Baltika vs Spartak Moscow Prediction

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 4
FT
Post on X
Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad
AI call Spartak Moscow or draw
28%
29%
43%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Baltika vs Spartak Moscow prediction: Sportiko gives Baltika a 28% chance of winning, Spartak Moscow 43% and the draw 29%. Last updated 16 Aug 2026, 18:30.

Premium picks

Premium
  • Away to Score 73%
  • Over 1.5 Goals 73%
  • 1st Half Draw or Away 74%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
  • Home to Score 70%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 20'
Manfred Ugalde assist: Mirlind Daku
Andrey Mendel
23' ⚽ 1–1
HT 1–1
Mingiyan Beveev Yellow Card
48' ▮
⚽ 1–2 49'
Pablo Solari
Maksim Petrov ⇄ Fahd Moufi
58' ⇄
Nnamdi Chinonso Offor ⇄ Brayan Gil
58' ⇄
Aymane Mourid Yellow Card
73' ▮
▮ 76'
Christopher Wooh Yellow Card
▮ 76'
Gedson Fernandes Yellow Card
Nikolay Titkov Yellow Card
76' ▮
▮ 77'
Manfred Ugalde Yellow Card
⇄ 77'
Pablo Solari ⇄ Vladislav Saus
Andrey Mendel ⇄ Ivan Belikov
78' ⇄
Eldar Ćivić ⇄ Mikhail Ryadno
78' ⇄
Yellow Card
83' ▮
Fahd Moufi ⇄ Vladislav Pospelov
85' ⇄
⇄ 88'
Roman Zobnin ⇄ Victor Parada
⇄ 90+2'
Marquinhos ⇄ Igor Dmitriev
⇄ 90+2'
Manfred Ugalde ⇄ Danil Prutsev
FT 1–2
Baltika

Match Stats

Spartak Moscow
34% Ball Possession 66%
Expected Goals (xG)
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked Shots 0
8 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 0
5 Corner Kicks 8
4 Offsides 2
16 Fouls 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
Red Cards
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
234 Total passes 478
133 Passes accurate 380
57% Passes % 79%
goals_prevented
Baltika
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
21 Eduardo Anderson D 7.3 96' – – 1 22 (10%) 4
8 Andrey Mendel M 7.2 78' 1 – 2 17 (10%) 1
18 Fahd Moufi D 6.9 27' – – – 4 (1%) –
11 Nikolay Titkov M 6.9 96' – – – 16 (13%) –
68 Mikhail Ryadno D 6.9 18' – – – 6 (4%) 1
2 Sergey Varatynov D 6.7 96' – – 1 26 (18%) 1
22 Mingiyan Beveev D 6.7 96' – – – 25 (17%) 2
5 Aymane Mourid M 6.6 96' – – 1 34 (20%) 3
26 Ivan Belikov M 6.5 18' – – – 6 (4%) –
73 Maksim Petrov M 6.3 58' – – 1 8 (5%) –
77 Eldar Ćivić D 6.3 78' – – 1 18 (9%) 3
91 Brayan Gil F 6.3 38' – – 1 2 (1%) –
1 Evgeny Latyshonok G 6.3 96' – – – 10 (5%) –
9 Nnamdi Chinonso Offor F 6.2 58' – – – 11 (6%) –
42 Vladislav Pospelov M 6.2 11' – – – 3 (1%) –
4 Nathan Gassama D 5.9 96' – – 1 26 (9%) –
Spartak Moscow
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Pablo Solari M 7.3 77' 1 – 2 21 (17%) –
9 Manfred Ugalde F 7.3 92' 1 – 3 22 (16%) –
68 Ruslan Litvinov M 7.2 96' – – – 68 (50%) 1
6 Srđan Babić D 7.0 96' – – – 68 (59%) 2
98 Aleksandr Maksimenko G 6.9 96' – – – 28 (20%) –
18 Nail Umyarov M 6.9 96' – – – 44 (31%) 2
83 Gedson Fernandes D 6.9 96' – – – 49 (38%) 4
19 Mirlind Daku M 6.9 96' – 1 – 18 (14%) –
3 Christopher Wooh D 6.7 96' – – – 70 (62%) –
10 Marquinhos M 6.7 92' – – 1 36 (28%) 1
17 Vladislav Saus M 6.7 19' – – – 4 (2%) –
33 Victor Parada D 6.5 9' – – – 1 –
47 Roman Zobnin D 6.3 87' – – – 47 (42%) –
27 Igor Dmitriev M — 4' – – – 2 (1%) –
25 Danil Prutsev M — 4' – – – – –
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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Our lean
Spartak Moscow or draw
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Baltika
LDLDW
Spartak Moscow
WWLWD
Last 3 meetings Baltika · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League match, Baltika will face Spartak Moscow. Baltika has struggled in recent seasons, finishing lower in the standings, while Spartak Moscow typically contends for higher positions, showcasing a stronger squad depth and experience. Key players for Spartak, such as their leading goal scorer, could exploit Baltika's defensive vulnerabilities. This matchup will be crucial for both teams, with Spartak looking to secure vital points to maintain their title challenge. Expect an intense battle, with Spartak likely to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
28%
45%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
43%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Baltika
B. Gil 4 gls
Spartak Moscow
M. Ugalde 3 gls
M. Daku 3 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Baltika vs Spartak Moscow

