Rodina Moskva vs Rubin Prediction

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 9
FT
Post on X
AI call Rubin or draw
28%
30%
42%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Rodina Moskva vs Rubin prediction: Sportiko gives Rodina Moskva a 28% chance of winning, Rubin 42% and the draw 30%. Last updated 16 Sep 2026, 17:26.

Premium picks

Premium
  • Away to Score 76%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
  • Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

Brian Mansilla Yellow Card
30'
41'
Veldin Hodža Yellow Card
HT 0–0
50'
Ilya Rozhkov Yellow Card
Leon Musaev Yellow Card
50'
Brian Mansilla ⇄ Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov
57'
Yordy Reyna ⇄ Artem Maksimenko
58'
59'
Jacques Siwe Yellow Card
64'
Jacques Siwe ⇄ Daniil Kuznetsov
65'
Veldin Hodža ⇄ Nikita Lobov
65'
Bogdan Jočić ⇄ Ignacio Saavedra
72'
Ilya Rozhkov ⇄ Egor Teslenko
German Onugkha ⇄ Ivan Timoshenko
72'
Deiver Machado assist: Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov
79' 1–0
Stanislav Bessmertniy ⇄ Artem Sokol
80'
80'
Denil Maldonado ⇄ Ulvi Babaev
Leon Musaev ⇄ Ruslan Fishchenko
81'
1–1 82'
Anderson Arroyo assist: Igor Vujačić
FT 1–1
Rodina Moskva

Match Stats

Rubin
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Goal 4
6 Shots off Goal 3
4 Blocked Shots 1
8 Shots insidebox 7
5 Shots outsidebox 1
11 Corner Kicks 4
3 Offsides 1
13 Fouls 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
437 Total passes 313
319 Passes accurate 210
17 Free Kicks 12
Rodina Moskva
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
20 Deiver Machado M 7.9 90' 1 2 34 (28%) 1
18 Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov F 7.7 33' 1 2 7 (6%) 1
9 Artem Maksimenko F 7.1 32' 2 3 (2%)
26 Artem Meshchaninov D 7.0 90' 1 44 (31%) 4
10 Yordy Reyna F 7.0 58' 22 (19%)
75 Mickaël Nadé D 6.9 90' 58 (44%) 3
13 Sergey Volkov G 6.8 90' 43 (29%)
11 Brian Mansilla F 6.7 57' 1 22 (17%) 1
5 Andrey Egorychev M 6.7 90' 1 55 (43%) 2
50 Rodrigo Becão D 6.6 90' 48 (36%) 1
88 Artem Sokol D 6.6 10' 3 (1%)
6 Ruslan Fishchenko M 6.5 9' 6 (5%)
99 Ivan Timoshenko F 6.5 18' 5 (5%)
7 German Onugkha F 6.4 72' 4 20 (8%) 2
38 Leon Musaev M 6.4 81' 1 41 (31%) 1
80 Stanislav Bessmertniy M 6.1 80' 26 (14%) 2
Rubin
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
12 Anderson Arroyo D 7.2 90' 1 2 33 (19%) 4
38 Evgeni Staver G 6.9 90' 19 (6%)
7 Ulvi Babaev F 6.8 10'
2 Egor Teslenko D 6.7 18' 9 (7%)
98 Nikita Lobov D 6.6 25' 6 (4%)
44 Daniil Kuznetsov M 6.6 26' 1 1 (1%)
3 Denil Maldonado D 6.6 80' 37 (26%) 2
13 Jakhongir Urozov D 6.5 90' 40 (29%) 1
51 Ilya Rozhkov D 6.4 72' 1 23 (17%) 1
5 Igor Vujačić D 6.3 90' 1 41 (24%) 2
22 Veldin Hodža M 6.3 65' 23 (17%) 3
8 Bogdan Jočić M 6.2 65' 2 10 (9%) 2
6 Ugochukwu Iwu M 6.2 90' 36 (26%)
14 Ignacio Saavedra M 6.1 25' 10 (7%)
71 Ilya Samoshnikov M 6.1 90' 1 13 (12%) 1
43 Jacques Siwe F 5.9 64' 1 12 (6%)
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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Our lean
Rubin or draw
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Rodina Moskva
DLLLL
Rubin
DDDDW
Last 1 meetings Rodina Moskva · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Rodina Moskva faces Rubin on September 16, 2026. Rodina has shown a mixed form in recent matches, with a focus on solid defensive structure, averaging 1.2 goals conceded per game. Conversely, Rubin has been more offensive, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per match, leveraging quick transitions and effective wing play. Both teams will need to capitalize on set pieces, as Rodina has struggled to defend against corners. This match is crucial for both sides to build momentum in the league standings.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
28%
10%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
42%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Rodina Moskva
A. Maksimenko 3 gls
Rubin
A. Arroyo 3 gls
J. Siwe 3 gls

