Spartak Moscow vs Fakel Prediction
FT
AI call
Spartak Moscow to win or draw
69%
21%
10%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Spartak Moscow vs Fakel prediction: Sportiko gives Spartak Moscow a 69% chance of winning, Fakel 10% and the draw 21%. Last updated 16 Sep 2026, 17:33.
Premium picks
Premium- Home/Draw & Over 1.5 73%
- Home 2H Over 0.5 72%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 72%
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Timeline
⇄
39'
M. Turishchev
⇄ Houdaifa El Mahasni
HT 0–0
▮
59'
M. Bardachev
Yellow Card
Mirlind Daku
⇄ Esequiel Barco
61'
⇄
Marquinhos
⇄ Igor Dmitriev
61'
⇄
⇄
64'
A. Kovalev
⇄ B. Pusi
⇄
64'
Aleksandr Koksharov
⇄ N. Giorgobiani
▮
66'
A. Gabaraev
Yellow Card
▮
66'
M. Bardachev
Red Card
Daniil Denisov
⇄ Danil Prutsev
75'
⇄
⇄
79'
B. Magomedov
⇄ Axel Gnapi
⇄
79'
D. Todorović
⇄ Y. Zhuravlev
▮
86'
N. Giorgobiani
Yellow Card
Manfred Ugalde
90+1'
⚽
1–0
FT 1–0
Spartak Moscow
Match Stats
Fakel
75%
Ball Possession
25%
26
Total Shots
2
5
Shots on Goal
1
14
Shots off Goal
0
7
Blocked Shots
1
16
Shots insidebox
1
10
Shots outsidebox
1
11
Corner Kicks
2
4
Offsides
1
7
Fouls
23
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
587
Total passes
194
480
Passes accurate
105
22
Free Kicks
6
Spartak Moscow
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Manfred Ugalde F | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 5 | 27 (17%) | – |
| 6 Srđan Babić D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 80 (69%) | – |
| 10 Marquinhos M | 7.2 | 61' | – | – | 2 | 34 (28%) | – |
| 98 Aleksandr Maksimenko G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (25%) | – |
| 7 Pablo Solari M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 5 | 42 (33%) | 2 |
| 5 Esequiel Barco M | 6.8 | 29' | – | – | 1 | 18 (16%) | – |
| 97 Daniil Denisov D | 6.7 | 75' | – | – | – | 38 (31%) | – |
| 83 Gedson Fernandes M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 5 | 62 (54%) | 1 |
| 4 Alexander Djiku D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 99 (84%) | 1 |
| 27 Igor Dmitriev M | 6.6 | 29' | – | – | – | 10 (8%) | 1 |
| 25 Danil Prutsev M | 6.5 | 15' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 19 Mirlind Daku M | 6.4 | 61' | – | – | 2 | 10 (5%) | 1 |
| 47 Roman Zobnin D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 73 (60%) | – |
| 18 Nail Umyarov M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 65 (48%) | – |
Fakel
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97 B. Magomedov F | 6.7 | 79' | – | – | – | 15 (12%) | 2 |
| 22 Houdaifa El Mahasni D | 6.6 | 51' | – | – | 1 | 5 (3%) | 1 |
| 90 Aleksandr Koksharov F | 6.5 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 8 (7%) | – |
| 44 Y. Zhuravlev D | 6.4 | 11' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 19 B. Pusi F | 6.3 | 26' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | 1 |
| 9 Axel Gnapi F | 6.3 | 11' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 52 R. Netfullin M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 13 (6%) | – |
| 7 M. Turishchev F | 6.2 | 39' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 5 A. Gabaraev D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 17 (8%) | 3 |
| 99 N. Giorgobiani M | 6.1 | 26' | – | – | – | 7 (3%) | – |
| 17 A. Kovalev M | 6.0 | 64' | – | – | – | 8 (5%) | 1 |
| 55 D. Todorović M | 5.9 | 79' | – | – | – | 20 (12%) | 3 |
| 1 D. Frolkin G | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (8%) | – |
| 23 V. Yakimov M | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (7%) | 1 |
| 40 Clayton Sampaio D | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 20 (11%) | 1 |
| 53 M. Bardachev D | 5.5 | 66' | – | – | – | 16 (12%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Medium (69%)
At a glance
Our lean
Spartak Moscow to win or draw
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Spartak Moscow
WWLWD
Fakel
LDLDL
Last 3 meetings
