Fakel vs FC Orenburg Prediction
FT
AI call
FC Orenburg or draw
32%
31%
37%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Fakel vs FC Orenburg prediction: Sportiko gives Fakel a 32% chance of winning, FC Orenburg 37% and the draw 31%. Last updated 22 Aug 2026, 13:40.
Premium picks
Premium- 1st Half Home or Draw 72%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
See Premium picks
Timeline
▮
35'
Dmitry Rybchinskiy
Yellow Card
HT 0–0
A. Bagamaev
⇄ N. Giorgobiani
46'
⇄
FT 0–0
Fakel
Match Stats
FC Orenburg
51%
Ball Possession
49%
Expected Goals (xG)
0
Total Shots
5
0
Shots on Goal
2
0
Shots off Goal
1
0
Blocked Shots
2
0
Shots insidebox
4
0
Shots outsidebox
1
0
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
0
3
Fouls
6
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
2
Goalkeeper Saves
0
124
Total passes
115
85
Passes accurate
76
69%
Passes %
66%
goals_prevented
Fakel
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 M. Bardachev D | 7.3 | 33' | – | – | – | 21 (13%) | 1 |
| 1 D. Frolkin G | 6.9 | 33' | – | – | – | 10 (4%) | – |
| 11 A. Sutormin F | 6.9 | 33' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 10 I. Alshin M | 6.6 | 33' | – | – | – | 11 (10%) | 1 |
| 5 A. Gabaraev D | 6.6 | 33' | – | – | – | 15 (12%) | – |
| 52 R. Netfullin M | 6.6 | 33' | – | – | – | 12 (11%) | – |
| 23 V. Yakimov M | 6.6 | 33' | – | – | – | 8 (3%) | 1 |
| 44 Y. Zhuravlev D | 6.6 | 33' | – | – | – | 17 (14%) | 2 |
| 9 Axel Gnapi F | 6.6 | 33' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | – |
| 55 D. Todorović M | 6.5 | 33' | – | – | – | 13 (5%) | – |
| 8 A. Bagamaev F | 6.0 | 33' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
FC Orenburg
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78 Ruslan Kul M | 6.9 | 33' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | 2 |
| 26 Emil Tsenov D | 6.9 | 33' | – | – | – | 14 (10%) | 1 |
| 6 Jhon Palacios D | 6.7 | 33' | – | – | – | 12 (8%) | – |
| 5 Aleksey Tataev D | 6.7 | 33' | – | – | 1 | 12 (11%) | – |
| 24 Maxime Sivis D | 6.7 | 33' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 20 Dmitry Rybchinskiy M | 6.7 | 33' | – | – | – | 11 (6%) | 1 |
| 1 Bogdan Ovsyannikov G | 6.6 | 33' | – | – | – | 7 (3%) | – |
| 8 Damián Puebla M | 6.6 | 33' | – | – | – | 8 (4%) | – |
| 30 Gedeon Guzina F | 6.6 | 33' | – | – | – | 6 (3%) | – |
| 11 Egor Nazarenko M | 6.5 | 33' | – | – | 1 | 11 (6%) | – |
| 57 Evgeniy Bolotov M | 6.3 | 33' | – | – | 1 | 18 (10%) | – |
Premium
Unlock the AI's full read on Fakel vs FC Orenburg
- All 70+ probability markets
- AI Deep-Dive match report
- Value Edge — model vs market
- Pick types you choose
Confidence
Low (37%)
At a glance
Our lean
FC Orenburg or draw
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade Now
Fakel
LDLDL
FC Orenburg
DLDDD
Last 3 meetings
Fakel · 1W 1D 1L
Match summary
Fakel will face FC Orenburg in a crucial Premier League match. Both teams have shown fluctuating form, with Fakel currently sitting mid-table and Orenburg fighting to avoid relegation. Fakel's attack has been moderately effective, averaging 1.2 goals per game, while Orenburg has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. Set pieces could be pivotal, as Fakel has capitalized on dead-ball situations effectively this season. This matchup is critical for both teams, making a draw likely, but Fakel's offensive capabilities may give them a slight edge.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowMost likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowYou're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.
