FC Orenburg vs Lokomotiv Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 4

Post on X

Lokomotiv

Away

AI call Lokomotiv or draw

30%

29%

41%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Orenburg vs Lokomotiv prediction: Sportiko gives FC Orenburg a 30% chance of winning, Lokomotiv 41% and the draw 29%. Last updated 14 Aug 2026, 16:01.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
Away to Score 70%
1st Half Home or Draw 71%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 3'

Aleksey Batrakov assist: Aleksandr Silyanov

Evgeniy Bolotov Yellow Card

29' ▮

Ruslan Kul Yellow Card

41' ▮

HT 0–1

Dmitry Rybchinskiy ⇄ Andrey Kasadzhikov

61' ⇄

Gedeon Guzina ⇄ Alexandre Jesus

61' ⇄

Ruslan Kul

63' ⚽ 1–1

▮ 66'

Ilya Lantratov Yellow Card

Andrey Kasadzhikov Missed Penalty

69' ✗

⇄ 72'

Aleksandr Rudenko ⇄ Sergey Pinyaev

⇄ 72'

Zelimkhan Bakaev ⇄ Ruslan Myalkovskiy

Ruslan Kul ⇄ Renat Golybin

78' ⇄

⇄ 79'

Vadim Rakov ⇄ Nikita Saltykov

Emil Tsenov ⇄ Danila Vedernikov

86' ⇄

Damián Puebla ⇄ Benjamín Bosch

86' ⇄

⇄ 90+3'

Maksim Nenakhov ⇄ Aleksandr Kovalenko

⇄ 90+3'

Ilya Eremeev ⇄ Lucas Fasson

FT 1–1

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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Our lean

Lokomotiv or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 15%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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FC Orenburg

DLDDD

Lokomotiv

DLWDL

Last 3 meetings FC Orenburg · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League match, FC Orenburg will face Lokomotiv. Orenburg has shown strong defensive capabilities, allowing an average of 1.2 goals per match this season, while Lokomotiv boasts a solid attack, averaging 1.5 goals per game. The match may hinge on Orenburg's ability to contain Lokomotiv's forwards, particularly their top scorer, who has netted 6 goals this season. Both teams will be looking to gain crucial points, making this a tightly contested fixture. Expect a strategic battle in midfield, as both teams aim to control possession.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

30%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

41%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lokomotiv goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	10	7	3	1
1	9	15	8	3	1
2	6	7	4	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ FC Orenburg goals · most likely 1–1 (15.0%)

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Home Win

30%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Home Win

30%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

54% Away (No Draw) 46% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

16% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Away Scores More 32% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.6%	10.2%	7.2%	2.9%	0.9%
1	9.2%	15.0%	8.0%	3.2%	1.0%
2	6.1%	7.3%	4.4%	1.8%	0.5%
3	2.3%	2.7%	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.6%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Orenburg	Draw	Lokomotiv
FC Orenburg	15.0%	3.4%	1.4%
Draw	15.4%	21.0%	14.2%
Lokomotiv	2.3%	5.1%	22.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Orenburg vs Lokomotiv

0 FC Orenburg Wins

1 Draws

2 Lokomotiv Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Apr 2026	FC Orenburg	0 - 1	Lokomotiv
09 Nov 2025	Lokomotiv	1 - 0	FC Orenburg
03 May 2025	Lokomotiv	1 - 1	FC Orenburg

See all 10 meetings — Premium

FC Orenburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Sep	H FC Krasnodar	D	0 - 0
12 Sep	A Dynamo	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Akron	D	2 - 2
02 Sep	H Rubin	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Spartak Moscow	D	1 - 1

Lokomotiv — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	H Krylia Sovetov	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Zenit	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	A Baltika	W	0 - 1
01 Sep	A Akron	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	H Dynamo	L	0 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14	7	+7	21
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14	8	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15	9	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16	7	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19	9	+10	18
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12	11	+1	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15	16	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14	12	+2	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13	14	-1	11
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13	13	0	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7	10	-3	9
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10	17	-7	8
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11	18	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8	11	-3	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10	22	-12	5
16	Fakel	9	0	3	6	6	13	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.