Zenit vs CSKA Moscow Prediction

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 7
FT
Post on X
AI call Difficult Zenit win or draw
59%
25%
16%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Zenit vs CSKA Moscow prediction: Sportiko gives Zenit a 59% chance of winning, CSKA Moscow 16% and the draw 25%. Last updated 5 Sep 2026, 15:41.

Premium picks

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
  • 1st Half Over 0.5 74%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

▮ 7'
João Victor Yellow Card
Yellow Card
7' ▮
▮ 19'
Kirill Glebov Yellow Card
▮ 30'
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov Yellow Card
Kevin Andrade Yellow Card
43' ▮
Gustavo Mantuan ⇄ Sergey Volkov
45' ⇄
Aleksandr Sobolev Yellow Card
45+6' ▮
🖵 45+6'
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov Penalty confirmed
⚽ 0–1 45+8'
Ivan Oblyakov Penalty
HT 0–1
Maksim Glushenkov Yellow Card
46' ▮
Wílmar Barrios ⇄ Pedro
63' ⇄
Román Vega ⇄ Douglas Santos
63' ⇄
⇄ 68'
Luciano Gondou ⇄ Tamerlan Musaev
Jhon Jhon ⇄ Felipe Augusto
73' ⇄
⇄ 80'
Mohamed Azzi ⇄ Imran Firov
Aleksandr Sobolev assist: Luiz Henrique
84' ⚽ 1–1
Nuraly Alip Yellow Card
89' ▮
Luiz Henrique ⇄ Aleksandr Erokhin
89' ⇄
⚽ 1–2 90+8'
Ivan Oblyakov
FT 1–2
Zenit

Match Stats

CSKA Moscow
69% Ball Possession 31%
20 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Goal 5
6 Shots off Goal 3
7 Blocked Shots 3
18 Shots insidebox 9
2 Shots outsidebox 2
10 Corner Kicks 2
1 Offsides 2
14 Fouls 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 6
639 Total passes 283
577 Passes accurate 236
15 Free Kicks 14
Zenit
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Luiz Henrique M 7.7 89' – 1 1 50 (45%) 1
7 Aleksandr Sobolev F 7.6 90' 1 – 5 12 (7%) –
10 Maksim Glushenkov M 6.8 90' – – 4 47 (39%) 1
25 Kevin Andrade D 6.8 90' – – 1 110 (107%) –
20 Pedro F 6.7 27' – – – 37 (35%) –
93 Artem Karpukas M 6.6 90' – – 1 78 (70%) 1
66 Román Vega D 6.6 63' – – – 38 (36%) –
14 Jhon Jhon M 6.5 73' – – 1 35 (29%) 2
28 Nuraly Alip D 6.4 90' – – 3 84 (78%) 1
31 Gustavo Mantuan D 6.4 45' – – – 31 (27%) –
16 Denis Adamov G 6.3 90' – – – 14 (13%) –
5 Wílmar Barrios M 6.3 63' – – – 51 (49%) 1
9 Felipe Augusto F 6.2 17' – – – 3 (3%) 1
3 Douglas Santos D 6.1 27' – – – 19 (17%) –
21 Aleksandr Erokhin M 6.1 1' – – 3 1 (1%) –
82 Sergey Volkov D 5.7 45' – – 1 30 (22%) –
CSKA Moscow
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Ivan Oblyakov M 8.2 90' 2 – 4 38 (34%) 1
49 Vladislav Torop G 8.0 90' – – – 27 (16%) –
2 Matheus Reis D 7.2 90' – – – 24 (24%) 3
79 Kirill Danilov D 7.1 90' – – – 21 (18%) –
4 João Victor D 6.9 90' – – 1 30 (24%) 5
11 Tamerlan Musaev F 6.8 22' – – 1 7 (6%) –
23 Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov M 6.7 90' – – – 25 (25%) 2
17 Kirill Glebov M 6.6 90' – – 3 14 (9%) 3
21 Mohamed Azzi M 6.6 80' – – – 24 (18%) 2
32 Luciano Gondou F 6.5 68' – – – 13 (9%) –
62 Imran Firov F 6.5 10' – – – 1 –
3 Danil Krugovoy D 6.4 90' – – 2 22 (19%) –
31 Matvey Kislyak M 6.2 90' – – – 37 (34%) –
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Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult Zenit win or draw
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Zenit
WWLWW
CSKA Moscow
WDWLD
Last 3 meetings Zenit · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Zenit will face CSKA Moscow on September 5, 2026. Zenit currently boasts a strong offensive record, averaging 2.1 goals per match, while CSKA Moscow has shown resilience defensively, conceding only 1.0 goals per match this season. The teams have had a competitive rivalry, with Zenit winning 60% of their last five encounters. However, CSKA's ability to exploit transitional play could pose a challenge for Zenit's backline. This match promises to be a tactical battle as both teams strive for crucial points in the league standings.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
59%
45%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
16%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Zenit
A. Sobolev 7 gls
M. Glushenkov 6 gls
CSKA Moscow
I. Oblyakov 4 gls
I. Oleynikov 3 gls
L. Gondou 3 gls

