1	13	14	5	1
2	11	9	4	1
3	5	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ FC Orenburg goals · most likely 1–1 (13.7%)

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Players in form

FC Orenburg

No scorer data.

Dinamo Makhachkala

G. Agalarov 5 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

51%

Draw

29%

Away Win

20%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

51%

Draw

29%

Away Win

20%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

72% Home (No Draw) 28% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

27% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

51% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 20% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.8%	6.4%	3.4%	1.0%	0.2%
1	12.5%	13.7%	5.2%	1.5%	0.3%
2	10.8%	9.3%	4.0%	1.1%	0.3%
3	5.5%	4.7%	2.0%	0.6%	0.1%
4	2.1%	1.8%	0.8%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

33%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Orenburg	Draw	Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Orenburg	31.8%	3.9%	1.1%
Draw	18.7%	19.1%	8.3%
Dinamo Makhachkala	2.1%	4.0%	11.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

42%

36%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Orenburg vs Dinamo Makhachkala

1 FC Orenburg Wins

1 Draws

1 Dinamo Makhachkala Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
13 Mar 2026	Dinamo Makhachkala	1 - 0	FC Orenburg
27 Jul 2025	FC Orenburg	1 - 1	Dinamo Makhachkala
19 Apr 2025	FC Orenburg	2 - 1	Dinamo Makhachkala

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FC Orenburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Sep	H FC Krasnodar	D	0 - 0
12 Sep	A Dynamo	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Akron	D	2 - 2
02 Sep	H Rubin	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Spartak Moscow	D	1 - 1

Dinamo Makhachkala — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Sep	H CSKA Moscow	L	1 - 3
13 Sep	A Akhmat	L	3 - 2
06 Sep	H Rodina Moskva	W	2 - 0
02 Sep	A Zenit	L	3 - 0
30 Aug	A Rubin	L	3 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14	7	+7	21
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14	8	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15	9	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16	7	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19	9	+10	18
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12	11	+1	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15	16	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14	12	+2	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13	14	-1	11
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13	13	0	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7	10	-3	9
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10	17	-7	8
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11	18	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8	11	-3	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10	22	-12	5
16	Fakel	9	0	3	6	6	13	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.