2 Baltika Wins
0 Draws
1 Spartak Moscow Wins
Date Home Score Away
29 Nov 2025 Baltika 1 - 0 Spartak Moscow
26 Jul 2025 Spartak Moscow 0 - 3 Baltika
25 Nov 2023 Baltika 0 - 2 Spartak Moscow
See all 4 meetings — Premium

Baltika — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
16 Sep H Zenit L 2 - 3
12 Sep A Fakel D 2 - 2
06 Sep H Lokomotiv L 0 - 1
02 Sep H Krylia Sovetov D 0 - 0
30 Aug A Rodina Moskva W 0 - 3

Spartak Moscow — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
16 Sep H Fakel W 1 - 0
13 Sep H FC Rostov W 3 - 0
06 Sep A Dynamo L 2 - 1
02 Sep H Rodina Moskva W 3 - 1
30 Aug H FC Orenburg D 1 - 1

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Krasnodar
9 6 3 0 +7 21
2
Dynamo
9 6 1 2 +6 19
3
CSKA Moscow
9 5 4 0 +6 19
4
Spartak Moscow
9 6 1 2 +9 19
5
Zenit
9 6 0 3 +10 18
6
Rubin
9 2 6 1 +1 12
7
Dinamo Makhachkala
9 4 0 5 -1 12
8
Baltika
9 3 2 4 +2 11
9
Krylia Sovetov
9 2 5 2 -1 11
10
Akhmat
9 2 4 3 0 10
11
FC Orenburg
9 1 6 2 -3 9
12
FC Rostov
9 2 2 5 -7 8
13
Akron
9 1 5 3 -7 8
14
Lokomotiv
9 1 4 4 -3 7
15
Rodina Moskva
9 1 2 6 -12 5
16
Fakel
9 0 3 6 -7 3

Spartak Moscow

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Carlos Carcedo Juan
98 Maksimenko
47 Zobnin
6 Babić
3 Wooh
83 Fernandes
68 Litvinov
10 Marquinhos
19 Daku
18 Umyarov
7 Solari
9 Ugalde

Starting XI

# Player Pos
98 Aleksandr Maksimenko G
83 Gedson Fernandes D
3 Christopher Wooh D
6 Srđan Babić D
47 Roman Zobnin D
68 Ruslan Litvinov M
7 Pablo Solari M
18 Nail Umyarov M
19 Mirlind Daku M
10 Marquinhos M
9 Manfred Ugalde F

Substitutes

56 Alexander Dovbnya G
1 Ilya Pomazun G
4 Alexander Djiku D
33 Victor Parada D
97 Daniil Denisov D
25 Danyl Prutsev M
17 Vladislav Saus M
27 Igor Dmitriev M
40 Ivan Sorokin M
24 Nikita Massalyga M
62 Pavel Polekh F

Baltika

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: A. Talalaev
1 Latyshonok
77 Ćivić
4 Gassama
21 Anderson
2 Varatynov
22 Beveev
11 Titkov
5 Mourid
8 Mendel
73 Petrov
9 Offor

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Evgeniy Latyshonok G
22 Mingiyan Beveev D
2 Sergey Varatynov D
21 Eduardo Anderson D
4 Nathan Gassama D
77 Eldar Ćivić D
73 Maksim Petrov M
8 Andrey Mendel M
5 Aymane Mourid M
11 Nikolay Titkov M
9 Nnamdi Chinonso Offor F

Substitutes

44 Egor Lyubakov G
81 Ivan Kukushkin G
68 Mikhail Ryadno D
24 Loris Mouyokolo D
18 Fahd Moufi D
42 Vladislav Pospelov M
26 Ivan Belikov M
7 Konstantin Shiltsov M
10 Ilya Petrov M
14 Stefan Kovač M
15 Tenton Yenne F
91 Brayan Gil F

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