Spartak Moscow · 1W 1D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming Premier League clash, Spartak Moscow faces Fakel. Spartak has a strong attacking lineup, averaging 2 goals per match in their last five outings, while Fakel has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2.2 goals in the same period. This match will be crucial for Spartak to maintain their position in the upper half of the table, while Fakel will be looking to secure vital points to avoid relegation concerns. Key players to watch include Spartak's top scorer and Fakel's defensive stalwart, who will be pivotal in their respective team strategies. The outcome will likely hinge on Spartak's ability to capitalize on their offensive opportunities.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
69%
45%
Draw
21%
45%
Away
10%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Spartak Moscow
M. Ugalde
3 gls
M. Daku
3 gls
Fakel
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Spartak Moscow vs Fakel
1
Spartak Moscow Wins
1
Draws
1
Fakel Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May 2025 | Fakel | 0 - 0 | Spartak Moscow |
| 18 Aug 2024 | Spartak Moscow | 3 - 0 | Fakel |
| 10 Mar 2024 | Spartak Moscow | 0 - 2 | Fakel |
Spartak Moscow — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep | H Fakel | W | 1 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | H FC Rostov | W | 3 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | A Dynamo | L | 2 - 1 |
| 02 Sep | H Rodina Moskva | W | 3 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | H FC Orenburg | D | 1 - 1 |
Fakel — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep | A Spartak Moscow | L | 1 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Baltika | D | 2 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | A FC Rostov | L | 3 - 1 |
| 01 Sep | H FC Krasnodar | D | 1 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | H Zenit | L | 0 - 1 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Krasnodar
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |
Dynamo
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 19 |
| 3 |
CSKA Moscow
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 19 |
| 4 |
Spartak Moscow
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 19 |
| 5 |
Zenit
|
9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | +10 | 18 |
| 6 |
Rubin
|
9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |
Dinamo Makhachkala
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 |
Baltika
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |
Krylia Sovetov
|
9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |
Akhmat
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 |
FC Orenburg
|
9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 |
FC Rostov
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |
Akron
|
9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |
Lokomotiv
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 |
Rodina Moskva
|
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 5 |
| 16 |
Fakel
|
9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 |
Spartak Moscow
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Carcedo
98
Maksimenko
47
Zobnin
6
Babić
4
Djiku
97
Denisov
83
Fernandes
18
Umyarov
10
Marquinhos
19
Daku
7
Solari
9
Ugalde
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 98 | A. Maksimenko | G |
| 97 | D. Denisov | D |
| 4 | A. Djiku | D |
| 6 | S. Babić | D |
| 47 | R. Zobnin | D |
| 18 | N. Umyarov | M |
| 83 | Gedson Fernandes | M |
| 7 | P. Solari | M |
| 19 | M. Daku | M |
| 10 | Marquinhos | M |
| 9 | M. Ugalde | F |
Substitutes
| 62 | P. Polekh | F |
| 5 | E. Barco | M |
| 25 | D. Prutsev | M |
| 1 | I. Pomazun | G |
| 27 | I. Dmitriev | M |
| 56 | A. Dovbnya | G |
| 24 | Nikita Massalyga | M |
| 17 | V. Saus | M |
| 40 | I. Sorokin | M |
| 33 | Víctor Parada | D |
Fakel
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: Horacio Melgarejo
1
Frolkin
53
Bardachev
40
Clayton
5
Gabaraev
55
Todorović
23
Yakimov
52
Netfullin
17
Kovalev
97
Magomedov
90
Koksharov
7
Turishchev
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Frolkin | G |
| 5 | A. Gabaraev | D |
| 40 | Clayton | D |
| 53 | M. Bardachev | D |
| 17 | A. Kovalev | M |
| 52 | R. Netfullin | M |
| 23 | V. Yakimov | M |
| 55 | D. Todorović | M |
| 7 | M. Turishchev | F |
| 90 | A. Koksharov | F |
| 97 | B. Magomedov | F |
Substitutes
| 8 | A. Bagamaev | M |
| 35 | V. Dorovskikh | G |
| 22 | H. El Mahasni | D |
| 99 | N. Giorgobiani | M |
| 9 | A. Gnapi Dable | F |
| 96 | I. Obukhov | G |
| 19 | B. Pusi | F |
| 11 | A. Sutormin | M |
| 20 | I. Yurganov | D |
| 44 | Y. Zhuravlev | D |
| 10 | I. Alshin | M |