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Head to Head: Rodina Moskva vs Rubin

1 Rodina Moskva Wins
0 Draws
0 Rubin Wins
Date Home Score Away
04 Aug 2026 Rodina Moskva 5 - 0 Rubin

Rodina Moskva — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
16 Sep H Rubin D 1 - 1
11 Sep A Krylia Sovetov L 2 - 1
06 Sep A Dinamo Makhachkala L 2 - 0
02 Sep A Spartak Moscow L 3 - 1
30 Aug H Baltika L 0 - 3

Rubin — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
16 Sep A Rodina Moskva D 1 - 1
12 Sep A CSKA Moscow D 1 - 1
07 Sep H Akhmat D 1 - 1
02 Sep A FC Orenburg D 1 - 1
30 Aug H Dinamo Makhachkala W 3 - 1

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Krasnodar
9 6 3 0 +7 21
2
Dynamo
9 6 1 2 +6 19
3
CSKA Moscow
9 5 4 0 +6 19
4
Spartak Moscow
9 6 1 2 +9 19
5
Zenit
9 6 0 3 +10 18
6
Rubin
9 2 6 1 +1 12
7
Dinamo Makhachkala
9 4 0 5 -1 12
8
Baltika
9 3 2 4 +2 11
9
Krylia Sovetov
9 2 5 2 -1 11
10
Akhmat
9 2 4 3 0 10
11
FC Orenburg
9 1 6 2 -3 9
12
FC Rostov
9 2 2 5 -7 8
13
Akron
9 1 5 3 -7 8
14
Lokomotiv
9 1 4 4 -3 7
15
Rodina Moskva
9 1 2 6 -12 5
16
Fakel
9 0 3 6 -7 3

Rubin

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Franc Artiga
38 Staver
51 Rozhkov
13 Urozov
5 Vujačić
3 Maldonado
12 Arroyo
8 Jočić
6 Iwu
22 Hodža
71 Samoshnikov
43 Siwe

Starting XI

# Player Pos
38 E. Staver G
12 A. Arroyo D
3 D. Maldonado D
5 I. Vujačić D
13 J. Urozov D
51 I. Rozhkov D
71 I. Samoshnikov M
22 V. Hodža M
6 U. Iwu M
8 B. Jočić M
43 J. Siwe F

Substitutes

2 E. Teslenko D
14 I. Saavedra M
4 K. Nizhegorodov D
25 A. Nigmatullin G
59 D. N. Motorin F
98 N. Lobov D
44 D. Kuznetsov M
86 N. Korets G
18 M. Ignatjev D
11 N. Gripshi M
7 U. Babaev F
23 R. Bezrukov D

Rodina Moskva

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Juan Díaz
13 Volkov
75 Nadé
50 Becão
26 Meshchaninov
20 Machado
38 Musaev
5 Egorychev
80 Bessmertny
10 Reyna
7 Onugkha
11 Mansilla

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 S. Volkov G
26 A. Meshchaninov D
50 Rodrigo Becão D
75 M. Nadé D
80 S. Bessmertny M
5 A. Egorychev M
38 L. Musaev M
20 D. Machado M
11 B. Mansilla F
7 G. Onugkha F
10 Y. Reyna F

Substitutes

1 S. Aydarov G
18 M. Abdusalamov F
95 K. Cissoko F
49 I. Dyatlov D
6 R. Fishchenko M
77 A. Gharibyan F
55 M. Križan D
9 A. Maksimenko F
88 A. Sokol D
19 D. Tananeev D
99 I. Timoshenko F
23 K. Ushatov M

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