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Head to Head: Zenit vs CSKA Moscow

1 Zenit Wins
2 Draws
0 CSKA Moscow Wins
Date Home Score Away
02 May 2026 CSKA Moscow 1 - 3 Zenit
03 Aug 2025 Zenit 1 - 1 CSKA Moscow
01 Mar 2025 Zenit 0 - 0 CSKA Moscow
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Zenit — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
16 Sep A Baltika W 2 - 3
12 Sep H Lokomotiv W 2 - 1
05 Sep H CSKA Moscow L 1 - 2
02 Sep H Dinamo Makhachkala W 3 - 0
29 Aug A Fakel W 0 - 1

CSKA Moscow — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
17 Sep A Dinamo Makhachkala W 1 - 3
12 Sep H Rubin D 1 - 1
05 Sep A Zenit W 1 - 2
01 Sep A FC Rostov L 2 - 0
28 Aug A Akron D 2 - 2

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Krasnodar
9 6 3 0 +7 21
2
Dynamo
9 6 1 2 +6 19
3
CSKA Moscow
9 5 4 0 +6 19
4
Spartak Moscow
9 6 1 2 +9 19
5
Zenit
9 6 0 3 +10 18
6
Rubin
9 2 6 1 +1 12
7
Dinamo Makhachkala
9 4 0 5 -1 12
8
Baltika
9 3 2 4 +2 11
9
Krylia Sovetov
9 2 5 2 -1 11
10
Akhmat
9 2 4 3 0 10
11
FC Orenburg
9 1 6 2 -3 9
12
FC Rostov
9 2 2 5 -7 8
13
Akron
9 1 5 3 -7 8
14
Lokomotiv
9 1 4 4 -3 7
15
Rodina Moskva
9 1 2 6 -12 5
16
Fakel
9 0 3 6 -7 3

CSKA Moscow

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Craig Bellamy
49 Torop
3 Krugovoy
79 Zea
4 Victor
2 Reis
31 Kislyak
10 Oblyakov
17 Glebov
23 Abdulkadyrov
21 Azzi
32 Gondou

Starting XI

# Player Pos
49 V. Torop G
2 Matheus Reis D
4 João Victor D
79 M. Zea D
3 D. Krugovoy D
10 I. Oblyakov M
31 M. Kislyak M
21 M. Azzi M
23 Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov M
17 K. Glebov M
32 L. Gondou F

Substitutes

85 Egor Besaev G
20 Matija Popovic M
87 A. Ponomarchuk M
11 T. Musaev F
7 Matheus Alves M
90 M. Lukin D
18 D. Kozlov M
37 Henrique M
62 I. Firov F
39 M. Borisko G
52 A. Bandikyan M
84 A. Vakulich M

Zenit

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: S. Semak
16 Adamov
66 Vega
28 Alip
25 Andrade
31 Mantuan
93 Karpukas
5 Barrios
14 Jhon
10 Glushenkov
11 Henrique
7 Sobolev

Starting XI

# Player Pos
16 D. Adamov G
31 Gustavo Mantuan D
25 K. Andrade D
28 N. Alip D
66 R. Vega D
5 W. Barrios M
93 A. Karpukas M
11 Luiz Henrique M
10 M. Glushenkov M
14 Jhon Jhon M
7 A. Sobolev F

Substitutes

21 A. Erokhin M
3 Douglas Santos D
9 Felipe Augusto F
15 V. Karavaev D
61 D. Kondakov M
57 B. Moskvichev G
33 Nino D
71 D. Odoevskiy G
20 Pedro Henrique F
51 V. Shilov F
82 S. Volkov D
38 Amir Musaev M

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