Unlock all models
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowHead to Head: Fakel vs FC Orenburg
1
Fakel Wins
1
Draws
1
FC Orenburg Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2025 | FC Orenburg | 1 - 0 | Fakel |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Fakel | 1 - 0 | FC Orenburg |
| 31 Mar 2024 | Fakel | 0 - 0 | FC Orenburg |
Fakel — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep | A Spartak Moscow | L | 1 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Baltika | D | 2 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | A FC Rostov | L | 3 - 1 |
| 01 Sep | H FC Krasnodar | D | 1 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | H Zenit | L | 0 - 1 |
FC Orenburg — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep | H FC Krasnodar | D | 0 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | A Dynamo | L | 1 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | H Akron | D | 2 - 2 |
| 02 Sep | H Rubin | D | 1 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | A Spartak Moscow | D | 1 - 1 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Krasnodar
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |
Dynamo
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 19 |
| 3 |
CSKA Moscow
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 19 |
| 4 |
Spartak Moscow
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 19 |
| 5 |
Zenit
|
9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | +10 | 18 |
| 6 |
Rubin
|
9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |
Dinamo Makhachkala
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 |
Baltika
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |
Krylia Sovetov
|
9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |
Akhmat
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 |
FC Orenburg
|
9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 |
FC Rostov
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |
Akron
|
9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |
Lokomotiv
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 |
Rodina Moskva
|
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 5 |
| 16 |
Fakel
|
9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 |
FC Orenburg
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Ildar Akhmetzyanov
1
Ovsyannikov
26
Tsenov
5
Tataev
6
Palacios
24
Sivis
57
Bolotov
78
Kul
20
Rybchinskiy
11
Nazarenko
8
Puebla
30
Guzina
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bogdan Ovsyannikov | G |
| 24 | Maxime Sivis | D |
| 6 | Jhon Palacios | D |
| 5 | Aleksey Tataev | D |
| 26 | Emil Tsenov | D |
| 78 | Ruslan Kul | M |
| 57 | Evgeniy Bolotov | M |
| 8 | Damián Puebla | M |
| 11 | Egor Nazarenko | M |
| 20 | Dmitry Rybchinskiy | M |
| 30 | Gedeon Guzina | F |
Substitutes
| 95 | Andrey Khodanovich | G |
| 2 | Stanislav Poroykov | D |
| 59 | Maksim Syshchenko | D |
| 38 | Artem Kasimov | D |
| 3 | Danila Vedernikov | D |
| 80 | Mikhail Pykhcheev | M |
| 63 | Omar Minatulaev | M |
| 65 | Ivan Ivashchenko | M |
| 7 | Jersson González | F |
| 21 | Benjamín Bosch | F |
| 77 | Andrey Kasadzhikov | F |
| 19 | Alexandre Jesus | F |
Fakel
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: Oleg Vasilenko
1
Frolkin
53
Bardachev
44
Zhuravlev
5
Gabaraev
10
Alshin
52
Netfullin
23
Yakimov
55
Todorović
11
Sutormin
9
Gnapi
8
Bagamaev
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniil Frolkin | G |
| 5 | Albert Gabaraev | D |
| 44 | Yuriy Zhuravlev | D |
| 53 | Matvey Bardachev | D |
| 55 | Darko Todorović | M |
| 23 | Vyacheslav Yakimov | M |
| 52 | Ravil Netfullin | M |
| 10 | Ilnur Alshin | M |
| 8 | Abdula Bagamaev | F |
| 9 | Axel Gnapi | F |
| 11 | Alexey Sutormin | F |
Substitutes
| 96 | Igor Obukhov | G |
| 35 | Vyacheslav Dorovskikh | G |
| 22 | Houdaifa El Mahasni | D |
| 20 | Igor Yurganov | D |
| 17 | Anton Kovalev | M |
| 97 | Butta Magomedov | M |
| 18 | Kirill Simonov | M |
| 19 | Belajdi Pusi | F |
| 93 | Merabi Uridia | F |
| 25 | Aleksandr Belyaev | F |
| 99 | Nikolay Giorgobiani | M |